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Genoa vs Cagliari Prediction – Serie A

Check out the best predictions for Genoa vs Cagliari

Here you will find the best prediction for Genoa vs Cagliari in Serie A, along with match analysis and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent performances and key statistics from their last matches to provide the best prediction for this game between Genoa and Cagliari.

Genoa logo
Genoa

  • January 12, 2026 – 17::30
  • Serie A TIM

  • 2025/2026
  • Regular season – Round 20
Cagliari logo
Cagliari


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Genoa vs Cagliari

The best prediction for the Genoa vs Cagliari match in Serie A is the occurrence of multiple goals. It is expected that the home side will dominate, however, both teams play extremely attacking football with minimal defensive caution. Additionally, the “Over 1.5 Goals” market has been successful in the last four away matches for Cagliari.

Best prediction for Genoa vs Cagliari

Over 0.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting tip)
Over 1.5 goals (live betting tip, double or treble)

Match prediction for Genoa vs Cagliari

The teams Genoa and Cagliari will face off at the Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris in a match for the 20th round of the Serie A TIM. In their last encounter in this competition on November 22, 2025, the final result was a draw (3-3). At this stadium, the head-to-head record favors the home team, with 3 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 matches. However, the last time they met at this venue was on November 24, 2024, in a Serie A TIM game that ended in a draw (2-2). The goals in that match were scored by M. Frendrup (12′) and Fabio Miretti (59′) for Genoa, and Roberto Piccoli (88′) and R. Marin (8′) for Cagliari. In this match, the home factor could be crucial, as Genoa shows significant differences in results when playing at home versus when playing away.

Genoa Analysis

After 3 wins, 7 draws, and 9 losses, the home team is in 17th place with 16 points. In their last match, they drew 1-1 against AC Milan away, having also drawn at home against Pisa (1-1) in their previous game. Interestingly, this team has better results away from home, as they have registered 3 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses as visitors in their last 30 matches, scoring 18 goals and conceding 25, compared to 3 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses at home, with 15 goals scored and 21 conceded. In their last 10 home league games, Genoa has only 1 win, 4 draws, and 5 losses, earning 7 points out of a possible 30. The most common score at halftime in their home games has been 0-0, occurring in 4 of their 10 matches. Defensive solidity has not been their strong suit, as they have conceded at least one goal in each of their last 10 matches, although their attack has been scoring regularly, finding the net in 9 of their last 10 league games. In 19 matches this season, they conceded the first goal 8 times and managed to come back only once.

Genoa comes into this match after a 1-1 draw in their trip to Milan’s stadium, marking their fifth consecutive match without a win in this league; their only goal came from Lorenzo Colón. Guided by Daniele De Rossi, the home team sticks to its characteristic 3-5-2 formation, focusing on dynamic, attacking football. Up front, Lorenzo Colón and Vitinha form a fast duo capable of troubling any defense. In midfield, Ruslan Malinoxkyi orchestrates operations, dictating the pace and creating openings with great vision. Injuries will keep Maxwel Cornet, Albert Grønbæk, Benjamin Siegrist, Junior Messias, and Caleb Ekuban out of this match.

Cagliari Analysis

After 4 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses, the visiting team is in 14th place with 19 points. In their last match, they drew 2-2 against Cremonese away, following a previous home loss to AC Milan (0-1). This team generally performs decently away, as they have registered 3 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses over their last 30 away matches, compared to 5 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses at home. In the league, Cagliari has secured 10 points from 30 possible, gathering 2 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses in their last 10 away matches. Their defensive solidity has been lacking, as they conceded goals in 8 of their last 10 matches, but their attack has scored regularly, netting in 7 of those games. This team rarely scores the first goal, having only done so in 4 of their last 19 matches in Serie A TIM; of those 4, they were leading at halftime in 2 and won both at the end of 90 minutes. In 19 matches, they conceded the first goal 14 times and managed only 2 comebacks.

Cagliari arrives at this match after a 2-2 draw in their visit to Cremonese, marking their second consecutive match without a win in the Serie A; the team’s goals were scored by Yael Trepy and Michel Adopo. Coach Fabio Pisacane is likely to set up in a 3-4-3 tactical system, with Gianluca Gaetano, Gennaro Borrelli, and Zito Luvumbo occupying the forward positions. Matteo Prati is key in midfield, responsible for organizing attacking plays and dictating the game’s tempo. Injured players who will miss this match include Alessandro Deiola, Zé Pedro, Michael Folorunsho, Andrea Belotti, and Mattia Felici.

Best prediction for Genoa vs Cagliari

Over 0.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting tip)
Over 1.5 goals (live betting tip, double or treble)

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