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Grêmio vs Sport Prediction – Brazilian Serie A

Check out the best predictions for Grêmio vs Sport

Here you will find the top prediction for Grêmio vs Sport in the Brazileirão Serie A, along with an analysis of the match and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including their recent records and the key statistics from their last games to provide the best prediction for this match between Grêmio and Sport.

Grêmio logo
Grêmio

  • 10 August 2025 – 23::30
  • Brazileirão Series A

  • 2025

  • NORMAL ROUND – MATCHDAY 19

Sport logo
Sport


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Grêmio vs Sport

The best prediction for Grêmio vs Sport in the Brazileirão Serie A is over 2.5 goals. Both teams are struggling defensively, having conceded numerous goals in recent matches. The expectation is for an open match with scoring opportunities at both ends, making the bet on more than 2.5 goals a strong choice for this duel.

The best prediction for Grêmio vs Sport

Over 0.5 goal in the 1st half (live bet suggestion)
Over 1.5 goals (live, double or treble bet suggestion)
Over 2.5 goals (risky prediction)

Match preview: Grêmio vs Sport

Grêmio and Sport will face off at the Grêmio Arena in a match for the 19th round of the Brazileirão Serie A. Historically, direct confrontations at this venue favour the visiting team, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters, losing only 1. However, in their last meeting at this stadium during Serie B on 20 September 2022, Grêmio secured a 3-0 victory, with goals from Lucas Leiva (59′), Gabriel Teixeira (52′), and Bitelo (74′). It’s essential to consider their home and away records, as Grêmio has shown different performances in these contexts.

Team analysis: Grêmio

Currently sitting 14th, Grêmio has accumulated 20 points from 5 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses. Their recent form includes a 1-0 defeat to Fluminense away, following a home win against Fortaleza (2-1). At home, the team performs significantly better, with 7 wins, 6 draws, and just 2 losses from their last 30 matches. In the last 8 home matches for the championship, Grêmio boasts 4 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, gathering 15 points from a possible 24.

At home, they have not been defeated in the last 6 matches in this competition. Common results at home include a 0-0 scoreline at half-time (3 in 8 games) and a full-time score of 1-1 (3 in 8 games). Their defensive performance has been shaky, allowing goals in 8 of their last 10 matches, although their attack has remained relatively active, scoring in 8 of those 10 fixtures. Albeit, recent home games tend to see fewer goals, as 6 of their last 8 matches ended with under 2.5 goals. Remarkably, they have never overturned the scores in any of the 7 games where they conceded the first goal.

Grêmio’s performance this season has been well below expectations, necessitating a swift turnaround to avoid further complications. Facing off at home against the league’s bottom team, a victory is imperative for them to initiate recovery. Despite being favoured, they must exhibit more cohesive football, especially in defence, which remains a key weakness. With the pressure mounting from fans, any slip could exacerbate the internal crisis.

Team analysis: Sport

Sport currently occupies the 20th position with just 6 points from 6 draws and 10 losses. Their most recent match ended in a goalless draw against Bahia at home, following another draw against Santos (2-2) in their previous fixture. The team is less impacted by home advantage, displaying similar results whether playing home or away, recording 4 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses in their last 30 games as visitors, with a total of 14 goals scored and 20 conceded. At home, they have 4 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, scoring 17 goals and conceding 15.

In this competition, Sport has not won any of their last 16 games. The most frequent result at half-time in their matches has been 1-0 (3 in 8 games). Defensively, they have allowed goals in 9 of their last 10 games, indicating a lack of solidity at the back. Additionally, this team struggles to score first; they have only led in 4 of their last 16 matches and have never been able to maintain their lead, conceding goals before the final whistle. In 16 games played, they have conceded the first goal 9 times and have yet to turn the result around.

Sport’s current predicament is increasingly precarious as they sit at the bottom of the table, without a win in the competition. The team faces significant challenges in all areas and needs a drastic change in attitude to spur a turnaround. Playing away against a traditional opponent adds to the challenge, but scoring is vital to keep their hopes alive. They must focus on defensive duties and capitalise on the scarce opportunities that present themselves.

The best prediction for Grêmio vs Sport

Over 0.5 goal in the 1st half (live bet suggestion)
Over 1.5 goals (live, double or treble bet suggestion)
Over 2.5 goals (risky prediction)

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