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Lugano vs Winterthur Prediction – Super Liga

Check out the best predictions for Lugano vs Winterthur

Here you find the best prediction for Lugano vs Winterthur in the Super League, along with match analysis and betting tips.

Read below for a detailed analysis of both teams, including recent form and key statistics from their last matches to provide the best prediction for this clash between Lugano vs Winterthur.

Lugano Logo
Lugano

  • 16 March 2025 – 15::30
  • Super League

  • 2024/2025

  • Normal Time – Round 28

Winterthur logo
Winterthur


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Lugano vs Winterthur

The best prediction for Lugano vs Winterthur in the Super League is that Lugano wins and more than 1.5 goals. Lugano has a vital opportunity to turn their fortunes around. Although under immense pressure to secure a victory, they cannot afford to falter against the league’s bottom side, particularly one struggling significantly on their travels. A win would not only boost their confidence but likely see them score more than once, given Winterthur’s frail defence. Therefore, the best betting option is for Lugano to win and for the match to feature over 1.5 goals.

The best prediction for Lugano vs Winterthur

Lugano wins and more than 1.5 goals

Match preview: Lugano vs Winterthur

Lugano and Winterthur face off at Stadio di Cornaredo, in what is set to be an exciting tie for the 28th round of the Super League. The last encounter between these two sides in this League saw Lugano triumph 3-2 on 25-01-2025. Historically, the head-to-head encounters at this venue favour the home side, with Lugano securing 3 victories and 1 draw in their last 4 meetings. Their most recent clash at this stadium was on 29-09-2024, where Lugano won 2-1; Renato Steffen (82′ and 73′) scored for Lugano while Labinot Bajrami (58′) netted for Winterthur. The home advantage could prove significant, especially considering the pronounced differences in performance when playing at home versus away for both teams.

Team analysis: Lugano

After 12 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses, the home team currently sits in 4th position with 42 points. In their most recent outing, they suffered a defeat against Sion (2-1) followed by another loss at home to Zürich (0-3). Lugano is typically much stronger at home, evidenced by their record of 8 wins, 5 draws, and just 2 defeats at their stadium compared to 5 wins, 1 draw, and 9 losses away. They enter this match after a home loss to Celje on penalties (1-3). For the championship, they have accrued 20 points from a possible 30, possessing 6 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses from their last 10 home games. Defensively, they have allowed goals in 9 of their last 10 matches but have also found the net in 8 of those games. Goals have been prevalent in their fixtures, with 14 of their past 14 matches resulting in more than 1.5 goals. Across 27 games in the league, they have managed to turn the tide in 6 of the 17 matches in which they conceded the first goal.

Lugano appears to be struggling significantly, having transitioned from being one of the most consistent teams in the Swiss Super League to currently facing a concerning period with 6 consecutive defeats. While they enjoyed a lengthy stay at the top of the table, they now find themselves 6 points adrift of the lead. While the situation is not entirely hopeless, it’s clear that Lugano requires a victory to restore confidence, as recent results do not reflect their capabilities. This upcoming match against league bottom team Winterthur could be the perfect opportunity for Lugano to regain their footing.

Team analysis: Winterthur

The visiting side is currently rooted in 12th place, having accumulated 20 points from 5 wins, 5 draws, and 17 losses. They achieved a remarkable 4-0 home victory over St. Gallen in their penultimate fixture but followed that with a loss away to Yverdon Sport (2-1). This team also prefers to play at home, where they boast a record of 5 wins, 1 draw, and 9 losses versus 1 win, 5 draws, and 9 losses when visiting. In league play, Winterthur has mustered just 4 points from the last 30 available, suffering 6 defeats and obtaining 4 draws in their last 10 away matches.

They have not won on the road in 14 matches in this competition. In matches within the league, the most frequent half-time score has been 0-0, occurring in 5 of their 13 games. They have struggled with defensive solidity, conceding goals in 7 of their last 10 encounters, albeit their attack has been productive, scoring in 7 out of the last 10. There is also a trend towards goals in their recent games, as 13 of their last 14 matches in the league have concluded with over 1.5 goals. In 27 league matches, they have never managed to over-turn the scoreline in the 15 occasions they conceded first. Notably, a concerning trend has emerged; they conceded 12 of their 33 goals in the last 14 away matches during the final 15 minutes of the match (76’–90′).’

Winterthur faced disappointment again after showing signs of improvement in their previous match. Following a convincing 4-0 victory over St. Gallen, they succumbed to a 2-1 defeat against Yverdon. Their only two victories in the five most recent matches have been achieved on home soil. As visitors, they are currently enduring a streak of 4 consecutive losses, with their best result in the last five away match being a dull 0-0 draw against Young Boys. Now, at Lugano’s ground, Winterthur will hope to exploit any vulnerabilities within Lugano’s ranks as they seek to score, although a draw would feel inadequate given they sit 8 points behind Yverdon.

The best prediction for Lugano vs Winterthur

Lugano wins and more than 1.5 goals

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