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Lugano vs Thun Prediction – Super League

Check out the best predictions for Lugano vs Thun

Here you’ll find the best prediction for Lugano vs Thun in the Super League, along with a match analysis and betting tips.

Read on for our comprehensive analysis of both teams, including their recent records and key statistics from previous matches to provide the best prediction for this clash between Lugano and Thun.

Lugano Logo
Lugano

  • 27 July 2025 – 14::00
  • Super League

  • 2025/2026
  • Normal Time – Round 1
Thun soon
Thun


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Lugano vs Thun

The best prediction for Lugano vs Thun in the Super League is a victory for Lugano. Following recent results, Lugano will be keen to improve their image after last season’s performance. Playing at home, where they historically perform well, offers them a great opportunity to start the new campaign with a win and secure all three points against a newly promoted Thun side.

The best prediction for Lugano vs Thun

Lugano to win

Match preview: Lugano vs Thun

Lugano and Thun clash at Stadio di Cornaredo in the first round of the Super League. The most recent encounter between these two teams was on 10 February 2022, where Lugano emerged victorious with a score of 4-3. The home advantage could play a vital role, given that Thun shows marked differences in their home and away performance.

Team analysis: Lugano

Lugano debuts in this season after finishing fourth in the last campaign. They have shown a relatively consistent performance both at home and away. In their last 30 games as visitors, they’ve recorded 5 wins, 1 draw, and 9 losses, while at home they secured 4 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses. Their previous encounter ended in a 0-0 draw against CFR Cluj. In their last 10 home games across all competitions, Lugano won 2, drew 4, and lost 4. Although they have struggled defensively, conceding in 7 of their last 10 matches, they managed to score in 7 of those games. Historically, their home games tend to feature goals, with 25 of their last 26 ending with more than 1.5 goals. Importantly, Lugano has not succeeded in overturning a deficit in any of the 7 matches where they conceded first.

Lugano aims to bounce back after a challenging season in 2024/2025. With Young Boys absent from the title race, Lugano sees this as an opportunity to challenge for the top spot again. At their best, they were viewed as strong contenders for the title, but their performance dipped in the final stages, particularly in the last 12 matches where they fell behind Basel, Servette, and Young Boys. Now, heading into the 2025/2026 Super League season, they are eager to make a fresh start at home against Thun, a newly promoted team.

Team analysis: Thun

The visitors make their debut in this season after finishing first last year, earning promotion. Thun tends to be stronger at home, winning 10 of their last 15 matches. However, they recorded 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses in their last 10 away games. In their latest fixture, they managed a narrow 1-0 victory against Étoile Carouge. Thun’s attack has been fairly consistent, scoring in 9 of their last 10 matches. However, they’ve only managed to come back from behind in 1 of the last 5 occasions where they conceded first. Notably, they’ve scored 3 out of their last 8 away goals during the 61st to 75th minutes.

Thun secured the championship in the Swiss Second Division convincingly, finishing with 72 points—11 ahead of Aarau. With 70 goals, they boasted the most prolific attack, conceding only 39 in total, which marked them as having the most solid defence. While these figures are impressive, they must be viewed with a degree of caution as they came from a lower division. The Super League presents a significant challenge for Thun, although they displayed positive form during pre-season, including a victory against Lugano (2-4). This indicates to Lugano just what Thun is capable of.

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