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Grêmio vs Atlético-MG Prediction – Brazilian Serie A

Check out the best predictions for Grêmio vs Atlético-MG

Here you will find the best prediction for Grêmio vs Atlético-MG in the Brasileirão Série A, along with an analysis of the match and betting tips.

Read below our detailed analysis of both teams, including their recent form and key statistics from the latest matches to provide the best prediction for this encounter between Grêmio and Atlético-MG.

Grêmio
Grêmio

  • 29 March 2025 – 21::30
  • Brasileirão Série A

  • 2025

  • Normal Time – Round 1

Atlético-MG
Atlético-MG


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Grêmio and Atlético-MG

The best prediction for Grêmio vs Atlético-MG in the Brasileirão Série A is to bet on “less than 2.5 goals.” Grêmio is still looking to recover after losing the state championship, while Atlético-MG, riding high from their recent Mineiro title, may adopt a more cautious approach when playing away from home. The balance between the teams indicates a tightly contested match, but with few clear chances for either side.

The best prediction for Grêmio vs Atlético-MG

Under 1.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting)
Under 3.5 goals (prediction for live, double or triple bet)
Under 3.0 Asian goals (risky prediction)

Match preview: Grêmio vs Atlético-MG

Grêmio and Atlético-MG face off at the Grêmio Arena in the 1st round of the Brasileirão Série A. Historically, the home team has fared well in direct encounters here, with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last four meetings. However, their last encounter at this venue on 01‐09‐2024 saw Atlético Mineiro come out on top with a score of 2-3. Goals from Franco Cristaldo (42′) and Martin Braithwaite (32′) for Grêmio were overshadowed by Eduardo Vargas (90′), Brahian Palacios (90′), and Gustavo Scarpa (73′) netting for Atlético-MG. The home advantage could play a significant role in this match, as Grêmio’s home results tend to differ markedly from their away form.

Team analysis: Grêmio

The home side begins this edition after finishing in 14th place last season. They are a side that benefits from their home advantage, demonstrating better results in front of their own fans. In their last 30 matches, they have recorded 2 wins, 8 draws, and 5 losses away from home, scoring 15 goals while conceding 17. At home, they have achieved 8 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with 33 goals scored and 21 conceded. Grêmio enters this match following a 1-1 draw away to Internacional. In their last 10 home games across all competitions, they have won 6, drawn 2, and lost 2. The team has conceded goals in 8 of their last 10 matches, indicating that their defence requires improvement, yet their attack has been fairly consistent, scoring in 8 of those games. Of 15 games played, they have only managed to turn the score around in 2 occasions when conceding the first goal.

After losing the Gauchão to their biggest rivals, Grêmio is on a quest to re-establish their season. Looking to contend for top honours in the Brazilian Championship, achieving a solid start in this debut could significantly increase their chances of securing their first victory, especially with the support of their home fans.

Team analysis: Atlético-MG

The visiting team embarks on this season following a 12th place finish last year. They are a side that maintains performance even when playing away, having recorded 4 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses in their last 30 games as visitors; in contrast, they have achieved 7 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses at home. In their last outing, they suffered a 1-0 defeat to América Mineiro away. In their last 10 away matches, Atlético-MG has managed to secure 4 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses. Defensive solidity has been one of their strengths, conceding goals in only 2 of their last 10 matches, while their attack has been prevalent, scoring in 9 of those games. A notable aspect in their last 20 away matches has been their capacity to net 5 of their 13 goals in the closing minutes (76′ – 90′).

After clinching the Mineiro Championship, Atlético-MG arrives with a strong sense of morale for their debut in the Brasileirão. The season has begun positively, and they do not anticipate a drop in form during this challenging encounter. Aspiring to contend for top positions in the table, it is vital they aim for at least a draw against Grêmio in this difficult away fixture.

The best prediction for Grêmio vs Atlético-MG

Under 1.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting)
Under 3.5 goals (prediction for live, double or triple bet)
Under 3.0 Asian goals (risky prediction)

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