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Chile vs Ecuador Prediction – World Cup Qualifiers
Check out the best predictions for Chile vs Ecuador
Here you will find the finest prediction for Chile vs Ecuador in the World Cup qualifiers, along with match analysis and betting tips.
Read below for our in-depth analysis of both teams, including their recent performances and key statistics from past games to provide the best prediction for this matchup between Chile and Ecuador.
 Chile |
|  Ecuador |
Betting tip and prediction for this match between Chile vs Ecuador
The best prediction for Chile vs Ecuador in the World Cup qualifiers is under 2.5 goals. This match is crucial for both teams, with Chile looking to score and reduce their current four-point deficit from the seventh position, which would secure a spot in the intercontinental playoff for the FIFA 2026 World Cup. Conversely, Ecuador, defending their vice-leadership, aims to assert their dominance against Chile, despite being the away team. Therefore, we expect a match limited to a maximum of two goals, as Chile is likely to adopt a defensive strategy at home, countering Ecuador’s aggressive play, which boasts the best defensive record in the South American qualifiers, conceding only five goals in thirteen matches.
The best prediction for Chile vs Ecuador
Under 1.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting)
Under 3.5 goals (bet for live, double or triple bet)
Under 3.0 Asian goals (risky prediction)
Match preview: Chile vs Ecuador
Chile and Ecuador will face off at the Julio Martínez Pradanos National Stadium in a qualifying match for the South American World Cup. The recent head-to-head record favours the visiting team, as they have won 2 and drawn 1 of the last 3 encounters. It is important to note the home/away performance, as both teams have displayed vastly different results in their respective home and away matches.
Team analysis: Chile
Following 2 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, the home team currently occupies 10th position, with 9 points. In their last outing, they lost 1-0 against Paraguay, having previously won 4-2 at home against Venezuela. Chile performs better on home turf, with their last 30 matches showing 1 win, 6 draws, and 8 losses as an away side, compared to 7 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses at home. In the last 6 home matches within the South American World Cup qualifiers, Chile has achieved 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses. The team has conceded goals in 8 of their last 10 matches, indicating a lack of defensive solidity, while their attacking capabilities have also faltered, failing to score in 7 of their last 10 games in this competition. Notably, there is a trend of goals in their home matches, as 8 out of 12 have seen over 2.5 goals. Moreover, Chile has struggled to score first, achieving this only twice in their last 13 matches in the South American World Cup qualification, and they have never gone into half-time with a lead. Out of 13 matches in this competition, they managed to turn the score around in only 1 of the 8 games where they conceded first. In their last 12 home matches across all competitions, they conceded 4 of their 10 goals between the 31st and 45th minutes.
As they approach the 14th round of the South American qualifiers for the FIFA 2026 World Cup, Chile seeks to leverage home advantage to secure a much-needed victory. Currently, they lie at the bottom of the Conmebol qualifiers, just one point shy of the second-last place and four points behind the seventh position, which would ensure a playoff spot for the World Cup. Thus, even against the current vice-leader, Ecuador, who come into this match riding a wave of three successive victories and six unbeaten matches, Chile is hoping to secure a vital result in their quest for qualification. It’s worth noting that they have been relatively competitive at home in these qualifiers, tallying two wins, two draws, and two losses.
Team analysis: Ecuador
The visiting team is currently in 5th place, having accumulated 19 points from 7 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses. In their penultimate match, they secured a 1-0 victory against Colombia. In their most recent match, they triumphed at home over Venezuela with a score of 2-1. Ecuador tends to perform better at home, as their record from the last 30 matches reveals 4 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses when playing away, in stark contrast to 11 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats when playing at their own ground. In the last 6 away games in the World Cup qualifiers, Ecuador has registered 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses. Their defensive resilience is notable, having only conceded goals in 2 of their last 10 matches for this competition. Typically, their away games trend towards fewer goals, with 8 of their last 10 matches finishing with under 2.5 goals.
Ecuador enters the 14th round of the South American qualifiers aiming for a strong result, riding a streak of six unbeaten matches, four of which are victories, including three consecutive wins. Their last defeat in the competition came away against Brazil, a key rival for the vice-leadership. With a total of seven wins, four draws, and only two losses over the past thirteen rounds, Ecuador currently stands in second place with a six-point gap from leaders Argentina and only a point ahead of Brazil in third. However, they hold a commanding nine-point lead over the first team outside the automatic qualifying spots for the World Cup. Hence, even when playing away, Ecuador is eager to secure a favourable outcome against the South American qualifying basement-dwellers, Chile.
Best predictions for this match
Under 1.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting)
Under 3.5 goals (bet for live, double or triple bet)
Under 3.0 Asian goals (risky prediction)
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