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Holstein Kiel vs St. Pauli Prediction – Bundesliga

Check out the best predictions for Holstein Kiel vs St. Pauli

Here you find the best prediction for Holstein Kiel vs St. Pauli for the Bundesliga, along with an analysis of the match and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including their recent form and key statistics from their last matches to provide the best prediction for this fixture between Holstein Kiel vs St. Pauli.

Holstein Kiel Logo
Holstein Kiel

  • 12 April 2025 – 13::30
  • Bundesliga

  • 2024/2025
  • Normal Time – Round 29
St. Pauli Logo
St. Pauli


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Holstein Kiel vs St. Pauli

The best prediction for Holstein Kiel vs St. Pauli in the Bundesliga is that both teams to score. Admittedly, the visiting club has a stronger individual arsenal, yet Holstein Kiel benefits from the robust backing of their fans. It is worth noting that the market for “both teams to score – yes” has been the winning bet in the last four encounters between these teams. Therefore, we can expect to witness a match filled with scoring opportunities from both sides.

Match preview: Holstein Kiel vs St. Pauli

Holstein Kiel and St. Pauli face off at Holstein Kiel-Stadion in a clash of the 29th round of the Bundesliga. The last time these teams met in this competition, on 29-11-2024, St. Pauli emerged victorious at home with a score of (3-1). Historically, in this stadium, the home team has an edge, having secured 3 wins against 2 defeats in their last 5 encounters. However, the most recent match at this venue, which took place on 23-02-2024, ended with St. Pauli winning (3-4). Scorers in that match included Shuto Machino (53′), Joshua Mees (65′), and A. Bernhassson (82′) for Holstein Kiel, while Marcel Hartel (34′), Connor Metcalfe (57′), and OladoPo Afolayan (36′ and 11′) netted for St. Pauli. The home advantage may play a significant role, as Holstein Kiel typically performs better at home compared to their away results.

Team analysis: Holstein Kiel

Currently, Holstein Kiel is struggling in 18th position with 18 points, having recorded 4 wins, 6 draws, and 18 losses. Their last match was a 1-1 draw against FSV Mainz 05, following a disappointing 0-3 loss at home to Werder Bremen. The team has suffered from the home advantage factor, performing significantly better in front of their own supporters than when playing away. In their last 30 matches, they achieved 2 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses as visitors, scoring 21 goals while conceding 35. Conversely, at home, they have 4 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, with 25 goals scored and 34 conceded. Within the league, Holstein Kiel has garnered 11 points out of a possible 30, achieving 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses in their last 10 home fixtures. Defensively, they have struggled, allowing goals in 9 of their last 10 matches, though their attack has been relatively consistent, scoring in 8 of their last 10 games in this competition. Notably, 13 of their last 14 home matches for this competition have resulted in over 1.5 goals. This team rarely scores first, having done so in only 6 of their last 28 Bundesliga matches, and of those, they led at half-time in 5 and won 3. They have conceded the first goal in 22 of their 28 league games and only managed to overturn the scoreline once.

Holstein Kiel enters this match after a 1-1 draw. In their match against FSV Mainz 05, the goal was scored by Alexander Bernhasson. The team is likely to adopt a 3-4-3 tactical setup, focusing on exploiting spaces during attacking phases. Key players in the attacking front will include Alexander Bernhassson, Shuto Machino, and Steven Skrzybski. The side tends to build their offensive plays down the right flank, taking advantage of the forward runs of Lasse Rosenboom. David Zec is suspended for this match, along with Patrick Erras, Benedikt Pichler, Ivan Nekic, Colin Kleine-Bekel, and Andu Klatei, all of whom are dealing with physical injuries.

Team analysis: St. Pauli

St. Pauli is positioned 15th in the table, having collected 26 points from 7 wins, 5 draws, and 16 losses. In their second to last match, they suffered a 3-2 defeat to Bayern Munich, followed by a 1-1 draw at home against Borussia Mönchengladbach. This team has been less impacted by the home advantage, showing similar results both at home and away; in their last 30 games, they recorded 3 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses on the road, scoring a total of 14 goals while conceding 22. At home, they have won 4 matches, drawn 4, and lost 7, scoring 12 goals and conceding 15. Within the league, St. Pauli achieved 10 points from 30 possible, with their record over the last 10 away games being 3 victories, 1 draw, and 6 defeats. Defensively, they have allowed goals in 8 of their last 10 league matches, indicating a lack of defensive solidity. In terms of their away games, they have shown a trend for low scoring, as 9 of their last 14 matches in the league have concluded with fewer than 2.5 goals. In 28 matches this season, St. Pauli has never managed to turn the score around in the 17 games where they conceded the first goal. A notable statistic is that 5 of their 14 goals have been scored during the final minutes (76’–90′) of their last 14 away matches in the league.

St. Pauli comes into this match after a 1-1 draw at home against Borussia Mönchengladbach, where the only goal was netted by OladoPhayan. The visiting team typically operates in a 3-5-2 formation, with Noah Weißhaupt and Elias Saad leading the attack. They generally build their offensive plays down the left side, utilising the penetrating runs of defender Philipp Treu. Coach Alexander Blessin will be missing several players due to injuries, including Sascha Burchert, Simon Zoller, Karol Mets, Sören Ahlers, James Sands, and Siebe van der Heyden.

The best prediction for Holstein Kiel vs St. Pauli

Over 0.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting suggestion)
Over 1.5 goals (suggested for live double or triple betting)
Both teams to score (risky prediction)

Do both teams score? Yes

Notice: Sports betting involves risks. It is advised to gamble responsibly and only wager amounts you are willing to lose.

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