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Fiorentina vs Parma Prediction – Serie A

Check out the best predictions for Fiorentina vs Parma

Here you will find the best prediction for Fiorentina vs Parma in Serie A, along with match analysis and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, which includes their recent form and key statistics from previous matches to provide the best prediction for this encounter between Fiorentina and Parma.

Fiorentina logo
Fiorentina

  • 13 April 2025 – 13::00
  • Serie A TIM

  • 2024/2025
  • NORMAL EXPENSE – ROUND 32
Parma logo
Parma


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Fiorentina and Parma

The best prediction for Fiorentina vs Parma in Serie A is a victory for Fiorentina. The home side not only presents stronger individual performances, but also plays at home where they enjoy the backing of their supporters. Conversely, Parma has encountered significant challenges on the road, managing to secure victory only once in their last 15 away matches. Thus, Fiorentina is expected to demonstrate their superiority and clinch all three points.

The best prediction for Fiorentina vs Parma

Fiorentina wins or a draw nullifies bet

Match preview: Fiorentina vs Parma

Fiorentina and Parma meet at the Stadio Artemio Franchi for a match in the 32nd round of Serie A TIM. In the last encounter between these two teams in this competition on 17 August 2024, the match ended in a draw (1-1). Historical records of head-to-head encounters at this stadium reveal a tight competition, with 3 draws in their last 3 matches. In fact, in their most recent fixture here, in a Coppa Italia match on 6 December 2023, Fiorentina overcame Parma (4-1) in a penalty shootout after the match ended level. The goals were netted by Riccardo Sottil (89′) and M’Bala Nzola (83′) for Fiorentina, while Ange-Yoan Bonny (23′) and Adrián Bernabé (21′) scored for Parma. Notably, the home/away statistics warrant examination as the teams sit 8th and 16th in the overall standings; however, this serves as a clash between the 4th best performers at home compared to the 18th best away team.

Team analysis: Fiorentina

The home team is currently placed 8th, having accumulated 52 points from 15 wins, 7 draws, and 9 losses. In their penultimate match, they secured a narrow win against Atalanta (1-0) at home, while in their latest outing, they drew 2-2 with AC Milan away. Fiorentina has been particularly formidable at home, where they’ve earned 33 points, as opposed to just 19 points from their away fixtures. In their last European Conference League match, they triumphed over Celje (1-2). Over the last ten league games at home, Fiorentina has achieved 6 victories, 1 draw, and 3 losses, netting 19 points out of a possible 30. Frequently, they have led at the break with a score of 1-0 (6 times in 16 matches). Their attack is consistent, having scored in 8 of their last 10 league fixtures. Among the 31 matches played in this competition, they conceded the first goal on 11 occasions, managing to recover only once to win.

Fiorentina heads into this match fresh off a 1-2 victory against Celje in the Conference League. In their most recent Serie A fixture, they drew 2-2 against AC Milan. The home side typically employs a 3-5-2 formation, favouring a more patient style of play and channeling their attacks centrally. The forwards likely to lead the charge will be Moise Kean and Albert Gudmundsson, while midfielder Rolando Mandragora excels at dictating the pace and orchestrating attacks. Unfortunately, they will be without Robin Gosens, Edoardo Bove, and Andrea Colpani due to injuries.

Team analysis: Parma

The visiting team is currently positioned 16th, with a total of 27 points from 5 wins, 12 draws, and 14 defeats. In their penultimate match, they played to a 0-0 draw away against Hellas Verona. Their latest match concluded with a 2-2 draw at home against Inter. Primarily, they have fared better at home, collecting 17 points instead of just 10 on the road. Over the last 10 league fixtures, Parma has managed just 1 victory, with 3 draws and 6 losses, accruing only 6 points from 30 available.

In this competition, they have not secured victory in their last 9 away matches. Frequently, their halftime score has been 0-0 (6 times in 15 games). Defensively, they’ve conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 fixtures, revealing a lack of solidity at the back, although they have managed to find the net themselves, doing so in 7 of their last 10 matches. Notably, out of the 31 games they’ve played, they let in the first goal 17 times, only managing to equalise once. In their last 15 away games, they have scored 6 of their 13 goals between the minutes of the 76th and 90th.

Parma heads into this match off a 2-2 draw against Inter Milan, with goals scored by Adrián Bernabé and Jacob Ondrejka. The visiting team typically operates within a 3-5-2 tactical setup, emphasising a deeper defensive block and quick counter-attacks. Midfielder Hernani is pivotal in initiating and guiding offensive plays. Up front, striker Ange-Yoan Bonny is expected to lead, known for his ability to find space. They will be without Pontus Almqvist, who is suspended, along with several others affected by injury, including Yordan Osorio, Matteo, Mateusz Kowalski, Alessandro Circi, Adrian Benedyczak, Valentin Mihão, and Gabriel Chapentier.

Notice: Sports betting involves risks. It is advisable to bet responsibly and only with amounts you can afford to lose.

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