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Mainz 05 vs Heidenheim Prediction – Bundesliga

Check out the best predictions for Mainz 05 vs Heidenheim

Here you will find the best prediction for Mainz 05 vs Heidenheim in the Bundesliga, along with match analysis and betting tips.

Read below our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent records and key statistics from the last games to provide the best prediction for this match between Mainz 05 and Heidenheim.

Mainz 05 logo
Mainz 05

  • January 13, 2026 – 19::30
  • Bundesliga

  • 2025/2026
  • Regular Season – Round 17
Heidenheim logo
Heidenheim


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Mainz 05 and Heidenheim

The best prediction for Mainz 05 vs Heidenheim in the Bundesliga is fewer than 2.5 goals. Given that both teams have shown struggles, particularly in their offensive play, this match is likely to be relatively balanced. The “Under 2.5 Goals” market has been successful in 88% of the home games played by Mainz 05, suggesting that both teams may focus more on their defensive efforts, leaving their attacking phases somewhat neglected.

Best prediction for Mainz 05 vs Heidenheim

Fewer than 1.5 goals in the first half (live betting tip)
Fewer than 3.5 goals (live betting tip, double or triple)
Fewer than 3.0 Asian goals (riskier tip)

Match prediction for Mainz 05 vs Heidenheim

The teams Mainz 05 and Heidenheim face off in a match of the 17th round of the Bundesliga. The recent head-to-head record leans in favor of the visiting team, which has 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last 4 encounters. The last meeting between these two teams, on February 16, 2025, ended with a victory for FSV Mainz 05 (0-2). In this match, home advantage could play a significant role, as both teams show notable differences in their home and away performances.

Analysis of Mainz 05

The home team is currently sitting in 18th place, having collected 9 points after 1 win, 6 draws, and 9 losses. In their penultimate match, they drew at home against St. Pauli (0-0). In the last game, they drew away against FC Union Berlin (2-2). Interestingly, this team has shown better results away than at home, as in the last 30 matches, they have recorded 5 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses as guests, scoring 22 goals and conceding 22, compared to 4 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses at home, with 17 goals scored and 18 conceded. In the last 8 home games in the league, Mainz 05 has 3 draws and 5 losses, earning 3 points out of a possible 24.

In this competition, they haven’t won at home for 8 matches. Their home games have frequent scorelines: at halftime 0-0 (3 in 8 games) and at full-time 0-1 (3 in 8 games). The defensive solidity has not been their strong point, having conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 games in this competition. In their home games, there is a tendency for few goals, as 7 of their last 8 league matches ended with fewer than 2.5 goals. This is a team that rarely scores first: they have only opened the scoring in 4 of their last 16 Bundesliga matches, of which they reached halftime in the lead in 3 and won at full-time in 1. Across 16 games in this competition, they have conceded the first goal 11 times and have never managed to overturn the score. There is 1 notable period in the last 20 home matches across all competitions: they scored 9 of their 24 goals between the minutes (31′-45′).

Mainz 05 enters this clash after a draw of 2-2 in their trip to Union Berlin, marking their third consecutive match without defeat in this competition: the goals from the team were scored by Benedict Hollerbach and Nadiem Amiri. The home team plays in a 3-5-2 tactical system, aiming to adopt a quicker style of play with constant transitions. In this setup, the two players responsible for causing panic in the opponent’s area are Phillip Tietz and Benedict Hollerbach. When attacking, they often utilize the right flank, leveraging the depth provided by Silvan Widmer. Missing from this match are Phillipp Mwene, Robin Zentner, Maxim Leitsch, Anthony Caci, William Bøving, Silas, and Maxim Dal, all due to injuries.

Confirmed lineup: Daniel Batz, Silvan Widmer, Stefan Bell, Nikolas Veratschnig, Danny da Costa, Dominik Kohr, Nadiem Amiri, Kaishu Sano, Jae-sung Lee, Phillip Tietz, Benedict Hollerbach.
Coach: B. Henriksen.

Analysis of Heidenheim

After 3 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses, the visiting team is in 17th place, having earned 12 points. In their last match, they drew with FC Köln at home (2-2), after losing at home in the previous game against FC Bayern Munich (0-4). This team has also shown better results away than at home. In the last 30 matches, they have 6 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses as visitors, totaling 20 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home, they recorded 2 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, with a total of 13 goals scored and 31 conceded. Their last away match in this competition ended in a loss (2-1) against St. Pauli. In their last 7 away games in the league, Heidenheim has 1 win and 6 losses, earning 3 points out of a possible 21. In their league matches as visitors, the most frequent halftime score has been 1-0 (3 in 7 matches). Defensive solidity has not been their strong point either, as they have conceded at least one goal in each of their last 10 matches, but their attack has scored regularly, finding the net in 7 of the last 10 games in this competition. This is a team that rarely scores first, achieving this only 3 times in their last 16 Bundesliga matches, of which they were leading at halftime in 2 and won at full-time in 1. In 16 matches in this competition, they have managed to come back in just 2 of the 13 games in which they conceded the first goal. In the last 19 away matches across all competitions, there is one key period: they scored 10 of their 26 goals between the minutes (76′-90′).

Heidenheim enters this encounter after a 2-2 draw against Cologne, marking their third consecutive match without a win in this Bundesliga: the goals from the team were scored by Julian Niehues and Marvin Pieringer. The visiting team typically plays in a 4-3-3 setup, where the three players at the front are Arijon Ibrahimović, Sirlord Conteh, and Marvin Pieringer. When they attack, they often do so along the right flank, taking advantage of the depth offered by wing-back Haktab Omar Traore. Given the tactical system used, one of the great strengths of the visiting team is their attacking play through the flanks. Missing from this match are Leart Paçarada, Frank Feller, Hennes Behrens, and Nick Rothweiler, all due to physical issues.

Confirmed lineup: Diant Ramaj, Patrick Mainka, Jonas Föhrenbach, Omar Traoré, Tim Siersleben, Niklas Dorsch, Julian Niehues, Arijon Ibrahimovic, Jan Schöppner, Marvin Pieringer, Sirlord Conteh.
Coach: F. Schmidt.

Best prediction for Mainz 05 vs Heidenheim

Fewer than 1.5 goals in the first half (live betting tip)
Fewer than 3.5 goals (live betting tip, double or triple)
Fewer than 3.0 Asian goals (riskier tip)

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