👉 What is the recommended bet for Lorient Metz?

The prediction and betting suggestion for Lorient x Metz on January 4, 2026, based on the analysis written by the experts, is: More Goals -> Over 2.25 goals ⇒ bet available at Bet365.

👉 Which stadium will host Lorient Metz?

The Lorient x Metz match on January 4, 2026, will take place in Lorient, Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir.

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Lorient vs Metz Prediction – Ligue 1

January 3, 2026[email protected]

Check out the best predictions for Lorient x Metz

Here you will find the best prediction for Lorient x Metz in Ligue 1, along with match analysis and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent performance and key statistics from their last matches to provide the best prediction for this match between Lorient x Metz.

Lorient

January 4, 2026 – 16::15
Ligue 1
2025/2026
Regular season – Round 17

Metz

Betting tip and prediction for this match between Lorient x Metz

The best prediction for
Lorient x Metz in the Ligue 1 is over 2.25 goals. Despite the expected balance between the two teams, both Lorient and Metz tend to adopt an offensive stance, prioritizing attack over defensive consistency. This context suggests an exciting match with opportunities for both sides and strong chances of the score being changed more than once.

Match prediction for Lorient x Metz

The teams Lorient and Metz will meet at the Stade Yves Allainmat – Le Moustoir for a match in Ligue 1’s Round 17. The historical head-to-head record at this stadium favors the home team, which has 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last 4 encounters. However, the last time they faced each other at this venue was on January 11, 2025, in a Ligue 2 match that ended in a 0-0 draw. The home factor could play a significant role, as Lorient shows considerable differences in results achieved at home compared to away.

Lorient Analysis

The home team currently occupies the 12th position with 18 points, having registered 4 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses. In their penultimate match, they secured a home win against Olympique Lyonnais by 1-0. In their last game, they drew away against Strasbourg 0-0. This team is stronger when playing at home; in their last 30 games, they have recorded 3 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses away, compared to 10 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses at home. In their last match in the Coupe de France, they achieved a resounding 7-0 victory against AS Gosier. Over the last 8 home matches in the league, Lorient has recorded 4 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, earning 15 points from a possible 24.

In this competition, they have not lost at home for 6 matches. The most common result at halftime in their league home matches has been 1-0, which occurred in 4 out of 8 games. Defensive solidity has not been their strength, having conceded goals in 8 of their last 10 league matches. At home, there is a trend towards goals, as 7 of their last 8 league matches have ended with more than 1.5 goals. In 16 matches in this competition, they have turned around the score only once in the 8 games where they conceded the first goal. A notable period in their last 17 home matches in all competitions is that they conceded 9 of their 20 goals between the 76th and 90th minutes.

Lorient enters this match after a victory by 7-0 against Gosier in a game valid for the Coupe de France. In their last Ligue 1 match, they won against Lyon 1-0. The home team usually plays in a 3-4-3 formation, favoring a slower style of play and channeling their attack through the central corridor. The three players aiming at the opponent’s goal will be Théo Le Bris, Sambou Soumano, and Jean-Victor Makengo. In midfield, Noah Cadiou stands out as the central piece in the buildup, responsible for dictating the pace and organizing attacking plays. Panos Katseris is unavailable for this match due to injury.

Metz Analysis

After 3 wins, 2 draws, and 11 losses, the visiting team stands in 18th position with 11 points. In their last match, they lost to Paris Saint Germain at home by 2-3, having lost in the previous match away against Auxerre by 1-3. This team is little affected by the home factor, showing similar results at home and away, with 5 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses as visitors in their last 30 games, totaling 27 goals scored and 37 conceded. At home, they have achieved 5 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, scoring 21 goals and conceding 19. They arrive at this match after a 3-0 away victory against Biesheim. In the league, Metz has earned 3 points from a possible 24, with 1 win and 7 losses in their last 8 away matches. In away matches, common halftime results are 1-1 (3 out of 8 matches) and 2-0 (3 out of 8 matches). Defensive solidity has been a weakness, as they have conceded goals in 8 of their last 10 matches, but their attack has been consistent, scoring in 7 of the last 10 league games. In their away matches in this competition, there tends to be goals, as 7 out of 8 matches ended with more than 2.5 goals on the scoreboard. In 16 matches, they have conceded the first goal 10 times and turned the score around only once. Notably, in their last 19 away matches across all competitions, they scored 14 of their 32 goals between the 76th and 90th minutes.

Metz enters this matchup after a 3-0 victory against Biesheim in a game valid for the Coupe de France. In their last Ligue 1 match, the visitors lost to PSG 2-3. The visiting team usually plays in a 4-3-3 formation, favoring a faster style of play, with the three players in the advanced zone being Malick Mbaye, Joel Asoro, and Georgiy Tsitaishvili. When engaging in offensive plays, they often exploit the right flank, taking advantage of the depth provided by Koffi Kouao. Pape Sy and Joseph Mangondo are unavailable for this game due to injuries.