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Dep. Tolima vs Atlético Nacional Prediction – Primera División

Check out the best predictions for Dep. Tolima vs Atlético Nacional

Here you find the best prediction for Dep. Tolima vs Atlético Nacional for the first division, in addition to the match analysis and betting tips.

Read below our detailed analysis of both teams, including their recent records and the main statistics from their last games to provide the best prediction for the match between Dep. Tolima vs Atlético Nacional.

Dep. Tolima Logo
Dep. Tolima

  • 02 August 2025 – 23::20
  • Primera Division

  • 2025
  • Clausura – Round 5
Atletico Nacional Logo
Atletico Nacional


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Dep. Tolima vs Atlético Nacional

The best prediction for Dep. Tolima vs Atlético Nacional in the Primera Division is to back less than 2.5 goals. Tolima has secured two consecutive victories following a difficult start, whilst Atlético Nacional is beginning to show signs of a decline in form. Given that both teams have a strong tradition and often engage in tightly contested matches, we anticipate a hard-fought duel with added focus on defensive solidity. As such, a bet on less than 2.5 goals appears prudent.

The best prediction for Dep. Tolima vs Atlético Nacional

Under 1.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting)
Under 3.5 goals (guess for live, double or triple bet)
Under 3.0 Asian goals (risky guess)

Match preview: Dep. Tolima vs Atlético Nacional

Dep. Tolima and Atletico Nacional play at Manuel Murillo Toro Stadium, in the 5th round of the first division. At this venue, the history of previous encounters leans towards the home side, who have recorded 4 wins and 3 draws in the last 7 matches. However, their last meeting at this stadium on 18‑12‑2024 ended in a 1‑1 draw, with goals from Gustavo Ramírez (75′) for Dep. Tolima, and Dairon Asprilla (35′) for Atlético Nacional. In this match, the home advantage may be significant, as Atlético Nacional has shown considerable discrepancies in their results when playing at home versus as visitors.

Team analysis: Dep. Tolima

After achieving 14 wins, 8 draws, and 8 losses, the home side is currently positioned 6th, having accumulated 6 points. In their last match, they triumphed over Deportivo Pereira at home with a score of 1‑0, having previously won away against Alianza Petrolera 0‑1. This team has maintained consistent performance away from home, recording 5 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses in their last 30 games as visitors; compared to 7 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses at their home ground. In their most recent outing for the Colombia Cup, they suffered a 1‑2 defeat to Real Cundinamarca at home. Over the last 10 home games in the championship, Dep. Tolima has achieved 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, amassing 17 points from 30 available. The team has conceded goals in 7 of their last 10 contests, indicating that their defensive solidity is lacking, though their attack has been fairly consistent, scoring in 9 of the last 10 matches within this competition. Out of 30 games in the league, they conceded the first goal on 11 occasions and managed to turn the scoreboard in only 2 instances. In their last 15 home matches in the league, 2 key highlights are that they netted 8 of their 21 goals between the 16th and 30th minutes, and conceded 4 of their 10 goals between the 46th and 60th minutes.

Tolima and Atlético Nacional consistently produce thrilling matches, and this encounter will likely be no exception. The home team, having overcome two consecutive losses, has displayed a revitalised attitude on the pitch, which has been crucial for their progress in the standings. Bolstered by their recent performances, they approach this challenge with genuine prospects of securing a victory against a visiting team that is not accustomed to dropping points easily.

Team analysis: Atlético Nacional

The away side is currently occupying 4th place, with 7 points accumulated from 14 wins, 8 draws, and 8 losses. In their penultimate match, they were defeated away by Deportivo Pereira 2‑1. In their last fixture, they drew at home with Santa Fe 1‑1. This team performs better at home, as in their last 30 games they recorded 4 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses as visitors, while boasting 9 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses at their home ground. They arrive at this match following a home victory against Cucuta Deportivo, winning 1‑0. In the championship, Atlético Nacional has garnered 12 points from 30 possible, with 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses in their last 10 away appearances. Defensive solidity has not been their strong suit, as they have conceded goals in 8 of their last 10 games, although their attack has been reliable, managing to score in 7 of their last 10 matches within this competition. Out of 30 matches, they have failed to overturn the score in the 8 contests where they conceded first. A note from their last 15 matches as visitors in this competition is that they allowed 5 of their 14 goals between the 0 and 15-minute mark.

Currently, Atlético Nacional is experiencing a shift in form. After starting with two consecutive victories, they have been underperforming, and this has raised concerns within their management about the need for improved efficiency during these challenging times. Particularly as they head into this match away from home against a strong team like Tolima.

Best prediction for Dep. Tolima vs Atlético Nacional

Under 1.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting)
Under 3.5 goals (guess for live, double or triple bet)
Under 3.0 Asian goals (risky guess)

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