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León vs Cruz Azul Prediction – Liga MX
Check out the best predictions for Leon vs Cruz Azul
Here you find the best predictions of Leon vs Cruz Azul for the MX League, along with match analysis and betting tips.
Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including their recent record and key statistics from the last games to offer the best predictions for this match between León and Cruz Azul.
 Leon |
|  Cruz Azul |
Betting tip and prediction for this match between Leon vs Cruz Azul
The best prediction for Leon vs Cruz Azul in the MX League is fewer than 2.5 goals. Leon should look to assert themselves at home, yet Cruz Azul boasts a robust defensive system and will likely rely on counterattacks. The expectation is for a calculated match with limited open play. This makes fewer than 2.5 goals a sensible bet, considering the balanced nature and strategic significance of this initial encounter.
Match preview: Leon vs Cruz Azul
Note: starting soon! This analysis was prepared for the original date of: 06.05.2025 at 22::00
Leon and Cruz Azul will face off at León Stadium in an MX League match (Clausura – finals). Historically, this venue has favoured the visiting team, with 4 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 encounters. The previous clash here was on 15‑09‑2024, which ended in a 1-2 victory for Cruz Azul. The goals were netted by Jhonder Cadiz (6’) for Leon, while Lorenzo Faravelli (45’) and Carlos Rotondi (84’) scored for Cruz Azul. Considering the significant discrepancies in home and away records, the home advantage could play a pivotal role in this matchup.
Team analysis: Leon
The home team enters this MX League phase (Clausura – Wednesdays of Final) after finishing the previous stage in 6th place with 30 points. They perform better at home, with their last 30 matches showing 5 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses as visitors, compared to 8 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses at home. In their last 10 home games, Leon achieved 6 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, earning 20 out of 30 points available. The most common halftime score in their home matches has been 0-0 (6 out of 17 games). They have conceded goals in 8 of their last 10 matches, indicating a lack of defensive solidity, though their attack has been consistent, finding the net in 9 of their last 10 matches in this competition. Overall, there is a trend towards few goals being scored in their recent home games, with 11 of the last 17 featuring less than 3 goals. Among the 34 games in this competition, they have managed to turn the score around in only 1 of the 10 games in which they conceded the first goal. Notably, they have conceded 5 out of their 14 goals in the 31-45 minute period.
Leon understands they must dominate at home to have a genuine chance of advancing to the semifinals. The strategy involves controlling possession and applying pressure on the opposition from the outset, ensuring Cruz Azul does not gain any advantage that could be defended in the return leg.
Team analysis: Cruz Azul
The visiting team arrives at this stage of the MX League (Clausura – Wednesdays of Final) after finishing in 3rd place with 33 points. They have notably performed better at home; in their last 30 games, they have 5 wins, 7 draws, and 3 losses as visitors, while recording 10 wins, 4 draws, and just 1 loss at home. In their most recent match, they secured a 1-0 victory against Tigres UANL in the Concacaf Champions Cup. In their last 10 league matches, Cruz Azul has achieved 4 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, earning 16 out of a possible 30 points. Their attack has been reliable, scoring in 9 of their last 10 matches. They have conceded the first goal in 13 out of 38 matches, managing to recover in 6 instances. In their last 19 away games, 11 of their 31 goals have been scored in the 31-45 minute timeframe.
Cruz Azul approaches this playoff stage with confidence following a solid regular season. They are known for their tactical resilience and adaptability during matches, which will be vital in this evenly matched encounter. Even as the away team, their aim will be to score at least once, keeping the return leg wide open at their home ground.
The best prediction for Leon vs Cruz Azul
Under 1.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting)
Under 3.5 goals (bet for live, double or triple bet)
Under 3.0 Asian goals (risky bet)
