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Fiorentina vs Milan Prediction – Serie A

Check out the best predictions for Fiorentina vs Milan

Here you’ll find the best prediction for Fiorentina vs Milan in Serie A, along with match analysis and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent performance and key statistics from their last games to provide the best prediction for this matchup between Fiorentina and Milan.

Fiorentina logo
Fiorentina

  • January 11, 2026 – 14::00
  • Serie A TIM

  • 2025/2026
  • Regular season – Round 20
Milan logo
Milan


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Fiorentina and Milan

The best prediction for Fiorentina vs Milan in Serie A is that both teams will score. It is expected that AC Milan will take control of the match, but Fiorentina, even when not favored, tends to leave their mark and score at least once. Thus, betting on the “Both teams to score – Yes” market in this game is a solid choice.

Best prediction for Fiorentina vs Milan

Over 0.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting tip)
Over 1.5 goals (live betting tip, double or treble)
Both teams to score (higher risk prediction)

Will both teams score? Yes

Match prediction for Fiorentina vs Milan

The teams Fiorentina and Milan are set to clash at the Stadio Artemio Franchi in a match of the 20th round of Serie A TIM. In the last encounter between these teams in this competition, on October 19, 2025, AC Milan won at home by a score of (2-1). The historical head-to-head record at this stadium favors the home team, which has won 3 of the last 5 matches and lost 2. Notably, in the last confrontation at this venue for Serie A TIM on October 6, 2024, Fiorentina triumphed (2-1). Goals in that match were scored by Albert Guðmundsson (73′) and Yacine Adli (35′) for Fiorentina, while Christian Pulišić (60′) scored for Milan. It’s important to analyze home and away performance, as Fiorentina shows different results on home soil versus away.

Fiorentina Analysis

After 2 wins, 7 draws, and 10 losses, the home team sits in 18th place with a total of 13 points. In their latest match, they drew with Lazio away (2-2), following a previous victory at home against Cremonese (1-0). This team is stronger when playing at their stadium, as their last 30 matches show 2 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses away; compared to 7 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses at home. In their last 9 home games in the league, Fiorentina has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, earning 8 points out of a possible 27. The most frequent halftime score in their home matches has been 0-1 (4 out of 9 games). The team allowed goals to their opponents in 9 of the last 10 matches, indicating poor defensive solidity, but their attack has scored consistently, finding the net in 7 of the last 10 games in this competition. At home, there is a trend for goals, as 6 of their last 9 matches in the league finished with over 2.5 goals. In 19 matches in the competition, they have never come back to win from being behind after conceding the first goal.

Fiorentina comes into this clash after drawing 2-2 away at Lazio, marking their second consecutive unbeaten match in Serie A: the goals came from Albert Guðmundsson and Robin Gosens. Under the guidance of Paolo Vanoli, the home team is expected to maintain a 4-3-3 tactical setup, focusing on supported, dynamic, and aggressive football, especially through the flanks. Offensively, Albert Guðmundsson, Roberto Piccoli, and Fabiano Parisi will lead the charge. The left flank is one of the team’s primary weapons, largely due to the offensive incursions of fullback Robin Gosens. Edin Džeko, Jacopo Fazzini, and Tariq Lamptey are unavailable due to injuries.

Confirmed lineup: David de Gea, Marin Pongracic, Pietro Comuzzo, Dodô, Robin Gosens, Fabiano Parisi, Nicolò Fagioli, Cher Ndour, Rolando Mandragora, Roberto Piccoli, Albert Gudmundsson.
Coach: R. Palladino.

Milan Analysis

The visiting team is currently in 2nd place with 39 points acquired from 11 wins, 6 draws, and 1 loss. In their penultimate match, they won away against Cagliari (0-1). In their last match, they drew at home against Genoa (1-1). This team is not heavily influenced by playing at home, showing similar results both at home and away, as their last 30 games show 7 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses away, scoring a total of 28 goals and conceding 16. At home, they achieved 10 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 26 goals scored and 11 conceded. In their last 8 away league matches, Milan has recorded 5 wins and 3 draws, collecting 18 points out of a possible 24.

For this competition, they remain unbeaten in their last 8 matches away from home. The most frequent halftime score in their away league games has been 0-0 (4 out of 8 games). Their attack has scored consistently, registering at least one goal in the last 10 games in this competition. In 18 matches in this competition, they have managed to come from behind in 2 out of 5 instances when they conceded the first goal.

AC Milan arrives at this fixture with a 1-1 draw against Genoa, ending their two-match winning streak in Serie A: the only goal for the team was netted by Rafael León. The visiting team typically plays a tactical system of 3-5-2, where Christian Pulišić and Rafael León take on offensive roles. When they push for an offensive play, they usually do so through the right flank, utilizing the depth provided by Alexis Saelemaekers. They will be without Christopher Nkunku and Santiago Gimenez, both sidelined due to injury.

Confirmed lineup: Mike Maignan, Koni De Winter, Fikayo Tomori, Davide Bartesaghi, Pervis Estupiñán, Alexis Saelemaekers, Ruben Loftus-Cheek, Youssouf Fofana, Luka Modrić, Adrien Rabiot, Rafael León.
Coach: M. Allegri.

Best prediction for Fiorentina vs Milan

Over 0.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting tip)
Over 1.5 goals (live betting tip, double or treble)
Both teams to score (higher risk prediction)

Will both teams score? Yes

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