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Inter vs Napoli Prediction – Serie A

Check out the best predictions for Inter vs Napoli

Here you will find the best prediction for Inter vs Napoli in Serie A, as well as the match analysis and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including their recent history and key statistics from recent matches to provide the best prediction for this game between Inter and Napoli.

Inter logo
Inter

  • January 11, 2026 – 19::45
  • Serie A TIM

  • 2025/2026
  • Regular Season – Round 20
Napoli logo
Napoli


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Inter vs Napoli

The best prediction for Inter vs Napoli in the Serie A is over 2.5 goals. Despite Inter being the clear favorites, Napoli has shown a very positive attitude, especially in offense, creating scoring opportunities regularly. It’s worth mentioning that the “Over 2 Goals” market has won in 78% of Inter’s home games. Therefore, given the playing styles of both teams, everything points to an open match with scoring chances at both ends and a high probability of several goals being scored.

Best prediction for Inter vs Napoli

Over 0.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting tip)
Over 1.5 goals (live betting tip, double or treble)
Over 2.0 Asian goals (riskier tip)

Match prediction for Inter vs Napoli

The teams Inter and Napoli play at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza in a match for the 20th round of Serie A TIM. It was Napoli who won at home (3-1) the last time they faced each other in this league edition, on October 25, 2025. The history of head-to-head encounters at this stadium favors the home team, which has won 2 and drawn 2 of the last 4 matches. However, in the last fixture at this stadium in Serie A TIM, on November 10, 2024, the game ended in a draw (1-1). The goals in that match were scored by H. Çalhanoğlu (43′) for Inter and S. McTominay (23′) for Napoli. In this match, home advantage could be crucial, as Napoli has shown differences in performance in their home and away games.

Inter Analysis

The home team is currently in 1st place, with 42 points earned after 14 wins and 4 losses. In their second-to-last match, they won at home against Bologna (3-1). In their last match, they won away against Parma (0-2). This team maintains its performance even when playing away, as in the last 30 games they recorded 9 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses as visitors; against 11 wins and 4 losses at home. In the last 9 home matches in the league, Inter has registered 7 wins and 2 losses, accumulating 21 points out of a possible 27. In their home matches this season, the most frequent score at halftime has been 1-0, which occurred in 4 of their 9 matches. Their attack has been consistently scoring, as they netted goals in 9 of the last 10 matches in this competition. Home games often see goals, with 7 of their last 9 league matches ending with over 2.5 goals. This is a team that often scores first: they opened the scoring in 15 of their last 18 matches in Serie A TIM, and out of those 15, they led at halftime in 10 and maintained the lead until the end in 14. There have been 1 particular period noted in the last 20 home matches across all competitions: they conceded 7 of their 17 goals between the 76th and 90th minutes.

The Inter team comes into this clash with a victory, having won 0-2 at Parma, marking their sixth consecutive triumph in Serie A: the goals were scored by Marcus Thuram and Federico Dimarco. The home team usually plays in a 3-5-2 formation, with Lautaro Martínez and Marcus Thuram as the two players tasked with causing chaos in the opponent’s defense. The midfield is expected to feature Federico Dimarco, Luís Henrique, Nicolò Barella, Henrikh Mkhitaryan, and Hakan Çalhanoğlu, the latter being responsible for creating the offensive plays. Missing from this match are Davide Frattesi, Andy Diouf, Tomás Palacios, Matteo Darmian, Raffaele Di Gennaro, and Denzel Dumfries, all due to injury.

Confirmed lineup: Yann Sommer, Manuel Akanji, Federico Dimarco, Carlos Augusto, Yann Bisseck, Luis Henrique, Henrikh Mkhitaryan, Petar Sučić, Hakan Çalhanoğlu, Lautaro Martínez, Pio Esposito.
Manager: S. Inzaghi.

Napoli Analysis

The away team is currently in 3rd place, with 38 points earned after 12 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses. In their second-to-last match, they won away against Lazio (0-2). In their last match, they drew at home against Hellas Verona (2-2). This team is stronger when playing at home, as in the last 30 games they recorded 7 wins, 1 draw, and 7 losses as visitors; against 11 wins and 4 draws at home. In the league, Napoli has accumulated 18 points out of a possible 30 after 6 wins and 4 losses in their last 10 away matches. Their attack has been scoring regularly, having converted in 7 of their last 10 matches in this competition. Away games tend to see fewer goals, as 8 of their last 10 league matches ended with under 2.5 goals. In 18 matches in this competition, they conceded the first goal 6 times and have only managed 1 comeback.

Napoli comes into this clash with a draw, 2-2 against Verona, marking their third consecutive match without a loss in Serie A: the goals were scored by Giovanni Di Lorenzo and Scott McTominay. The away team often plays in a 3-4-3 tactical setup, favoring a faster style of play. In this formation, the three players who wreak havoc in the opponent’s box are Rasmus Højlund, Noa Lang, and Eljif Elmas. Midfielder Stanislav Lobotka acts as the brain of the team, responsible for setting and guiding the offensive moves. Missing from this match are David Neres, Giuseppe Ambrosino, Sam Beukema, Billy Gilmour, Romelu Lukaku, Frank Anguissa, and Kevin De Bruyne, all due to injury.

Confirmed lineup: Vanja Milinković-Savić, Amir Rrahmani, Alessandro Buongiorno, Giovanni Di Lorenzo, Miguel Gutiérrez, Scott McTominay, Stanislav Lobotka, Eljif Elmas, Matteo Politano, Rasmus Højlund, Noa Lang.
Manager: A. Conte.

Best prediction for Inter vs Napoli

Over 0.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting tip)
Over 1.5 goals (live betting tip, double or treble)
Over 2.0 Asian goals (riskier tip)

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