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Grêmio vs Bahia Prediction – Brazilian Serie A
Check out the best predictions for Grêmio vs Bahia
Here you will find the best prediction for Grêmio vs Bahia in Brasileirão Serie A, along with an analysis of the match and betting tips.
Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent records and key statistics from their last games to provide the best prediction for this matchup between Grêmio and Bahia.
 Grêmio |
|  Bahia |
Betting tip and prediction for this match between Grêmio and Bahia
The best prediction for Grêmio vs Bahia in the Brasileirão Serie A is to bet on less than 2.5 goals. This match is expected to feature high intensity in midfield, which should restrict clear chances, likely leading to a controlled match with few goals.
The best prediction for Grêmio vs Bahia
Under 1.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting)
Under 3.5 goals (prediction for live, double or treble bet)
Under 3.0 Asian goals (risky prediction)
Match preview: Grêmio vs Bahia
Grêmio and Bahia meet at the Grêmio Arena in the 10th round of the Brasileirão Serie A. Historically, the home advantage favours Grêmio, with 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last 6 encounters. However, during their previous meeting in this stadium on 17 August 2024, Bahia emerged victorious with a scoreline of 0-2, where Thaciano netted both goals. The home aspect could play a crucial role once again, as Grêmio tend to perform significantly better at home compared to their away results.
Team analysis: Grêmio
Currently, Grêmio sits in 17th place with 9 points from 2 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses. Their most recent match ended in a 1-1 draw against Bragantino, and they suffered a 2-1 loss to São Paulo prior to that. The team has struggled on the road, with statistics showing 3 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses in their last 30 away fixtures, scoring 19 goals while conceding 24. Conversely, at home, they are comparatively stronger with 7 wins, 5 draws, and just 3 losses over the same period, scoring 25 goals against 13 conceded. In their last Brazilian Cup match, Grêmio drew 0-0 against CSA. Over the last five league matches at home, they accrued 8 points from a possible 15, despite defensive lapses costing them dearly, as they conceded goals in 8 of their last 9 games. Nonetheless, their attack has found the net in 7 of the last 9 league fixtures.
Grêmio is currently enduring a turbulent phase, facing several painful eliminations and a series of disappointing results in the Brasileirão, placing them in the relegation zone. Despite managerial changes, there has been little improvement evident on the field. Problems are apparent in both defensive and offensive play, struggling to create clear opportunities while being vulnerable defensively. The mounting pressure from fans necessitates a victory to kickstart their recovery. At home, Grêmio is expected to exert more intensity, though confidence remains shaky. The challenge ahead is formidable against a team on the rise.
Team analysis: Bahia
The visiting team, Bahia, currently occupies 6th position with 15 points from 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses. They recently secured a 2-1 victory against Vitória at home, while their previous encounter resulted in a 1-0 loss to Flamengo away. Bahia exhibits resilience regardless of venue, evidenced by 7 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses in their last 30 away matches, scoring 18 goals and conceding 11. At home, their record shines with 10 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, netting 25 goals and conceding only 11. They head into this matchup after a convincing 4-0 win against Paysandu. Within the league in recent matches, they gained 4 points from 12 available after 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last 4 matches on the road. Bahia’s attack has been regular, scoring in 7 of their last 9 games, and they often take the lead first, scoring first in 7 out of their last 9 matches in Série A, maintaining that advantage until the final whistle in 4 of those.
Bahia is currently operating at a significantly more stable level, buoyed by their Brazilian Cup progression and a recent classic win in the Brasileirão. They display strong tactical organisation, effective transitions, and balance between defence and attack, resulting in favourable outcomes. Playing away, they enter the match with confidence, looking to exploit Grêmio’s momentarily shaky form in order to solidify their standing at the top of the league table. The expectation is for Bahia to play with patience, taking advantage of any spaces left open due to the pressure on their opponents. Their recent consistency is a strong asset heading into this encounter.
The best prediction for Grêmio vs Bahia
Under 1.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting)
Under 3.5 goals (prediction for live, double or treble bet)
Under 3.0 Asian goals (risky prediction)
