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Gijón vs Málaga Prediction – Second Division

Check out the best predictions for Gijón vs Málaga

Here you will find the best prediction for Gijón vs Málaga in the Second Division, along with match analysis and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent form and key statistics from their most recent matches to provide the best prediction for this match between Gijón and Málaga.

Gijón logo
Gijón

  • January 4, 2026 – 13::00
  • Liga Adelante

  • 2025/2026
  • Regular season – Round 20
Málaga logo
Málaga


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Gijón vs Málaga

The best prediction for Gijón vs Málaga in the Second Division is over 2.0 Asian goals. Gijón has been performing at their best at home, where they have secured most of their victories and scored the majority of their goals, having lost only twice. Málaga, on the other hand, has struggled away from home but comes into this match with a positive streak and should pose a threat in attack. We expect an open game, dominated by the hosts, but with chances for both teams to score. Therefore, betting on the “Handicap, Over 2 Goals” market seems to be a solid option for this match.

Best prediction for Gijón vs Málaga

Over 0.5 goal in the 1st half (live betting tip)
Over 1.5 goals (live betting tip, double or treble)
Over 2.0 Asian goals (riskier bet)

Match prediction for Gijón vs Málaga

The teams Gijón and Málaga play at Estadio Municipal El Molinón in a match of the 20th round of Liga Adelante. In this stadium, the head-to-head record favors the home team, who have 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last 4 encounters. However, the last time they met at this stadium was on December 21, 2024, in a Liga Adelante match that ended with Málaga winning 3-1. The goals in that match were scored by Víctor Campuzano (82′) for Gijón and by Dioni (90′, 86′) and Roko Baturina (46′) for Málaga. In this match, the home advantage could play a crucial role, as Málaga shows significant differences in performance between home and away matches.

Gijón Analysis

The home team is currently in 7th place, with 30 points accumulated, following 9 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses. In their penultimate match, they won at home against Granada 1-0. In their last match, they achieved an away victory against Leganés 1-0. This is a team that maintains its form when playing away, recording 7 wins and 8 losses in their last 30 away games, compared to 8 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses at home. In the league, Gijón has gained 18 points from 30 possible, with 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses in their last 10 home matches.

In this competition, they have not lost at home in 6 matches. In home league matches, the most frequent halftime score in their games has been 0-0, which occurred in 4 of their 10 matches. Their attack has been consistently scoring, netting goals in 8 of their last 10 league matches. Out of 19 games in this competition, they conceded the first goal 7 times and have only managed to turn the result around once. There are 1 notable periods in their last 10 home matches in this competition: they conceded 4 out of 11 goals between the 76th and 90th minutes.

Sporting Gijón is experiencing a good run, achieving their fourth consecutive victory last round away against Leganés 1-0, with a goal from Jonathan Dubasin. The most frequent formation has been 4-2-3-1, a setup that places Juan Otero as a key player upfront, enabling offensive pushes. Just behind, Gaspar Campos, Jonathan Dubasin, and César Gelabert occupy advanced midfield positions, alternating roles, speeding up plays, and intensively attacking spaces in the final third, with a system favoring wing play, featuring Dubasin as the most effective player in converting opportunities into goals. It appears that the full squad will be available for the next match.

Málaga Analysis

After 7 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, the visiting team is in 10th place, having gathered 26 points. In their last match, they defeated Almería at home 2-1, after winning against Albacete away previously 3-1. This is a team that performs stronger at home, as they have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 10 losses in their last 30 away matches, compared to 8 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses on home ground. In the league, Málaga has secured 7 points from 27 possible, with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 6 losses in their last 9 away games. Their most common halftime score in league Away games has been 1-0 (4 out of 9 matches). Defensive solidity has not been their strong suit, suffering at least one goal in each of their last 10 matches, but their attack has been scoring consistently, achieving goals in 8 of their last 10 matches in this competition. In 19 games in this competition, they have managed to turn the score around just once in the 8 matches where they conceded the first goal. There are 1 notable periods in their last 20 away matches across all competitions: they suffered 11 out of their 31 goals between the 76th and 90th minutes.

Málaga is on a positive streak, returning to win against Almería at home last round with a score of 2-1, with goals scored by Dani Lorenzo and Chupe. The team generally presents in a 4-3-3 formation, which features Chupe, David Larrubia, and Joaquín Muñoz in the most advanced position, forming a highly dynamic trio. The movement of the three makes it difficult for the opposing defense and keeps the attack active in the final third, with Chupe frequently appearing in finishing zones and establishing himself as the team’s top scorer. Defenders Moussa Diarra and Álex Pastor, midfielder Luismi Sánchez, and Ramón Enríquez are in the medical department and are doubts for the next match, while left-back Víctor García, suspended, will be a confirmed absence.

Best prediction for Gijón vs Málaga

Over 0.5 goal in the 1st half (live betting tip)
Over 1.5 goals (live betting tip, double or treble)
Over 2.0 Asian goals (riskier bet)

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