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Fiorentina vs Atalanta Prediction – Serie A
Check out the best predictions for Fiorentina vs Atalanta
Here you find the best prediction for Fiorentina vs Atalanta in Serie A, alongside match analysis and betting tips.
Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including their recent records and key statistics from their last matches to provide the best prediction for this encounter between Fiorentina and Atalanta.
 Fiorentina |
|  Atalanta |
Betting tip and prediction for this match between Fiorentina and Atalanta
The best prediction for Fiorentina vs Atalanta
Over 0.5 goals in the first half (prediction for live betting)
Over 1.5 goals (prediction for live, double or triple bet)
Both teams to score (risky prediction)
Do both teams score? Yes
Match preview: Fiorentina vs Atalanta
Fiorentina and Atalanta will face each other at the Stadio Artemio Franchi in a match that marks the 30th round of Serie A TIM. In their last meeting in this competition on 15th September 2024, Atalanta secured a victory at home with a score of 3-2. Historically, matches at this stadium have favoured the home team, with Fiorentina winning 3, drawing 1, and losing 1 of their last 5 encounters here. Notably, in their last meeting at this venue during the Coppa Italia on 3rd April 2024, Fiorentina triumphed 1-0, thanks to a goal from Rolando Mandragora in the 31st minute. It is essential to consider the home/away performance, as both teams exhibit significantly different outcomes depending on where they play.
Team analysis: Fiorentina
Currently sitting in 8th place with 48 points, Fiorentina has secured 14 wins, 6 draws, and 9 losses. In their latest match, they achieved a convincing 3-0 victory against Juventus at home. Prior to that, they faced a setback, losing 2-1 to Napoli away. The team has been impacted by home advantage, performing better in front of their supporters. Over the last 30 matches, they have recorded 6 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses on the road, scoring 25 goals and conceding 19, while at home, they have managed 10 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 35 goals scored and 16 conceded. In their last 10 home matches in the league, Fiorentina has earned 19 points from 30 possible, with 6 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses. They have conceded goals in 7 of their last 10 games and have not displayed solid defensive capabilities; however, their attack has consistently found the net in 8 of their last 10 league games. At home, there is a clear trend for goals, with 10 out of 15 matches ending with over 2.5 goals. Notably, in 29 league matches, they have only managed to come back after conceding first in 1 of the 11 games where that has occurred.
Fiorentina enters this match motivated by their recent 3-0 triumph over Juventus, with goals from Rolando Mandragora, Robin Gosens, and Albert Gudmundsson. The home side is expected to adopt a 3-5-2 tactical formation, aiming to exploit the flanks in their attacking play. In this system, Moise Kean and Albert Gudmundsson will lead the attack. When pushing forward, they typically utilise the right flank, making the most of the attacking potential from the right-back, Dodo. Edoardo Bove will miss this match due to injury concerns.
Team analysis: Atalanta
Atalanta currently occupies 3rd place with 58 points, having achieved 17 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses. In their penultimate match, they secured an impressive away victory over Juventus (0-4). However, they encountered defeat in their last fixture at home, losing to Inter by 0-2. Interestingly, this team has performed better away than at home, recording 10 wins, 3 draws, and just 2 losses in their last 30 away matches, scoring 37 goals and conceding only 10. At home, they have 6 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, with a total of 27 goals scored and 19 conceded.
For this competition, Atalanta has not lost in their past 12 away games and their attack has been consistently effective, with goals in 7 of their last 10 league matches. There is a notable trend for goals in their away fixtures, as 13 out of their last 15 matches have concluded with over 1.5 goals. In the 29 Serie A matches, they have conceded the first goal 9 times but managed to overturn the score in 4 of those instances. Among their last 15 away games in the league, a pattern emerges where they conceded 5 out of their 10 goals during the period from 46 to 60 minutes.
Atalanta heads into this match following a 0-2 defeat to Inter Milan. The visiting side typically employs a 3-5-2 tactical formation, which favours rapid transitions and attacks down the flanks. Up front, Charles de Ketelaere and Ademola Lookman carry the main attacking responsibilities, aiming to create continuous challenges for the opposition’s defence. They frequently exploit the right side, utilising the depth provided by right-wing back Raoul Bellanova. Key players missing from this matchup include Éderson, who is suspended, and Mateo Retegui, Ibrahim Sulimani, Juan Cuadrado, Odilon Kossounou, Stefan Posch, Gianluca Scamacca, and Giorgio Scalvini, all of whom are sidelined due to injury issues.
Best guesses for this match
Over 0.5 goals in the first half (prediction for live betting)
Over 1.5 goals (prediction for live, double or triple bet)
Both teams to score (risky prediction)
Do both teams score? Yes
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