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Madureira vs Sampaio Corrêa Prediction – Carioca Championship

Check out the best predictions for Madureira vs Sampaio Corrêa

Here you will find the best prediction for Madureira vs Sampaio Corrêa in the Carioca Championship, along with match analysis and betting tips.

Below is our detailed analysis of both teams, including their recent records and key statistics from the last few matches to provide the best prediction for Madureira vs Sampaio Corrêa.

Madureira soon
Madureira

  • 2nd match scheduled for: 16 March 2025

  • 12 March 2025 – 20::45
  • Carioca 1st DIV

  • 2025

  • Rio Copa – Final – 1st Game

Sampaio Corrêa soon
Sampaio Corrêa


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Madureira vs Sampaio Corrêa

The best prediction for Madureira vs Sampaio Corrêa in the Carioca Championship is for fewer than 1.5 goals in the first half. Given the historical context of when these teams faced each other previously, the match is expected to be closely contested. Sampaio Corrêa displayed more efficiency in both defence and attack during their last encounter, securing a narrow 1-0 victory. Hence, we anticipate another tightly-fought match, particularly in the opening half, where it’s unlikely either side will find the net more than once.

The best prediction for Madureira vs Sampaio Corrêa

Less than 1.5 goals in the 1st part

Match preview: Madureira vs Sampaio Corrêa

Madureira and Sampaio Corrêa will clash at Aniceto Moscoso Stadium in a match for the Rio 1st DIV (Rio – Final Cup). These teams have recently met only twice: on 06‑02‑2025, with Sampaio Corrêa winning 1-0, and on 14‑02‑2024, with Sampaio Corrêa defeating Madureira 2-1. The home advantage could play a significant role, given the notable differences in performance when playing at home versus away for both teams.

Team analysis: Madureira

The home side arrives at this stage of the Carioca 1st DIV (Rio Copa – Final) following a win away (1-2) and a home draw (0-0) against Nova Iguaçu. Madureira tends to perform better at home, where they possess a record of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, scoring 13 goals and conceding 13. In contrast, their away performance has been less impressive, recording only 3 wins, 2 draws, and 10 losses, with 12 goals scored and 22 conceded. In their last six home games in the Carioca 1st DIV, Madureira achieved 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss. Throughout 13 matches in this competition, they have never managed to overturn a deficit after conceding the first goal.

Madureira enters this match motivated by their recent away victory in the semifinal’s return leg, winning 2-1 following a goalless draw in the first leg. With a total of four wins, three draws, and four losses over eleven rounds, Madureira has demonstrated a robust competitive edge and secured a spot in the Rio Cup prior to the final round of the regular phase of the Carioca Championship, qualifying due to a combination of results from that last round. Starting this match at home against Sampaio Corrêa, Madureira will seek to gain an advantage for the return leg.

Team analysis: Sampaio Corrêa

The visiting team arrives at this stage of the Carioca 1st DIV (Rio Copa – Final) having eliminated Boavista with a 3-0 win at home and a prior 0-0 draw. Sampaio Corrêa typically perform better at home, but their away record in the last 30 matches shows 2 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses; they have managed to win 7, draw 2, and lose 6 at home. In their last seven away games in the Carioca 1st DIV, Sampaio Corrêa holds 1 win, 4 draws, and 2 losses. Their attack has been relatively consistent, scoring in 7 of their last 10 matches in this competition. Away games have seen fewer goals, with 4 of their last 9 ending under 1.5 goals and 7 ending under 2.5 goals. Across their 13 games in this competition, they have conceded the first goal on 4 occasions and have never managed to turn the match around.

Sampaio Corrêa arrives for this first match of the Rio Cup final motivated by a 3-1 victory over Boavista in the semi-finals, following a goalless first leg. With four wins, four draws, and three losses from eleven rounds, Sampaio Corrêa concluded the first phase of the Carioca Championship in 5th place, hence securing the first position in the qualification zone for the Rio Cup. This advantage allows them to host both the semifinal and final return legs at home. Accordingly, Sampaio Corrêa is likely to adopt a cautious approach in this first match away from home, preserving options for the decisive return match.

The best prediction for Madureira vs Sampaio Corrêa

Less than 1.5 goals in the 1st part

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