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Famalicão vs Tondela Prediction – Primeira League

Check out the best predictions for Famalicão vs Tondela

Here you find the best prediction for Famalicão vs Tondela in the Primeira Liga, along with an analysis of the match and betting tips.

Read below our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent records and key statistics from their last games to provide the best prediction for this match between Famalicão vs Tondela.

Famalicão logo
Famalicão

  • January 25, 2026 – 18::00
  • Primeira Liga

  • 2025/2026
  • Regular season – Round 19
Tondela logo
Tondela


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Famalicão vs Tondela

The best prediction for
Famalicão vs Tondela in the Primeira Liga is a Famalicão win. This match will hold great significance for both teams. Famalicão feels they have one last chance to restore hope to their fans, believing they can compete for 5th or 6th place. A victory would bring them to 29 points, potentially reclaiming 6th place if Moreirense loses. Therefore, the home team will be highly motivated not to miss this opportunity.

Best prediction for Famalicão vs Tondela

Famalicão to win

Match prediction for Famalicão vs Tondela

The teams Famalicão and Tondela will face off at the Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho in a match of the 19th round of the Primeira Liga. In the last encounter between these teams in this competition, on August 16, 2025, Famalicão won away by (0-1). Historically, at this stadium, the home team has 1 win and 2 draws in the last 3 matches. However, the last time they met at this venue was on December 9, 2022, in a League Cup match that ended in a (0-0) draw. In this match, the home factor may play a significant role, as Tondela shows notable differences in their home and away results.

Famalicão Analysis

The home team currently sits in 7th place, having earned 26 points from 7 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses. In their penultimate match, they lost away to Alverca (1-0). In their last match, they secured an away win against Santa Clara (0-1). Famalicão has maintained decent performance even away from home, with a record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses in their last 30 games as visitors; compared to 8 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses in their home stadium. In the league, Famalicão has collected 11 points from 27 possible in their last 9 games at home, with 3 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses. Their attack has been scoring regularly, finding the net in 7 of their last 10 matches in this competition. Out of 18 matches in this competition, they have conceded the first goal 5 times and have never managed to come back to win. In their last 16 home games across all competitions, they have a noteworthy trend: they conceded 4 of their 11 goals between the 61st and 75th minutes.

Famalicão showed signs of life in their last match and returned to their customary form with precise victories, which likely relieved their coach, Hugo Oliveira. Before that win against Santa Clara, Famalicão had suffered 3 consecutive defeats, which was unusual for them. This victory at São Miguel may have “resurrected” Famalicão’s best version, but they need to prove this against Tondela. It has been in these situations where Hugo Oliveira’s team struggled to show and validate their home advantage.
 

Tondela Analysis

The visiting team currently sits in 17th place, with 12 points earned from 3 wins, 3 draws, and 12 losses. In their penultimate match, they lost away to Moreirense (1-0). In their last match, they experienced another home loss to Sporting Braga (0-1). Interestingly, Tondela has had more positive results away than at home, with a record of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses as visitors in their last 30 games, scoring a total of 19 goals and conceding 24. However, at home, they achieved only 4 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, with a total of 13 goals scored and 19 conceded. In the league, Tondela has gained 7 points from 27 possible, after 2 wins, 1 draw, and 6 losses in their last 9 away games. Their defensive solidity has not been a strong suit, conceding goals in 9 of their last 10 matches in this competition. In 18 matches of this competition, they have conceded the first goal 12 times and have only managed a comeback on 1 occasion.

The Tondela team arrives at this clash following yet another loss, in this case against Sporting Braga at home. This marks their 4th consecutive defeat in the last 5 matches. It’s a challenging phase for Tondela, standing at only 12 points, already 5 points away from potentially escaping the last safe position. Knowing they will be contending yet again in a relegation zone, it is crucial for C. Bacci’s team to start narrowing the gap to their most direct rivals in the fight for survival. Tondela has not won in Famalicão in their last 3 encounters.

Best prediction for Famalicão vs Tondela

Famalicão to win

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