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Leganés vs Valladolid Prediction – Second Division

Check out the best predictions for Leganés x Valladolid

Here you will find the best prediction for Leganés x Valladolid in the Second Division, along with the match analysis and betting tips.

Read below our detailed analysis of the two teams, including recent head-to-head records and key statistics from their last matches to provide the best prediction for this match between Leganés x Valladolid.

Leganés logo
Leganés

  • January 11, 2026 – 13::00
  • Liga Adelante

  • 2025/2026
  • Regular season – Round 21
Valladolid logo
Valladolid


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Leganés x Valladolid

The best prediction for Leganés x Valladolid in the Second Division is “Under 2.5 Goals.” The match is likely to have few goals, as Leganés is struggling, having only won once and scored a mere six goals. Meanwhile, Real Valladolid performs better but typically engages in low-scoring matches. We expect a balanced game, yet with fewer clear scoring opportunities than anticipated. Therefore, betting on “Under 2.5 Goals” seems to be an excellent choice for this contest.

Best prediction for Leganés x Valladolid

Under 1.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting prediction)
Under 3.5 goals (live betting prediction, double or triple)
Under 3.0 Asian goals (riskier prediction)

Match prediction for Leganés x Valladolid

The teams Leganés and Valladolid are set to face off at the Estadio Municipal de Butarque in a match for Round 21 of the Liga Adelante. The head-to-head record in this stadium favors the home team, which has won 2, drawn 1, and lost 1 of the last 4 encounters. Notably, in the last clash at this venue in La Liga on May 24, 2025, Leganés triumphed with a score of 3-0. The goals for Leganés were scored by Yan Diomande (36′), Javier Hernández (24′), and Juan Cruz (40′). It’s crucial to analyze the home and away performance, as Leganés has shown a stark contrast in results depending on the venue.

Leganés Analysis

The home team currently sits in 16th place, having earned 23 points from 5 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses. In their penultimate match, they lost at home to Sporting Gijón (0-1). However, in their last game, they won against Albacete (1-3) away. Interestingly, this team has been more effective away than at home; across the last 30 matches, they show 6 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses away, scoring 21 goals and conceding 16, contrasted with 3 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses at home, with 15 goals scored and 18 conceded. In the league, Leganés has garnered only 6 points out of 27 available, achieving 1 win, 3 draws, and 5 losses in their last 9 home matches. The team has allowed goals in 8 of their last 10 league games, indicating a lackluster defense. Their home games tend to be low-scoring, with 6 of the last 9 matches ending with fewer than 2.5 goals. Of the 20 matches played in this competition, they have managed only 1 comeback in the 7 games where they conceded the first goal. In their last 20 home matches across all competitions, there is one particular trend: they scored 9 of their 23 goals during the minutes (31’‑45’).

The Leganés defense has not been solid, but they managed to win away in their last match against Albacete with a score of 1-2, with goals from Álex Millán and Roberto López. The team has adopted a 4-2-3-1 formation as a tactical balance, with Álex Millán as the main target for offensive plays. Behind him, Juan Cruz, Roberto López, and Óscar Plano move quite flexibly, alternating their play zones, exploiting gaps in the defense, and maintaining the ball high up the field, allowing the team to sustain offensive volume. Defender Rubén Pulido is confirmed absent, while left winger Duk and right-back Sebastián Figueredo are doubts.

Valladolid Analysis

The visiting team is currently in 12th place, with 25 points from 6 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses. In their penultimate match, they lost away to SD Eibar (3-0). In their last game, they drew at home against Racing Santander (1-1). This team is not significantly affected by the home factor, having similar results both at home and away; over the last 30 matches, they recorded 3 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses as an away team, scoring a total of 13 goals and conceding 26. At home, they have achieved 3 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, with 16 goals scored and 18 conceded. In the league, Valladolid has earned 12 points from 27 available, after 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses in their last 9 away games. The most common outcome at the end of the first 45 minutes in away matches has been 0-0, occurring in 4 of their 11 games. The team has conceded goals to their opponents in 9 of the last 10 league games, pointing to defensive weaknesses. Their away games also trend towards low scoring, as 7 of their last 9 matches in the league ended with fewer than 2.5 goals. Out of 20 matches in this competition, they have conceded the first goal 10 times and managed only 1 comeback.

Real Valladolid may not be having a strong season, but they surprised by earning a point at home in their last match against Racing Santander with a 1-1 draw; their goal was scored by Pablo Tomeo. The team has opted for a 4-3-3 formation as their main setup, focusing their offensive play around Stipe Biuk, Chuki, and Peter Federico, a trio that operates at a high tempo in the final third. They interchange their play zones, appear centrally and in wide areas, exploit weaknesses in the defense, and accelerate plays with coordinated movements, which keeps the team constantly pushing into the opponent’s territory, creating multiple pathways to the box. However, striker Juanmi Latasa, midfielder Víctor Meseguer, and defender Pablo Tomeo will all be unavailable for the next match due to suspensions.

Best prediction for Leganés x Valladolid

Under 1.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting prediction)
Under 3.5 goals (live betting prediction, double or triple)
Under 3.0 Asian goals (riskier prediction)

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