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Grêmio vs Corinthians Prediction – Brazilian Serie A

Check out the best predictions for Grêmio vs Corinthians

Here you will find the best prediction for Grêmio vs Corinthians in the Brazileirão Serie A, along with an analysis of the match and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent form and key statistics from their last matches, to provide the best prediction for this encounter.

Grêmio logo
Grêmio

  • 12 June 2025 – 23::00
  • Brazileirão Series A

  • 2025
  • Normal Time – Round 12
Corinthians logo
Corinthians


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Grêmio and Corinthians

The best prediction for Grêmio vs Corinthians in the Brazileirão Series A is a victory for Grêmio. The hosts will look to capitalise on their home advantage against a side that traditionally struggles away from home. The Rio Grande do Sul team is capable of controlling the match’s tempo and securing a positive result, making the bet on Grêmio’s win a solid choice for this fixture.

The best prediction for Grêmio vs Corinthians

Grêmio to win

Match preview: Grêmio vs Corinthians

Grêmio and Corinthians face off at the Arena do Grêmio in a match for the 12th round of the Brazileirão Serie A. Historically, the visiting side has had the upper hand in previous encounters at this ground, winning three and drawing two of their last five meetings. In their last match here on 08 December 2024, Corinthians triumphed with a convincing 3-0 scoreline, having goals from Charles (88′), Yuri Alberto (45′), and Memphis Depay (90′). The home/away performance is noteworthy; the 12th and 11th placed teams in the general classification represent a clearer contrast of the 10th at home versus 16th when away.

Team analysis: Grêmio

After recording 4 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, Grêmio sits in 12th place with 15 points. In their last outing, they secured a vital away win against Youth, followed by a home victory over Bahia. Grêmio has been notably stronger at home, amassing 11 points on their ground compared to only 4 on their travels. In the championship, they’ve claimed 11 points from the last 18 available, boasting 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss over their last six matches at home.

They have not faced defeat in their last four home games. However, defensive solidity has been an issue, conceding goals in 7 of their last 10 fixtures. The attack has been more reliable, scoring in 8 of the same 10 matches. Of note, Grêmio has netted 12 of their 34 goals in their last 20 home matches between the 31st and 45th minutes.

With 15 points on the board, Grêmio’s season has seen a mix of victories, draws, and losses. Their defence has faced challenges, allowing 14 goals, indicating vulnerability at crucial moments. Nonetheless, they have netted 11 goals, proving their ability to create threats in attack. Following an encouraging victory away from home, Grêmio is likely to seize the initiative at home and attempt to control the midfield to avoid surprises.

Team analysis: Corinthians

With 4 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, Corinthians currently reside in 11th position, also with 15 points. Their latest match ended in a goalless draw at home against Vitória, following another draw away to Atlético Mineiro. While they have been stronger at home with 13 points, they have struggled on the road, earning only 2 points from their last five away fixtures—resulting in 2 draws and 3 losses.

Corinthians have not managed a win in their last five away games in this competition, and they’ve only managed to level the score in 1 of the 5 matches where they conceded the first goal. Their current position in the table leaves them just above 11th place, but their form is less stable, plagued by a series of draws and losses that have affected team morale. Struggling with consistency, particularly defensively, they have also let in 14 goals. Their attack has found the net 12 times, but they have been unable to capitalise on all created opportunities. For this away battle, Corinthians must enhance their defensive organisation and seek greater offensive efficiency to secure a favourable outcome against a direct rival in mid-table.

The best prediction for Grêmio vs Corinthians

Grêmio to win

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