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Derby vs Burnley Prediction – Championship
Check out the best predictions for Derby vs Burnley
Here you find the best prediction for Derby vs Burnley in the Championship, along with match analysis and betting tips.
Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including their recent records and key statistics from past games to provide the best prediction for this encounter between Derby and Burnley.
 Derby |
|  Burnley |
Betting tip and prediction for this match between Derby vs Burnley
The best prediction for Derby vs Burnley in the Championship is a victory for Burnley. The visiting team is currently enjoying a strong period while Derby is struggling, both collectively and individually. It’s worth noting that Burnley has achieved six wins in their last seven league matches. Therefore, Burnley are expected to confirm their status as favourites and secure a win.
The best prediction for Derby vs Burnley
Burnley to win
Match preview: Derby vs Burnley
Derby and Burnley face off at Pride Park Stadium in this 41st round of the Championship. In the previous meeting between these teams in this competition, on 10‑12‑2024, the match ended in a draw (0‑0). Special attention must be paid to the home/away performance, as both teams have shown markedly different results in their home games compared to their away fixtures.
Team analysis: Derby
The home team currently sits in 21st place, having collected 41 points from 11 wins, 8 draws, and 21 losses. In their penultimate match, they secured a home victory against Preston North End (2‑0), but then lost to Swansea City (1‑0) in their last outing. Derby is notably a stronger side at home; over their last 30 matches, they have managed 2 victories, 4 draws, and 9 losses as visitors, while at home they have achieved 5 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses. In their last 10 home games in the Championship, Derby has recorded 4 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, earning 13 points from 30 available. The most frequent half-time score in their home games has been 0‑0 (7 out of 20 matches). Their defensive stability has been a concern, as they have conceded in 7 of their last 10 competitive games. Out of 40 matches this season, they conceded the first goal in 22 instances and were never able to come back to win those encounters.
The Derby County team comes into this clash following a narrow 1-0 defeat during their trip to the Swansea stadium. The home team utilises a 3-5-2 tactical formation, aiming for swift play and constant transitions. Within this setup, Jerry Yates and Marcus Harness are the two key players tasked with creating scoring opportunities. When attacking, the team often focuses their efforts on the left flank, capitalising on the overlaps provided by full-back Craig Forsyth. They will be missing several key players for this match due to injuries, including Kemar Roofe, Curtis Nelson, Ben Osborn, Corey Blackett-Taylor, Lars-Jørgen Salvesen, Ryan Nyambe, Joe Ward, Dajaune Brown, and David Ozoh.
Team analysis: Burnley
The visiting side tops the table with 23 wins, 15 draws, and only 2 losses, bringing their total to 84 points. In their last match, they defeated Coventry City (1‑2), following a prior win at home against Bristol City (1‑0). Interestingly, Burnley has produced better results away from home; in their last 30 matches, they have recorded 10 wins, 4 draws, and a single loss as visitors, scoring 21 goals and conceding 7. Conversely, at home, they managed 8 wins and 7 draws, netting 19 goals with only 3 conceded.
Burnley is unbeaten in their last 13 away matches in this competition. For matches in the Championship, the most common half-time score has been 0‑0, occurring in 8 of their 20 fixtures. The defensive unit has been solid, conceding goals in only 3 of their last 10 games, while their attack has scored regularly, netting in 9 of their last 10 encounters. Recent away games have also showcased a trend for low-scoring affairs, with fewer than 3 goals recorded in 15 of the last 20 matches they played. Throughout 40 competitive matches this season, they have managed to come from behind to win 3 out of the 8 occasions they conceded first.
Burnley approaches this match following a convincing 1-2 victory during their visit to Coventry Stadium, with both goals scored by Jaidon Anthony. The visiting side typically employs a traditional 4-3-3 formation, emphasising quick transitions and wing attacks. In this setup, the three forward players will be Jaidon Anthony, Zian Flemming, and Marcus Edwards, while midfielder Josh Brownhill plays a pivotal role in facilitating creativity in attacking plays. The team will be without Jordan Beyer, Bashir Humphreys, Mike Treenage, Jo Jonjo Shelvey, and Enock Agyi, all unavailable due to injury.
Best guesses for this match
Burnley to win
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