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Hamburg vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction – Bundesliga

Check the best predictions for Hamburg vs Bayer Leverkusen

Here you will find the best prediction for Hamburg vs Bayer Leverkusen in the Bundesliga, along with an analysis of the match and betting tips.

Read below our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent records and key statistics from the last games to provide the best prediction for this match between Hamburg vs Bayer Leverkusen.

Hamburg logo
Hamburg

  • January 13, 2026 – 19::30
  • Bundesliga

  • 2025/2026
  • Regular season – Round 17
Bayer Leverkusen logo
Bayer Leverkusen


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Hamburg vs Bayer Leverkusen

The best prediction for Hamburg vs Bayer Leverkusen in the Bundesliga is that both teams will score. It is expected to be a balanced match; however, both teams tend to provide good spectacles where the attacks easily overshadow the defenses. Additionally, it’s noteworthy that the market for “Both teams to score – Yes” has been successful in the last four games Hamburg played at home.

Best prediction for Hamburg vs Bayer Leverkusen

Over 0.5 goals in the first half (live betting tip)
Over 1.5 goals (live betting tip, double or triple)
Both teams to score (riskier prediction)

Will both teams score? Yes

Match prediction for Hamburg vs Bayer Leverkusen

The teams Hamburg and Bayer Leverkusen will play at the Volksparkstadion in a duel of the 17th round of the Bundesliga. There is no recent record of direct confrontations between the two teams, as they have not played against each other in the last three years. The last time they faced each other was on February 17, 2018, in a match that ended with the final score: Hamburger (1-2) Bayer Leverkusen. Special attention is needed regarding home/away conditions since both teams show significantly different results in their home and away matches.

Analysis Hamburg

After 4 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, the home team is in 13th place, having gained 16 points. In their last match, they lost to SC Freiburg away (2-1), after having previously drawn at home against Eintracht Frankfurt (1-1). This team is notably stronger when playing at home, as in the last 30 matches they recorded 4 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses as visitors; compared to 7 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses at their stadium. In the league, Hamburg has earned 14 points from 24 possible, following 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last 8 home matches.

In this competition, they are unbeaten at home in their last 4 matches. In matches played at their home ground in the league, the most frequent result at the end of the first 45 minutes was 0-1, which occurred in 3 out of their 8 games. Defensive solidity has not been their strong suit, as they have conceded at least one goal in each of the last 10 games, but their attack has been scoring regularly, finding the net in 8 of the last 10 matches in this competition. In 16 matches in this competition, they conceded the first goal 9 times and only managed to turn the score around once.

Hamburg enters this match following a loss, by 2-1, on their trip to the Freiburg stadium, marking their third consecutive match without a win in this Bundesliga: the team’s only goal was scored by Luka Vušković. The home team typically aligns in a 3-4-3 tactical system, emphasizing a style of play characterized by constant transitions. In this setup, the three forward players are expected to be Fábio Vieira, Damion Downs, and Jean-Luc Dompé. When they engage in offensive play, they usually do so through the left corridor, taking advantage of the depth offered by Miro Muheim. Missing from this game is Daniel Elfadli due to suspension, along with Robert Glatzel, Rayan Philippe, Fábio Baldé, Fernando Dickes, Aboubaka Soumahoro, Warmed Omari, and Yussuf Poulsen, who are all injured.

Confirmed lineup: Daniel Heuer Fernandes, Daniel Elfadli, Luka Vuskovic, Miro Muheim, Nicolás Capaldo, Fábio Vieira, Nicolai Remberg, Albert Sambi Lokonga, Jean-Luc Dompé, Damion Downs, Bakery Jatta.
Coach: S. Baumgart.

Analysis Bayer Leverkusen

After 9 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, the visiting team is in 4th place, having collected 29 points. In their last match, they lost to VfB Stuttgart at home (1-4), after previously winning away against RB Leipzig (1-3). Interestingly, this team has been stronger away than at home, as in the last 30 matches they recorded 9 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses as visitors; compared to 7 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses at their stadium. In the league, Bayer Leverkusen has garnered 13 points from 21 possible, following 4 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last 7 games as visitors. The team allowed goals from opponents in 7 of their last 10 matches, revealing some defensive weaknesses, but their attack has scored regularly, finding the net in 8 of the last 10 matches in this competition. There is a trend for goals in their away matches, as 23 of the last 27 games they played ended with over 1.5 goals. In 16 matches in this competition, they conceded the first goal 5 times and only managed to turn the score around once.

Bayer Leverkusen enters this clash following a defeat, by 1-4, to Stuttgart, ending their two-game winning streak in this Bundesliga: the team’s only goal was scored by Alejandro Grimaldo. The visiting team typically plays in a 3-4-3 tactical setup, favoring quick attacks and subsequent crosses into the opposing area. In this system, the three players occupying the advanced positions are Nathan Tella, Martin Terrier, and Malik Tillman. However, it is important to note that the visiting side has shown some vulnerabilities at the back. Missing from this match is Exequiel Palacios due to physical issues.

Confirmed lineup: Mark Flekken, Alejandro Grimaldo, Jarell Quansah, Jeanuël Belocian, Arthur, Ezequiel Fernández, Malik Tillman, Robert Andrich, Aleix García, Nathan Tella, Martin Terrier.
Coach: G. Seoane.

Best prediction for Hamburg vs Bayer Leverkusen

Over 0.5 goals in the first half (live betting tip)
Over 1.5 goals (live betting tip, double or triple)
Both teams to score (riskier prediction)

Will both teams score? Yes

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