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Lazio vs Napoli Prediction – Serie A

Check out the best predictions for Lazio vs Napoli

Here you will find the best prediction for Lazio vs Napoli in Serie A, along with an analysis of the match and betting tips.

Read below our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent performances and key statistics from their last games to offer the best prediction for this match between Lazio vs Napoli.

Lazio logo
Lazio

  • January 4, 2026 – 11::30
  • Serie A TIM

  • 2025/2026
  • Regular season – Round 18
Napoli logo
Napoli


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Lazio vs Napoli:

The best prediction for
Lazio vs Napoli in the Serie A is that there will be fewer than 2.5 goals. While Napoli is expected to control the game, the visitors excel at slowing the pace down, reducing the likelihood of many dangerous situations arising. Thus, a calmer performance is anticipated, with defensive systems being notably more competent than their respective attacks.

Best prediction for Lazio vs Napoli

Fewer than 1.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting tip)
Fewer than 3.5 goals (live betting tip, double or triple)
Fewer than 3.0 Asian goals (more risky prediction)

Match prediction for Lazio vs Napoli

The teams Lazio and Napoli meet at the Stadio Olimpico in a match for the 18th round of Serie A TIM. The head-to-head record at this stadium favors the visiting team, with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches here. However, in the most recent encounter at this stadium in a Serie A TIM match on February 15, 2025, the result was a 2-2 draw. The goals were scored by Gustav Isaksen (6′) and Boulaye Dia (87′) for Lazio, while Giacomo Raspadori (13′) and Adam Marušić (64′ own goal) found the net for Napoli. Special attention must be paid to the home/away condition, as both teams show significantly different results in their home and away games.

Lazio Analysis

After 6 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses, the home team ranks 8th with 24 points. In the last match, they drew with Udinese away (1-1), having previously drawn at home against Cremonese (0-0). This is a team that is affected by the home factor, performing better in front of their fans, as in their last 30 matches they recorded 4 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses away, with 12 goals scored and 14 conceded, compared to 6 wins, 7 draws, and 2 losses at home, scoring 21 goals and conceding 11. In their last 8 home matches in the league, Lazio has 4 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, having garnered 15 points from a possible 24.

In this competition, they have not lost any of their last 6 games at home. Their home matches tend to feature few goals, as 6 of their last 8 league games ended with fewer than 2.5 goals. In 17 matches in this competition, they have conceded the first goal 6 times and never managed to turn the score around. In their last 20 home matches across all competitions, they marked 14 of their 31 goals between the 76th and 90th minutes.

Lazio comes into this match after a 1-1 draw. during their trip to Udinese, thus marking their fourth consecutive game without losing in this Serie A: the only goal for this team was scored by Oumar Solet (own goal). The home team typically plays in a 4-3-3 tactical system, focusing on quick transitions, especially down the flanks. In this setup, the three key players causing panic in the opposing defense are Mattia Zaccagni, Valentín Castellanos, and Matteo Cancellieri. When they go on the offensive, they usually channel their attack through the left side, exploiting the depth provided by full-back Luca Pellegrini. The players suspended for this match are Boulaye Dia and Fisayo Dele-Bashiru, along with Samuel Gigot and Nicolò Rovella, who have physical issues.

Confirmed lineup: Ivan Provedel, Adam Marusic, Alessio Romagnoli, Mario Gila, Luca Pellegrini, Danilo Cataldi, Matías Vecino, Reda Belahyane, Tijjani Noslin, Mattia Zaccagni, Matteo Cancellieri.
Manager: M. Sarri.

Napoli Analysis

After 11 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, the visiting team is in 3rd place with 34 points. In their last match, they won against Cremonese away (2-0), after having lost in the previous game against Udinese (0-1). This team is stronger when playing at home, as their last 30 matches show 7 wins, 1 draw, and 7 losses away; compared to 12 wins and 3 draws at home. They have recorded 5 wins and 4 losses in their last 9 away league games, gaining 15 points from a possible 27. In their away matches, there’s a tendency for few goals, as 7 of their last 9 games in the competition ended with fewer than 2.5 goals. In 16 matches in this competition, they managed to turn the score around only once in the 5 games where they conceded the first goal.

Napoli arrives at this game after a victory by 0-2. during their trip to Cremonese’s stadium, thus returning to winning ways in this Serie A after the defeat against Udinese: both goals for the team were scored by Rasmus Højlund. The visiting team typically lines up in a 3-4-3 formation, with David Neres, Eljif Elmas, and Rasmus Højlund as the most advanced players. When going on the offensive, they generally channel their attacks down the left side, utilizing the width provided by full-back Leonardo Spinazzola. Injured players missing this match include Billy Gilmour, Frank Anguissa, and Kevin De Bruyne, all dealing with physical issues.

Confirmed lineup: Vanja Milinković-Savić, Amir Rrahmani, Giovanni Di Lorenzo, Juan Jesus, Leonardo Spinazzola, Eljif Elmas, Scott McTominay, Stanislav Lobotka, David Neres, Rasmus Højlund, Matteo Politano.
Manager: A. Conte.

Best prediction for Lazio vs Napoli

Fewer than 1.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting tip)
Fewer than 3.5 goals (live betting tip, double or triple)
Fewer than 3.0 Asian goals (more risky prediction)

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