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Guarani vs Santos Prediction – Paulista Championship

Check out the best predictions for Guarani x Santos

Here you will find the best prediction for Guarani x Santos in the São Paulo Championship, along with an analysis of the match and betting tips.

Read below our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent head-to-head statistics and key statistics from their last matches to provide the best prediction for this match between Guarani x Santos.

Guarani logo
Guarani

  • January 18, 2026 – 23::30
  • Paulista A1

  • 2026
  • Paulista Series A1 – Round 3
Santos logo
Santos


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Guarani and Santos

The best prediction for Guarani x Santos in the São Paulo Championship is a win for Santos. The expectation is that Santos will control the pace of the game and effectively seek out goals, while Guarani needs to adjust and create chances accurately. It is anticipated that Santos will impose their game plan and secure the victory.

Best prediction for Guarani x Santos

Santos to win

Match prediction for Guarani x Santos

The teams Guarani and Santos will clash at the Brinco de Ouro Stadium in a match for the São Paulo A1 (Paulista Series A1). The history of encounters at this stadium favors the home team, which has won 1 and drawn 2 of the last 3 matches. However, in the last match at this stadium, in the Series B on August 21, 2024, the game ended in a (1-1) draw. The goals were scored by Anderson Leite (87′) for Guarani and Gonzalo Escobar (69′) for Santos. Special attention should be paid to the home/away condition, as both teams show significantly different results in home and away games.

Guarani Analysis

After 1 draw and 1 loss, the home team comes into this 3rd round in 12th place, with 1 point earned. In the previous round, they lost away to Novorizontino (2-0), after drawing (1-1) at home against Primavera SP in their first match of this group stage. This team is affected by the home factor, being stronger when playing in front of their fans, as they have 3 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses as visitors in their last 30 matches, scoring 16 goals and conceding 22, compared to 6 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses at home, scoring 14 goals and conceding 12. In their last 10 home games, Guarani has recorded 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses. The team allowed goals to their opponents in 7 of their last 10 games, indicating that their defense needs improvement, but their attack has been consistently scoring, accomplishing goals in 7 of their last 10 games. In their home matches, there is a tendency for low-scoring games, as 9 of their last 19 matches ended with fewer than 1.5 goals and 13 of 19 ended with fewer than 2.5 goals. In 15 games, they only managed to turn the score around once in the 7 games where they conceded the first goal. There are key periods in the last 19 home matches across all competitions: they scored 37 of their 56 goals between the minutes (46′-60′).

Guarani has not had a good start in the São Paulo Championship, having only accumulated one point so far. The internal environment has faced recent turbulence, directly impacting the team’s performance. Playing at home, they aim to use the strength of the crowd as motivation to search for their first victory. Against a stronger opponent, a high level of concentration will be necessary. The team’s approach needs to be competitive, balancing defense and attack. An above-average performance is crucial to aim for an upset.

Santos Analysis

The visiting team comes into this 3rd round in 5th place, with 3 points from 1 win and 1 loss. In their debut, they won at home against Novorizontino (2-1). In the 2nd round, they lost away to Palmeiras (1-0). This is a stronger team at home, seeing that in their last 30 matches, they have recorded 4 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses as visitors, compared to 8 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses at home. In their last 10 away games, Santos has won 1, drawn 4, and lost 5. Their attack has been consistently scoring, tallying goals in 8 of their last 10 games. In 15 games, they conceded the first goal 8 times and have never managed to turn the score around. There are key periods in the last 20 away matches across all competitions: they scored 7 of their 20 goals between the minutes (76′-90′).

Santos comes into this match looking for recovery after the away defeat in the previous round’s derby. The victory in their opener showed potential, but the team knows it needs more consistency. The trend is towards an organized team, avoiding unnecessary mistakes and spaces. Even while playing away, Santos is likely to take control at various moments in the game. Their technical superiority is seen as an important factor for the outcome. Accumulating three points is essential to remain competitive in the fight for the top positions.

Best prediction for Guarani x Santos

Santos to win

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