How to Improve Your Accuracy Rate in Football Betting

Complete Guide to Improving Your Accuracy Rate in Football Betting

Football betting can be exciting and profitable, but like any other form of investment, it requires studying and understanding the market well in order to maximise your chances of success. In this guide, we will teach you how to improve your accuracy rate in football betting, focusing on a detailed analysis of the main betting markets, as well as effective strategies for analysing teams, matchups, and the behaviour of teams in different situations.

How to Analyse the Match to Make Accurate Predictions

The first thing you should do before placing a football bet is to analyse the match. This involves a number of factors that can impact the performance of the teams. Below are the key points to observe:

Current Form of the Teams

The current form of the teams in their recent matches is one of the most important indicators. Look at their recent performance, such as wins, draws, and losses, and also consider the quality of the opponents they have faced. A team that has won several consecutive matches against tough opponents is more likely to continue that strong form.

Injuries and Suspensions

Key players being out due to injuries or suspensions can have a huge impact on a team’s performance. Stay alert to the latest news to understand who will be on the field. This is especially relevant when an attacking star or a key defender is absent.

Attack and Defence Statistics

Evaluate the offensive and defensive statistics of each team:

Attack: How many goals has the team been scoring per match?
Defence: How many goals has the team been conceding?

These statistics can help you predict the nature of the game, whether it will be a high-scoring affair or a more balanced match.

Team Motivation and Objectives

Some teams play with greater motivation in decisive matches (for example, when they are fighting to avoid relegation or to secure a spot in the Champions League). Others, in a competition with no more objectives, might have a more relaxed attitude. This factor can greatly influence the outcome.

Before placing a bet, a detailed analysis of the teams and available markets is crucial. With the statistical tools on our website, you can access accurate information about each team’s performance across different markets. Let’s explore each of these markets and how you can use statistics to make more informed decisions.

How to Analyse the Football Betting Markets

There are various betting markets in football, and each requires a detailed analysis to find value. Let’s learn how to use the available statistics to identify the best markets for your bets.

How to Analyse Teams to Bet on Wins

To place a more accurate bet on a team winning, it’s essential to observe both the recent performance and the overall history of the team. Here are some important points to analyse:

Recent Results: Use statistics such as wins, clean-sheet victories, losses, and unbeaten streaks to understand how the team is performing. If the favourite team has a positive winning streak, their chances of winning increase.
Home vs Away Performance: Check statistics for home and away games separately, as some teams are much stronger at home.
Performance in the League: Compare the team’s performance in the last 10 matches with its overall performance during the season to assess consistency.

In the result market, statistics help understand how a team behaves in their league. Using the percentage statistics model (Model 1), you can see the team’s win rate, loss rate, and clean-sheet win percentage. Additionally, the match streaks model (Model 2) shows how the team has been performing in recent matches.

Example: If Liverpool has 8 wins and 2 losses in the last 10 matches, with 5 of those wins being clean sheets, this suggests a strong defence and an efficient attack. In this case, you might consider betting on markets such as **Asian Handicap -1.0** or **Win to Nil**, depending on the opponent’s performance.

Strategy: When betting on the winner, favour teams with strong recent performances, a stronger squad, and motivation for the match.

How to Bet on Asian Handicap -1.0 or -1.5

The Asian Handicap market is ideal when you want to bet on the favourite with more confidence, especially if you believe the team will win by more than one goal. Here’s how to analyse this market:

Favourite Team with a Good Run of Results: Check the last 10 matches and the favourite’s winning streak. If the team has been winning by large margins, such as 2 or 3 goals, -1.0 or -1.5 could be a good choice.
Defence of the Opposing Team: If the opposing team has a weak defence, conceding many goals, the favourite is more likely to win by a significant margin.
Head-to-Head Data: Check the history of direct encounters between the teams to understand how they perform against each other.

Strategy: Bet on Asian Handicap -1.0 or -1.5 when the favourite shows offensive superiority and has a recent history of winning by wide margins.

Betting on Goals (Over 1.5, 2.5 or 3.5)

Another common market is “Total Goals in the Match”. To bet on over 1.5, 2.5, or 3.5 goals, you need to analyse:

Offensive Performance of the Teams: Check the goals scored by the teams, both at home and away. If both teams have strong attacks, especially against weak defences, a bet on over 2.5 goals could be promising.
Vulnerable Defences: Analyse goals conceded by the teams. If both teams have a high average of goals conceded, a high-scoring game is more likely.
Goal Sequences: Use the match streaks tool to see if the team has been consistently scoring more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals in recent games.

The total goals statistics help predict how many goals will be scored in the match. The tools show the percentage of games with **over 1.5**, **2.5**, or **3.5 goals**.

Example: If Bayern Munich’s last 20 matches resulted in 75% games with **over 2.5 goals**, this indicates a strong attacking approach. Betting on **over 2.5 goals** might be a good option when Bayern faces teams with weak defences.

Total Goals Scored and Conceded (Over 0.5, 1.5, 2.5 Goals Scored or Conceded)

The statistics for **goals scored** and **goals conceded** show how many goals a team has scored or conceded on average. Model 1 shows the percentage of games with **over 0.5**, **1.5**, or **2.5 goals scored or conceded**. Model 2 shows the recent streak of games where a team has scored or conceded a specific number of goals.

Example: If PSG has an average of 2 goals scored per match and an average of 1.2 goals conceded in the last 15 matches, this indicates a strong attack and a defence that might be vulnerable. Betting on **over 1.5 goals scored by PSG** or **over 0.5 goals conceded by them** could be a good strategy.

Strategy: Bet on over 1.5 or 2.5 goals when teams show strong offensive statistics and a playing style prone to goals. For first-half bets, check if teams tend to score early.

Betting on the First Half (Over 0.5 Goals or Win at Half-Time)

To bet on goals in the first half or half-time results, you should observe:

Quick Starts: Look at the average number of goals scored and conceded by teams in the first half. If the favourite team tends to score early and apply pressure at the start, it’s a good idea to bet on over 0.5 goals in the first half or a half-time win.
Pressure at the Start of the Match: Some teams start very strong in the first half. If the favourite has a good record of half-time wins, betting on HT/FT (Half-Time/Full-Time) might be an interesting option.

The HT/FT Results statistics show the percentage of half-time and full-time wins. In Model 1, you’ll see the total number of half-time wins compared to total matches, while Model 2 shows the recent streak of half-time wins.

Example: If Barcelona has won 12 of the last 15 first halves, this indicates a strong tendency to dominate the start of the match. Betting on a **half-time win** could be a solid strategy for games where Barcelona is playing at home against a weaker team.

Betting on Both Teams to Score

The “Both Teams to Score” bet can be very profitable, especially in balanced games. To analyse this market, consider:

Goals Scored and Conceded History: If both teams have a good average of goals scored and conceded, the chance of both teams scoring in the match is high. Also, check the specific statistics for both teams at home and away.
Goal Sequences: Use the streaks tool to check if both teams have shown a consistent pattern of scoring and conceding goals in recent matches.

Strategy: Bet on “Both Teams to Score” when both teams show good offensive performance, but with weak or vulnerable defences.

Betting on Corners

Bets on corners can be a great option for high-intensity matches. Here’s how to analyse:

Teams’ Average Corners: Check the average number of corners per match for both the favourite team and the opponent. If a team tends to put pressure on the opponent, they will be more likely to win corners.
Corners in the First Half: Some teams have a playing style that generates many corners early in the match. Analyse the average number of first-half corners to place a more informed bet.
Corners For and Against: Check the corners for and against statistics. If a team is very strong offensively, they will have more corners in their favour.

Strategy: Bet on more corners if a team dominates possession and attacks constantly.

Betting on Cards

Betting on cards is also an interesting option, especially in high-stakes or more aggressive games. For this market, consider:

Teams’ Card History: Analyse the number of cards received by the teams, especially if there are players prone to fouls or if the teams have a history of tough games.
Cards in the Match: If both teams have a high average number of cards, betting on “Total Cards in the Match” might be a good option.
Cards in the First Half: Some teams start the match with high pressure and aggression, which can generate more cards early on. Analyzing first-half card statistics can help make more accurate decisions.

Strategy: Bet on more cards if the match involves teams with high aggression or historic rivals.

How to Use Statistical Tools in Your Analysis Process

Statistics are powerful tools for making detailed analyses. On our website, you can access a range of data to help you make more accurate betting decisions. Here are three statistical models available to you:

Model 1 – General and Head-to-Head Matches

With head-to-head statistics, you can analyse both the direct encounters between teams and their overall performance against other teams. This lets you observe the history of wins, losses, goals scored, and conceded, as well as assess how teams perform in different situations (home and away). The tool provides a complete overview of how teams have been behaving in various circumstances and against different opponents.

Model 2 – Percentage Statistics

Percentage statistics give a clear view of the probability of a market occurring in a specific match. For example, if a team has won 70% of its games with more than 2.5 goals, it indicates that this trend is strong and should be taken into consideration when betting. Access this data to better understand the probabilities involved in each market.

Model 3 – Streak Statistics

The streak model shows a team’s behaviour over a longer period. If a team has consistently scored over 1.5 goals in its last 20 matches, it’s a strong indication that this trend may continue.

Conclusion

By using statistics intelligently, you can significantly improve your betting accuracy and increase your success rate. Always remember to analyse the details of each market and team, looking for patterns that signal good betting opportunities. Apply these strategies and use our statistical tools to make more informed decisions and improve your chances of success in football betting.

Good luck and happy betting!