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Danubio vs Peñarol Prediction – Primera Division

Check out the best predictions for Danubio vs Peñarol

Here you find the best prediction for Danubio vs Peñarol in the Primera Division, along with match analysis and betting tips.

Read below our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent records and key statistics from their last encounters to provide the best prediction for this match between Danubio vs Peñarol.

Danubio soon
Danubio

  • 05 April 2025 – 19::00
  • Primera Division

  • 2025

  • APERTURE – ROUND 10

Peñarol soon
Peñarol


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Danubio vs Peñarol

The best prediction for Danubio vs Peñarol in the Primera Division is that there will be less than 2.5 goals. Danubio has been on a streak of draws and is eager to find their way back to winning. Meanwhile, Peñarol, despite being one of Uruguay’s most iconic teams, is currently experiencing an unstable period with four losses in their last five matches. Both teams will be looking to turn their fortunes around, suggesting a tightly contested match but with limited scoring opportunities. Hence, the recommendation for betting on “less than 2.5 goals” stands strong.

The best prediction for Danubio vs Peñarol

Under 1.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting)
Under 3.5 goals (guess for live, double or triple bet)
Under 3.0 Asian goals (risky guess)

Match preview: Danubio vs Peñarol

Danubio and Peñarol are set to clash at the Jardines Del Hipódromo Stadium, in what is expected to be the 10th round of the Primera Division. Historically, the visiting team has a favourable record at this venue, securing 4 wins and suffering 2 losses in their last 6 encounters. The last match at this stadium took place on 16-04-2024, resulting in a narrow victory for Peñarol (0-1), with Leonardo Fernández finding the net late in the match (90′). The home advantage could be pivotal, considering both teams display significant discrepancies in their home and away performances.

Team analysis: Danubio

Currently, Danubio sits in 12th place with 8 points, having recorded 8 draws and a solitary loss. Their last outing ended in a 1-1 draw against Torque, following another similar result against Defensor Sporting at home. Danubio generally performs better at home, evidenced by their last 30 outings, showing 3 wins, 9 draws, and 3 losses away, compared to a more impressive home record of 6 wins, 8 draws, and only 1 loss.

In their last 9 games, Danubio has struggled to secure victories, allowing goals in 8 of those matches and showing vulnerability in defence. Although their attack has remained fairly productive, scoring in 7 of those 9 games, their home matches have typically featured few goals, with 22 out of the last 25 games witnessing less than 3 goals. Remarkably, in the 9 games played thus far, they have yet to overturn the scoreline in the 5 instances they conceded first. Their last 20 home matches reveal some trends: 8 of their 19 goals have come in the final minutes (76’–90′), while they have conceded 6 of their 15 goals in the same timeframe.

With four consecutive draws resulting in a frustrating period in the Apertura, Danubio understands the need to modify their approach on the pitch to reclaim victories. The coaching staff must enhance their tactics to secure crucial points in this fixture against the formidable Peñarol, as a strategic shift could potentially increase their chances of clinching all three points.

Team analysis: Peñarol

Peñarol, currently 11th in the table, has amassed 9 points through 2 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses. Their second-to-last match resulted in a win against Juventud (0-2), yet they succumbed to a home defeat against Cerro Largo (0-2) in their latest outing. Interestingly, Peñarol has often fared better on the road than at home, with statistics revealing 8 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses in their last 30 away matches, contrasting with 7 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses in their home fixtures. The team arrives at this match following a defeat against Vélez Sarsfield (2-1). In the league, Peñarol has collected 8 points from 15 available, achieving 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their past 5 away games. Defensive solidity remains a concern as they have conceded goals in 8 of their last 9 league matches. Of the 9 games played, they have conceded the opening goal on 4 occasions and were unable to reverse the scoreline.

Despite their legacy in Uruguayan football, Peñarol has struggled to assert themselves during this Apertura. Their current streak of four losses in the last five matches underscores their instability this season. As they seek to collect valuable points to enhance their standing in the table, it is vital they avoid repeating the mistakes that have cost them in previous outings.

Best guesses for this match

Under 1.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting)
Under 3.5 goals (guess for live, double or triple bet)
Under 3.0 Asian goals (risky guess)

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