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Everton vs Leeds Prediction – Premier League

Check out the best predictions for Everton vs Leeds

Here you will find the best prediction for Everton vs Leeds in the Premier League, along with match analysis and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent performance and key statistics from their last matches to provide the best prediction for this matchup between Everton and Leeds.

Everton logo
Everton

  • January 26, 2026 – 20::00
  • Premier League

  • 2025/2026
  • Regular season – Round 23
Leeds logo
Leeds


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Everton vs Leeds

The best prediction for Everton vs Leeds in the Premier League is that both teams will score. While Everton is expected to control much of the game, Leeds tends to find the net even when they are not the favorites, having scored at least once in five of their last six away matches. It’s also worth noting that in the last two home games for Everton, both teams managed to score.

Best prediction for Everton vs Leeds

Over 0.5 goals in the first half (live betting tip)
Over 1.5 goals (live betting tip, double or treble)
Both teams to score (riskier tip)

Will both teams score? Yes

Match prediction for Everton vs Leeds

The teams Everton and Leeds will face off at Bet365 Stadium in a match for the 23rd round of the Premier League. The last time they met in this league edition, Leeds United won 1-0 at home on August 18, 2025. The recent head-to-head record favors the home team, as they have won 2, drawn 1, and lost 1 of their last 4 encounters. It’s essential to pay special attention to the home/away condition as both teams have significantly different results when playing at home and away.

Analysis of Everton

After 9 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, the home team currently sits in 10th place with 32 points. In their last match, they won against Aston Villa away 1-0, following a 1-1 draw at home against Wolverhampton Wanderers in the previous game. Interestingly, this team performs better away than at home, showing a record of 7 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses when playing away, with 14 goals scored and 14 conceded, compared to 6 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses at home, scoring 19 goals and conceding 17. In the last 10 home games in the league, Everton has recorded 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, accumulating 12 points out of a possible 30. They most frequently lead at halftime with a score of 1-0 (4 out of 11 games). Their attack has reliably scored, netting goals in 7 of the last 10 league matches. In 22 league games, they have only managed one comeback when conceding the first goal in 9 matches. Notably, 5 of their 14 goals in the last 11 home games came in the final minutes (76’-90’).

Everton enters this match after a victory by 1-0 against Aston Villa, marking their second consecutive game without a loss in this Premier League. Thierno Barry scored the only goal for the team. The home team is expected to align in a 4-3-3 tactical system, focusing on the central corridor for their gameplay. In this setup, the forwards, tasked with troubling the opposing defense, will likely include Tyler Dibling, Iliman Ndiaye, and Thierno Barry. Idrissa Gueye holds a crucial role in midfield, responsible for dictating the tempo and orchestrating offensive maneuvers. Out of this match is Michael Keane, who is suspended, along with Carlos Alcaraz, Jack Grealish, and Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall, all dealing with physical issues.

Analysis of Leeds

The visiting team is currently in 16th place with 25 points, following 6 wins, 7 draws, and 9 losses. In their penultimate match, they lost 4-3 away to Newcastle United. In the last match, they secured a 1-0 home victory against Fulham. This team is generally stronger when playing at home, having recorded 3 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses in their last 30 away games, compared to 7 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses at home. In the last 10 away league matches, Leeds has recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 6 losses, earning 6 points out of a possible 30.

For this competition, they have not won any of their last 8 matches on the road. The team has allowed goals from the opposition in 8 of their last 10 matches, indicating a lack of defensive solidity, though their attack has scored regularly, finding the net in 9 of their last 10 league games. In 22 matches in this competition, they have managed one comeback when conceding the first goal in 11 games. A notable trend is that they scored 5 of their 11 goals in the final minutes when playing away (31’-45’).

Leeds United arrives at this match with a 1-0 win against Fulham, ending a run of four consecutive games without a victory in this Premier League. Under the management of Daniel Farke, the visiting team is expected to continue with their usual 3-5-2 formation, emphasizing ball possession and linking play. In the attack, Dominic Calvert-Lewin and Noah Okafor form a quick duo capable of disrupting any defense. In midfield, Brenden Aaronson takes on the role of the orchestrator, setting the pace for the game and distributing effectively to the forwards. Missing from this match will be Jaka Bijol and Daniel James, both injured.

Best prediction for Everton vs Leeds

Over 0.5 goals in the first half (live betting tip)
Over 1.5 goals (live betting tip, double or treble)
Both teams to score (riskier tip)

Will both teams score? Yes

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