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Fiorentina vs Cagliari Prediction – Serie A

Check out the best predictions for Fiorentina x Cagliari

Here you will find the best prediction for Fiorentina x Cagliari in Serie A, along with match analysis and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent performance and key statistics from their last games to provide the best prediction for this match between Fiorentina and Cagliari.

Fiorentina logo
Fiorentina

  • January 24, 2026 – 17::00
  • Serie A TIM

  • 2025/2026
  • Regular season – Round 22
Cagliari logo
Cagliari


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Fiorentina and Cagliari

The best prediction for Fiorentina x Cagliari in Serie A is a Fiorentina win. Beyond the home team having massive support from their fans, they face an “enemy” that shows some weaknesses, especially in away games. It’s worth noting that Fiorentina has won two of their last three home games. Therefore, it wouldn’t be surprising if Fiorentina showcased their favoritism and ended up collecting all three points.

Best prediction for Fiorentina x Cagliari

Fiorentina to win

Match prediction for Fiorentina x Cagliari

The teams Fiorentina and Cagliari are set to clash at the Stadio Artemio Franchi in a 22nd round match of Serie A TIM. In their last encounter in this competition on August 24, 2025, the final result was a draw (1‑1). At this venue, the head-to-head record favors the home team, which has won all three of their last matchups. In fact, the last time they met at this stadium was on December 8, 2024, in a Serie A TIM match that ended with a Fiorentina victory (1‑0). The only goal of the match was scored by Danilo Cataldi (24′). In this match, the home factor could play an important role, as both teams have shown significant differences in their results at home and away.

Fiorentina Analysis

After 3 wins, 8 draws, and 10 losses, the home team is in 17th place, having gathered 17 points. In their last match, they defeated Bologna away (1‑2), after having previously drawn at home against AC Milan (1‑1). This is a team that is affected by the home factor, being stronger when playing in front of their supporters, as their record from the last 30 matches shows 3 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses as visitors, scoring 16 goals and conceding 20, compared to 6 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses at home, with 24 goals scored and 21 conceded. In the league, Fiorentina has earned 9 points out of a possible 30, following 2 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses in their last 10 home matches. In their home games, the most frequent halftime score was 0‑1 (4 out of 10 games). Defensive solidity has not been their strong suit, as they conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 matches, but their attack has been scoring consistently, as they found the net in 8 of the last 10 matches in this competition. In 21 matches in this competition, they conceded the first goal 10 times and have never managed to turn the score around.

Fiorentina enters this match after a 1-2 victory against Bologna, marking their fourth consecutive match without defeat in Serie A: the goals were scored by Roberto Piccoli and Rolando Mandragora. The home team typically plays in a 4-3-3 formation, favoring a more deliberate style of play while primarily directing their attack through the central corridor. The three attacking players are Albert Guðmundsson, Fabiano Parisi, and Roberto Piccoli, with midfield maestro Rolando Mandragora orchestrating their offensive moves. Edin Džeko and Tariq Lamptey are ruled out of this game due to injuries.

Cagliari Analysis

After 5 wins, 7 draws, and 9 losses, the visiting team is positioned 14th, having earned 22 points. In their last match, they defeated Juventus at home (1‑0), after previously losing to Genoa away (3‑0). This is a team that thrives at home, as their record over the last 30 matches shows 2 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses as visitors, compared to 5 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses at home. In the league, Cagliari has gathered 10 points from 30 possible, following 2 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses in their last 10 away matches. Defensive solidity has not been their strength either, having conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their attack has scored regularly, finding the net in 8 of the last 10 games in this competition. This is a team that seldom scores first: they have only opened the scoring in 5 of their last 21 matches in Serie A TIM, from which they led at halftime in 2 and won in 3. In 21 matches in this competition, they conceded the first goal 15 times and managed to turn the score around only twice.

Cagliari arrives at this match after a 1-0 victory against Juventus, ending a three-match winless streak in Serie A: the lone goal was scored by Luca Mazzitelli. The away team typically plays in a 3-5-2 formation, favoring offensive transitions and channeling their attacks through the wings. The two key players spearheading their offensive efforts are Semih Kılıçsoy and Sebastiano Esposito, with the midfield orchestrator being Gianluca Gaetano. Alessandro Deiola, Andrea Belotti, Mattia Felici, and Gabriele Zappa are all unavailable due to injuries.

Best prediction for Fiorentina x Cagliari

Fiorentina to win

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