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Lille vs Rennes Prediction – Ligue 1

Check out the best predictions for Lille vs Rennes

Here you will find the best prediction for Lille vs Rennes in Ligue 1, along with match analysis and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of the two teams, including recent performances and key statistics from their last games to provide the best prediction for this matchup between Lille and Rennes.

Lille logo
Lille

  • January 3, 2026 – 20::05
  • Ligue 1

  • 2025/2026
  • Regular season – Round 17
Rennes logo
Rennes


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Lille vs Rennes

The best prediction for
Lille vs Rennes in Ligue 1 is over 2.5 goals. It is likely that most of the match will be controlled by Lille; however, both teams have a very offensive style of play, which sometimes leaves their defenses unbalanced. Notably, the market for “Over 2.5 Goals” has been successful in 63% of Rennes’ away games.

Best prediction for Lille vs Rennes

Over 0.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting prediction)
Over 1.5 goals (live betting prediction, double or triple)
Over 2.5 goals (riskier prediction)

Match prediction for Lille vs Rennes

The teams Lille and Rennes face off at Stad Pierre-Mauroy in a clash for round 17 of Ligue 1. In this stadium, the historical head-to-head results favor the home team, which has 1 win and 3 draws from the last 4 encounters. In fact, the last time they met at this stadium was on November 24, 2024, in a match that ended with LOSC Lille winning 1-0. The only goal was scored by Edon Zhegrova (45′). The home factor may be significant, as both teams show considerable differences in their results at home versus away.

Lille Analysis

The home team is currently in 4th place, with 32 points from 10 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses. In the penultimate match, they won at home against Olympique Marseille 1-0. In their last match, they won away against Auxerre 4-3. Lille is a stronger team when playing at home, having registered 7 wins, 1 draw, and 7 losses in their last 30 away games; compared to 11 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses at home. In their last game played for the Coupe de France, they won against St Maur Lusitanos away 1-0. Over the last 8 home matches in the league, Lille has recorded 6 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, acquiring 19 points out of 24 possible.

In this competition, they have won their last 4 home games and have not lost any of the last 5 matches played at their stadium. In matches played at home, there are frequent outcomes: at halftime 0-0 (3 in 8 games) and at full time 1-0 (3 in 8 games). Their attack has been consistently scoring, achieving goals in 8 of their last 10 matches in this competition. In their home games, there’s a tendency for low-scoring games, as 5 of their last 8 games in the league ended with fewer than 2.5 goals. Out of 16 games in this competition, they managed to come back from a deficit in only 2 of the 7 games in which they conceded the first goal. There is a noteworthy period in the last 15 home games across all competitions: they scored 14 of their 31 goals between the 76th and 90th minutes.

Lille enters this match following a victory, having won 1-0 against US Lusitanos Saint-Maur in the Coupe de France. In their last match in Ligue 1, the hosts defeated Auxerre 4-3. The team, guided by Bruno Génésio, often plays in a 4-3-3 formation, where the three forwards are Osame Sahraoui, Olivier Giroud, and Ethan Mbappé. When they attack, they typically do so through the right flank, utilizing the width provided by fullback Thomas Meunier. Romain Perraud is suspended for this game, along with Marc-Aurèle Caillard, Hamza Igamane, Ousmane Touré, and André Gomes, who are sidelined due to injuries.

Rennes Analysis

The visiting team is currently in 6th place, with 27 points from 7 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost away to Paris Saint Germain 5-0. In the last match, they secured a home victory against Brest 3-1. This team is affected by the home factor, being stronger when playing with the support of their fans, having recorded 5 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses in their last 30 away games, scoring 25 goals while conceding 28. At home, they achieved 9 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, amassing a total of 27 goals for and 16 against. The team enters this match following a home victory against Les Sables, winning 3-0. In the league, Rennes has obtained 10 points from 24 possible in their last 8 away games, with 2 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses. There is a frequently recurring scoreline at the end of 90 minutes in their away league games, with the score being 2-2 in 3 of their 8 matches. The team has allowed goals from opponents in 8 of the last 10 matches, indicating a lack of defensive solidity, but their attack has been consistently finding the net, scoring in 9 of their last 10 league matches. In 16 matches in this competition, they managed to turn around the score in only 2 of the 6 matches in which they conceded the first goal.

Rennes enters this match coming off a win, having triumphed 3-0 against Les Sables in the Coupe de France. In their last match in Ligue 1, the visitors won against Brest 3-1. The team, directed by Habib Beye, generally employs a tactical system of 3-5-2, favoring a compact and organized approach, looking to exploit quick transitions to surprise opponents. In the attacking line, key players are Esteban Lepaul and Breel Embolo, who play a critical role in producing dangerous plays. In the midfield, Valentin Rongier is responsible for balancing the team, ensuring defensive solidity and quality in transitioning the ball. Przemysław Frankowski will be unavailable for this match due to injury.

Best prediction for Lille vs Rennes

Over 0.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting prediction)
Over 1.5 goals (live betting prediction, double or triple)
Over 2.5 goals (riskier prediction)

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