Fluminense vs Grêmio Prediction – Brazilian Serie A
Check out the best predictions for Fluminense vs Grêmio
Here you’ll find the best prediction for Fluminense vs Grêmio in the Brazileirão Serie A, along with match analysis and betting tips.
Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including their recent records and key statistics from the last games, to provide the best prediction for this match between Fluminense vs Grêmio.
 Fluminense |
|  Grêmio |
Betting tip and prediction for this match between Fluminense vs Grêmio
The best prediction for Fluminense vs Grêmio in the Brazileirão Serie A is a bet on less than 2.5 goals. In a contest between two teams under pressure and struggling for form, we can expect a closely contested match. Fluminense is currently experiencing a tough patch with consecutive defeats, while Grêmio has struggled to make an impact away from home. Given these circumstances, backing a low-scoring match appears to be the prudent choice.
The best prediction for Fluminense vs Grêmio
Under 1.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting)
Under 3.5 goals (bet for live, double or triple bet)
Under 3.0 Asian goals (risky bet)
Match preview: Fluminense vs Grêmio
Fluminense and Grêmio meet at the Figueira de Melo Stadium for the 18th round of the Brazileirão Serie A. Historically, the visiting team has fared well at this ground, boasting 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss over the last 5 encounters. Their most recent meeting here ended in a 2-2 draw on 02 November 2024, with goals from Jhon Arias and Kauã Elias for Fluminense, and Reinaldo and Martin Braithwaite for Grêmio. In this upcoming match, the home advantage could be significant since both sides have distinct discrepancies in their performances at home and away.
Team analysis: Fluminense
After 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses, the home side is in 12th place with 20 points. Their last match saw them lose to São Paulo (3-1), following a home defeat against Palmeiras (1-2). Fluminense tends to perform better at home, boasting 10 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses in their last 30 matches on home soil compared to 6 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses when playing away. Recently, they secured a 1-2 victory against Internacional. In their home fixtures this campaign, Fluminense recorded 13 points from a possible 21, which includes 4 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last 7 home fixtures. The most common scoreline at home for the team has been 2-1 (3 times in 7 matches). However, their defence has been shaky, conceding goals in 9 of their last 10 games, while their attack has been consistent, scoring in 7 of those matches. Of the 15 matches played in this competition, they have conceded the first goal 8 times, with only 2 successful comebacks.
Fluminense, under the guidance of Renato Portaluppi, seems to be facing a decline in the Brazileirão. With four consecutive defeats, their on-pitch performance hasn’t sufficed against their opponents. A turnaround is essential to remain competitive in the league. The team will need to assert themselves from the outset, adopting an offensive approach to secure a vital victory against the side from Rio Grande do Sul.
Team analysis: Grêmio
With a record of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, the visiting team sits in 14th place with 20 points. In their last match, they edged past Fortaleza (2-1) on home ground, following a defeat against Palmeiras (1-0) away. Grêmio shows a stronger performance at home, with 7 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses in their last 30 matches played at their stadium, compared to just 2 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses as visitors. Over the past 8 away games in the league, Grêmio has managed only 1 victory, alongside 2 draws and 5 losses, collecting just 5 points from a potential 24. They have conceded goals in 7 of their last 10 matches, indicating defensive frailties, but have found the net regularly, scoring in 9 of their last 10 games. Matches away from home often feature goals, with 7 of their last 8 league games concluding with over 1.5 goals. Across 16 matches this season, they have failed to overturn the score in all 6 games where they conceded first. Additionally, during the last 20 away matches in all competitions, 12 of their 32 goals conceded have occurred between the 76th and 90th minutes.
Despite some signs of improvement, Grêmio needs to deliver more consistent performances in the league. They struggle to make their mark on the pitch, which remains their primary hurdle amid increasing pressure. Currently, they are without a win in four league matches, registering two losses during this stretch. To have a fighting chance against Fluminense in a potentially hostile environment, they will need to alter their playing style.
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