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Leon vs Cruz Azul Prediction – Liga MX

Check out the best predictions for León vs Cruz Azul

Here you will find the best prediction for León vs Cruz Azul in Liga MX, along with match analysis and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent performance and key statistics from recent matches to provide the best prediction for this match between León and Cruz Azul.

León logo
León

  • January 10, 2026 – 01::00
  • Liga MX

  • 2025/2026
  • Clausura – Round 1
Cruz Azul logo
Cruz Azul


Betting tip and prediction for this match between León vs Cruz Azul

The best prediction for
León vs Cruz Azul in the Liga MX is a Cruz Azul win. The context of the matchup indicates that the visiting team is likely to take a more dominant role. León comes into this match under pressure after a weak Apertura performance, while Cruz Azul maintains a higher competitive standard and usually controls games even away from home. Therefore, the recommendation is for a victory for Cruz Azul.
 

Best prediction for León vs Cruz Azul

Cruz Azul to win

Match prediction for León vs Cruz Azul

The teams León and Cruz Azul will face off at Estadio León in a match of Liga MX (Clausura). In this stadium, the head-to-head history favors the visiting team, which has 5 wins and 1 draw in the last 6 encounters. The last time they met at this stadium was on May 9, 2025, in a Liga MX match that ended with Cruz Azul winning 3-2. The goals in that game were scored by Sebastian Santos (29′) and Iván Moreno (46′) for León, and José Rivero (14′) and Andres Montaño (41′, 19′) for Cruz Azul. In this match, home advantage could play a significant role, as León shows considerable differences in results achieved at home versus away.

León Analysis

The home team comes into this Liga MX (Clausura) match after finishing 17th in the previous qualifying phase (Apertura), where they accumulated a total of 13 points. This is a team that performs better at home, as in their last 30 matches, they recorded 2 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses as visitors, compared to 5 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses at home. In the league, León took 9 points from 27 possible after 2 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses in their last 9 home games.

They have not won in their last 10 matches in this competition. Their defensive solidity has not been a strong point, as they conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 matches in this competition. Out of 17 matches in this competition, they conceded the first goal 11 times and have never been able to come back to win.

León was far from the top positions during the Apertura and finished the tournament dangerously close to the bottom, sitting in 17th place. This campaign exposed collective weaknesses and a lack of competitive spirit at various times. Now, the Clausura presents a test of character and reconstruction. More than tactical adjustments, the team needs to show a different attitude on the field. Right from the start, against the strong Cruz Azul, León is challenged to prove they can respond, compete, and begin a new chapter with more intensity and commitment.

Cruz Azul Analysis

The visiting team comes into this Liga MX (Clausura) match after finishing 3rd in the previous qualifying phase (Apertura), where they accumulated a total of 35 points. This is a team that maintains performance even when playing away, as in their last 30 matches, they recorded 5 wins, 8 draws, and 2 losses as visitors, compared to 10 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses at home. In their most recent match, they lost to Flamengo in the FIFA Club World Cup at home by a score of 1-2. In the last 10 away matches in the league, Cruz Azul recorded 4 wins, 5 draws, and 1 loss, earning 17 points from 30 possible.

In this competition, they have not lost as visitors for 5 matches. In the matches played away in the league, the most frequent result at the end of the first 45 minutes was 0-0, which occurred in 5 of their 11 games. Although their defensive solidity has not been their strong suit, with goals conceded in 7 of the last 10 matches, their attack has been consistent, scoring in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 21 matches in this competition, they have only managed 2 comebacks in the 8 matches where they conceded the first goal. There is a notable trend in the last 10 away matches for this competition: they scored 5 of their 14 goals between the 46th and 60th minutes.

Cruz Azul had a dedicated Apertura campaign and was part of an electrifying series against Tigres, but ultimately fell short in the semifinals. The fight was intense but not sufficient to take them to the decisive moment of the competition. Still, their run reinforced their competitive strength. Now, the Clausura serves as a chance for redemption and to turn frustration into ambition for the trophy. In their away opener against León, they seek to start with authority and show that they are determined to go all the way.

Best prediction for León vs Cruz Azul

Cruz Azul to win

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