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Málaga vs Burgos Prediction – Segunda División

Check out the best predictions for Malaga vs Burgos

Here you find the best prediction for Malaga vs Burgos in the second division, alongside match analysis and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent form and key statistics from their last games to provide the best prediction for this match between Malaga vs Burgos.

Malaga soon
Malaga

  • 31 May 2025 – 16::30
  • Adelante

  • 2024/2025
  • NORMAL EXPENDANCE – ROUND 42
Burgos Logo
Burgos


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Malaga vs Burgos

The best prediction for this clash in the second division is that there will be fewer than 2.5 goals. Malaga is performing well at home but has had a disappointing campaign overall, often featuring in low-scoring matches. Conversely, Burgos has struggled offensively, having only netted thirteen goals in their last outings. While we expect Malaga to gain the upper hand, clear goal-scoring opportunities may be limited. Thus, betting on “fewer than 2.5 goals” in this match appears to be a strong option.

Match preview: Malaga vs Burgos

Malaga and Burgos will face off at La Rosaleda Stadium in the 42nd round of the Adelante League. Their last encounter ended in a goalless draw (0-0) on 15 December 2024. Recent head-to-heads favour the visiting team, who have secured 3 victories and 2 draws in the last 5 meetings. Even though this match features the 15th and 12th placed teams overall, it is essentially a battle between the 8th position at home and 15th away.

Team analysis: Malaga

The home side currently sits in 15th place, having accumulated 52 points from 12 wins, 16 draws, and 13 losses. In their penultimate match, they managed a 2‑1 home victory over Sporting Gijón, but faltered in their last outing, losing 2‑0 to Elche. Playing at home has significantly influenced their performance, as they have earned 36 points at La Rosaleda, scoring 20 goals and conceding 14, compared to just 16 points and 30 goals conceded on the road. In their last 10 home games, Malaga garnered 17 points from a possible 30, recording 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses. The most frequent first-half score at home has been 0-0, occurring in 8 of their 20 home fixtures. Defensively, they have shown vulnerabilities, allowing goals in 7 of their last 10 outings. Notably, there is a trend of low-scoring encounters at home, as 15 of their last 20 games featured fewer than 3 goals. In 41 matches, they conceded the first goal 19 times, only managing to come back successfully on 2 occasions.

Malaga secured their place in the league but suffered another loss to Elche in their most recent match (2-0). They typically employ a 4-2-3-1 formation. Dioni has been their standout performer offensively, effectively finding spaces in the box and capitalising on scoring opportunities. Meanwhile, Antonio Cordero has excelled as a creative playmaker, showcasing excellent match vision and execution, contributing significantly to the team’s scoring. It appears the full squad will be available for the upcoming match.

Team analysis: Burgos

The visitors are currently positioned 12th with 54 points from 15 wins, 9 draws, and 17 losses. They experienced a setback in their penultimate match, losing 1‑0 to SD Eibar and faced another defeat at home, going down 3-2 to their opponents last week. Home advantage has played a crucial role, as they earned 20 points away compared to 34 at home, scoring 26 goals and conceding 23 at the latter venue, but limiting themselves to 13 goals scored and 23 conceded when playing away. In their last 10 away matches, they have gathered a mere 12 points, with 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses. At the half-time interval, 0-0 has also been a common scoreline, appearing in 10 of their 21 league matches. Defensive frailties have been evident as they have conceded goals in 8 of their last 10 match outings. The last 20 away games have generally been low-scoring, with 15 concluding with fewer than 2.5 goals. In total, they have conceded the first goal in 20 of 41 matches and have only managed to recover from behind on 3 occasions. Notably, they’ve scored 7 of their 13 goals away in the closing stages of matches (76’‑90′).

Burgos have seen a decline in form during this final stretch, having lost 2-3 at home last week, with both goals scored by Fernando Niño. They typically set up in a 4-2-3-1 formation and have relied on Alex Sancris’s strategic intelligence to facilitate offensive transitions, connecting different sectors to initiate threatening situations. In the striking department, Fer Niño plays a crucial role in the box and remains a constant threat in capitalising on goal-scoring opportunities. However, the right winger Alex Sancris will be serving a suspension and will miss the upcoming match.

The best prediction for Malaga vs Burgos

Under 1.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting)
Under 3.5 goals (guess for live, double or triple bet)
Under 3.0 Asian goals (risky guess)

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