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Genoa vs Atalanta Prediction – Serie A

Check out the best predictions for Genoa vs Atalanta

Here you find the best prediction for Genoa vs Atalanta in Serie A, alongside match analysis and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including their recent records and main statistics, to offer the best prediction for this match between Genoa vs Atalanta.

Genoa logo
Genoa

  • 17 May 2025 – 18::45
  • Serie A TIM

  • 2024/2025
  • NORMAL EXPENSE – ROUND 37
Atalanta logo
Atalanta


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Genoa vs Atalanta

The best prediction for Genoa vs Atalanta in Serie A is over 2.25 goals. Despite Atalanta being expected to be the more dominant team, Genoa rarely relinquishes their attacking instincts, promising a thrilling encounter. With both teams adept at creating chances and good form in the final third, we anticipate an open and dynamic match with numerous opportunities at both ends.

The best prediction for Genoa vs Atalanta

More/less goals -> more than 2.25 goals

Match preview: Genoa vs Atalanta

Genoa and Atalanta will meet at Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris for the 37th round of Serie A TIM. Atalanta previously triumphed at home with a score of (5-1) during their last encounter in this season on 5 October 2024. In previous matches at this stadium, the visitors have had the upper hand with 2 wins and 1 draw out of their last 3 meetings. Their latest clash here took place on 11 February 2024, where Atalanta emerged victorious with a score of (1-4). The goals that day were scored by Ruslan Malinovskyi (51’) for Genoa, and Charles de Ketelaere (22’), El Bilal Touré (90’), Teun Koopmeiners (55’), and Davide Zappacosta (90’) for Atalanta. The home advantage may play a crucial role, as Atalanta has shown marked discrepancies in performance between home and away matches.

Team analysis: Genoa

After achieving 9 victories, 14 draws, and 13 defeats, the home side currently sits in 13th place with 39 points. Their last match ended in a draw with Napoli (2-2), following a previous home loss to Milan (1-2). This team is relatively unaffected by the home advantage, registering similar results whether playing at home or away. Over their last 30 matches, they have recorded 3 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses as visitors, with 11 goals scored and 16 conceded, compared to 5 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses at home, scoring 16 and conceding 17. In their last 10 home fixtures in the league, Genoa has notched up 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, amassing 17 points from a possible 30. In their home matches, the most common result at half-time has been 0-0, which has occurred in 9 out of 18 games. Defensive solidity has been a challenge, as they’ve conceded goals in 8 of their last 10 league outings. In all 36 games played, they have never come back to win after going behind in the 21 matches where they conceded first. Notably, out of their last 18 home games, they have scored 9 of their 19 goals in the final 15 minutes (76’-90’).

Genoa enters this match following a 2-2 draw against Napoli, with goals from Johan Vásquez and an own goal by Alex Meret. Under Patrick Vieira’s management, they play a 4-3-3 formation, favouring quick transitions, particularly down the flanks. Key attackers include Brooke Norton-Cuffy, Vitinha, and Andrea Pinamonti, who have the task of breaking down opposition defences. Stefano Sabelli adds width on the right, bringing additional attacking options. Unfortunately, they will be missing Mario Balotelli, Ruslan Malinovskyi, and Fabio Miretti due to injury concerns.

Confirmed lineup: Benjamin Siegrist, Sebastian Otoa, Johan Vásquez, B. Norton-Cuffy, Honest Ahanor, Stefano Sabelli, Morten Thorsby, Morten Wetche Frendruir, Patrizio Masini, Andrea Pinamonti, Junior Messiah.
Technical: P. Vieira.

Team analysis: Atalanta

Following 21 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses, the visitors hold 3rd place with 68 points. They recently secured a 2-1 victory over Roma at home, after an impressive 0-4 win away against Monza. Interestingly, they have performed better on the road than at home; in their last 30 matches, they’ve achieved 9 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats away from home, scoring 34 goals and conceding just 10. At home, they have 5 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, with 24 goals scored and 17 conceded. In their last 10 league away games, Atalanta has garnered 7 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, earning 23 points out of a possible 30. Throughout 36 Serie A matches, they have conceded the first goal 12 times but have managed to recover in 4 of those. Out of their last 18 away games, they notably conceded 5 out of 11 goals between the 46th and 60th minutes.

Atalanta comes into this match in high spirits after a 2-1 win against Roma, with goals from Ademola Lookman and Ibrahim Sulemana. The visiting side typically employs a 3-4-3 tactical setup, with Charles de Ketelaere, Ademola Lookman, and Mateo Retegui spearheading the attack. Mario Pašalić plays a pivotal role in the midfield, orchestrating key goal-scoring opportunities. Coach Gian Piero Gasperini will be without Berat Djimsiti due to suspension, along with Rafael Tolói, Gianluca Scamacca, Giorgio Scalvini, Marco Lecce, Juan Cuadrado, and Sead Kolašinac, all of whom are dealing with injuries.

Confirmed lineup: Marco Carnesecchi, Odilon Kossounou, Isak Hien, Roon Mars, Éderson, Davide Zappacosta, Raoul Bellanova, Mario Pašalić, Ademola Lookman, Mateo Retegui, Charles de Ketelaere.
Technical: G. Gasperini.

The best prediction for Genoa vs Atalanta

More/less goals -> more than 2.25 goals

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