Genoa vs Milan Prediction – Serie A

Check out the best guesses for Genoa vs Milan

Here you find the best guess of Genoa vs Milan for Serie A, in addition to the match analysis and betting tips. Read below our detailed analysis of both teams, including the recent record and the main statistics of the last games to offer the best guess for this match between Genoa vs Milan.

Genoa 05 May 2025 – 18::45 Serie A TIM 2024/2025 NORMAL EXPENDANCE – ROUND 35

Milan Guess for bet: The most likely guess for this challenge will be AC Milan to win. Admittedly, the visiting club travels to the opponent’s stadium; however, it has been under these conditions that AC Milan has gained more points. It is noteworthy that the visiting team have won three of the last four games played on others’ turf. Thus, risking on the visitors in this match is a prudent option.

The best prediction for Genoa vs Milan in the Serie A is a victory for AC Milan. This prediction is based on their recent form, where they have demonstrated a strong ability to perform away from home. With their impressive record against Genoa, including a recent victory in their last encounter, they are well-positioned to secure the win again. The home advantage for Genoa may not be enough to offset Milan’s consistency, especially considering their ability to score goals and put pressure on the opposition.

Departure forecast

Genoa and Milan play at Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris, in a match of the 35th round of Serie A TIM. In the last confrontation between these teams in this competition, on 15‑12‑2024, the final result was a draw (0‑0). At this stadium, the history of direct confrontations is favourable to the visiting team, which has 2 wins and 1 draw in the last 3 games. Indeed, the last time they faced each other at this stadium was on 07-07-2023, in a Serie A Tim match that ended with Milan’s victory (0‑1). The only goal of the match was scored by Christian Pulišić (87′). In this match, the home factor may play an important role, as both teams feature significant differences in home and away results.

Team analysis: Genoa

After 9 wins, 13 draws and 12 losses, the home team is in 13th position, having secured 39 points. In their last match, they lost (1‑0), having also been defeated in the previous match at home, against Lazio (0‑2). Genoa tends to perform better when playing at their own ground, as evidenced by their last 30 games, which show 3 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses away; compared to 5 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses at home. In their last 10 home league matches, Genoa has recorded 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, earning 18 points from a possible 30. Notably, the most common result at halftime in their home matches has been 0‑0, occurring in 8 of their 17 games. However, defensive solidity has not been their strong point, conceding goals in 7 of their last 10 matches in this competition. There is a trend for low-scoring games at home, with 11 of the last 17 yielding fewer than 3 goals. In 34 matches this season, they have conceded the first goal 20 times and have never managed to turn the score around. Genoa enters this round following a 1-0 defeat during their recent trip. The home team typically aligns in a 4-3-3 formation, favouring an attacking and dynamic style of play, supported by quick transitions. Their offensive threats include Honest Ahanor, Morten Thorsby, and Jeff Ekhator. The left flank is often exploited, with Aaron Martín providing depth and consistent support. However, they will be without several key players due to injuries, including Mario Balotelli and Caleb Ekuban.

Team analysis: Milan

The visiting team is currently in 9th place, having accumulated 54 points from 15 wins, 9 draws, and 10 losses. In their penultimate match, they suffered a home defeat to Atalanta (0‑1). However, in their last match, they claimed an away victory against Venetian (0‑2). Interestingly, this team has been stronger away than at home in recent times, with 9 wins and 6 losses on the road compared to 6 wins, 7 draws, and 2 losses at home in their last 30 games. Milan’s last 10 league matches away have resulted in 6 wins and 4 losses, earning 18 points from a possible 30. The most frequent result for them on the road has been 2‑1, occurring in 6 of their 17 matches. Despite allowing goals in 8 of their last 10 games, they have maintained a consistent scoring record, having found the net in 9 of those matches. Furthermore, in away games, there is a tendency for high-scoring matches, with 12 of 17 ending with more than 2.5 goals. In 34 games this season, they have only managed to turn the score around in 4 of the 16 matches in which they conceded first. AC Milan heads into this match following a 0-2 victory, with goals from Christian Pulisic and Santiago Gimenez. The team, managed by Stefano Pioli, is expected to stick with the 3-4-3 formation, focusing on rapid transitions and width through the flanks. Their attacking trio of Rafael Leão, Christian Pulisic, and Tammy Abraham poses a constant threat to opposing defences. Fortunately for the Rossoneri, all players are fit for this challenge.

The best prediction for Genoa vs Milan in the Serie A is a victory for AC Milan.