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Chelsea vs Brentford Prediction – Premier League

Check Out the Best Predictions for Chelsea vs Brentford

Here you will find the best prediction for Chelsea vs Brentford in the Premier League, along with match analysis and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including their recent forms and key statistics from their last games to provide the best prediction for the match between Chelsea and Brentford.

Chelsea logo
Chelsea

  • January 17, 2026 – 15::00
  • Premier League

  • 2025/2026
  • Regular season – Round 22
Brentford logo
Brentford


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Chelsea vs Brentford

The best prediction for Chelsea vs Brentford in the Premier League is over 2.5 goals. Despite Chelsea expected to dominate, recent statistics from both teams indicate an open match with chances at both ends. Notably, seven of Chelsea’s last eight competitive matches ended with more than two goals. Therefore, betting on “Over 2.5 Goals” in this match is a sound option.

Best prediction for Chelsea vs Brentford

Over 0.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting tip)
Over 1.5 goals (live betting tip, double or triple)
Over 2.5 goals (riskier prediction)

Match prediction for Chelsea vs Brentford

The teams Chelsea and Brentford face off at Stamford Bridge in a match for the 22nd round of the Premier League. The last time they met in this league was on September 13, 2025, resulting in a 2-2 draw. The head-to-head record at this venue is favorable for the visiting team, who has claimed 3 victories and 1 defeat in their last 4 encounters. However, their last visit to Stamford Bridge was on December 15, 2024, where Chelsea triumphed 2-1. Goals came from Marc Cucurella (43′) and Nicolas Jackson (80′) for Chelsea, with Bryan Mbeumo (90′) scoring for Brentford. Home advantage may play a crucial role, as Brentford shows significant differences in results at home versus away.

Chelsea Analysis

After 8 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses, the home team is currently in 8th place, having accumulated 31 points. They recently lost to Fulham away with a score of 2-1, after a previous away draw against Manchester City, which finished 1-1. This team maintains its performance even when playing away, with 7 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses on the road in their last 30 games, compared to 8 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses at home. In their last game, they lost to Arsenal at home, 3-2, in the EFL Cup. Over their last 10 home league games, Chelsea has recorded 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, earning 15 points out of a possible 30. The most common outcome in the first 45 minutes at home in the league is 1-0, which occurred in 4 out of their 10 matches. Defensive solidity has not been their strong suit, as they have conceded goals in 7 of their last 10 games, but their attack has been consistent, scoring in 9 of the last 10 league matches. At home, there is a tendency for goals, with 9 of their last 10 league games finishing with over 1.5 goals. Out of 21 league matches, they have only managed a comeback once in the 8 games where they conceded first. In their last 10 home games this season, they have notable tendencies, having conceded 5 of their 11 goals between the minutes of 76 and 90.

Chelsea enters this encounter with a defeat, losing 2-3 to Arsenal. In their last Premier League match, they lost to Fulham 2-1. Coach Liam Rosenior is likely to stick with a 4-3-3 tactical setup, favoring fast-paced football with constant offensive transitions. Up front, Pedro Neto, Liam Delap, and Cole Palmer stand out as the primary threats to the opposing goal. Offensively, the right flank is the most exploited area, highlighted by the overlaps of right-back Malo Gusto, who adds depth and width to the attack. Missing from this game are Roméo Lavia and Levi Colwill, both due to injury.

Confirmed lineup: Robert Sánchez, Trevoh Chalobah, Malo Gusto, Tosin Adarabioyo, Jorrel Hato, Cole Palmer, Enzo Fernández, Andrey Santos, Moisés Caicedo, Liam Delap, Pedro Neto.
Coach: E. Maresca.

Brentford Analysis

The visiting team is currently in 5th place, having secured 33 points from 10 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses. In the penultimate match, they won away against Everton 4-2. In their last match, they triumphantly won at home against Sunderland with a score of 3-0. This is a team that benefits from home advantage, being stronger when playing in front of their supporters, having achieved 6 wins, 1 draw, and 8 losses on the road in their last 30 matches, scoring a total of 22 goals and conceding 21. At home, they have claimed 8 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, with a total of 32 goals scored and 19 conceded. In their last match, they won 2-0 against Sheffield Wednesday in the FA Cup. Over their last 10 away matches in the league, Brentford has recorded 3 wins and 7 losses, earning 9 points out of a possible 30. The team has allowed goals from opponents in 7 of their last 10 games, indicating a lack of strong defensive solidity, but their attack has been consistent, scoring in 7 of the last 10 league matches. In their away games, there is a tendency for goals, as all of their last 10 league matches concluded with over 1.5 goals. In 21 league games, they have conceded the first goal 6 times and have only managed one comeback. In their last 10 away matches in this competition, they have notable periods where they scored 5 of their 12 goals between the 76th and 90th minutes.

Brentford enters this match after securing a 2-0 victory against Sheffield Wednesday in the FA Cup, with goals from Keane Lewis-Potter and Mathias Jensen. In their last Premier League fixture, they defeated Sunderland 3-0. The visiting team will likely utilize a 4-3-3 system, focusing on quick transitions down the wings to dismantle the opponent’s defense. In attack, Dango Ouattara, Kevin Schade, and Igor Thiago showcase mobility, speed, and finishing efficacy. In midfield, Mathias Jensen plays a pivotal role in offensive organization, acting as a bridge between sectors and responsible for dictating the game’s pace. Missing for this match are Antoni Milambo, Fábio Carvalho, Joshua Dasilva, and Jordan Henderson, all due to physical issues.

Confirmed lineup: Caoimhín Kelleher, Nathan Collins, Michael Kayode, Kristoffer Ajer, Rico Henry, Keane Lewis-Potter, Mathias Jensen, Yegor Yarmolyuk, Vitaly Janelt, Igor Thiago, Kevin Schade.
Coach: T. Frank.

Best prediction for Chelsea vs Brentford

Over 0.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting tip)
Over 1.5 goals (live betting tip, double or triple)
Over 2.5 goals (riskier prediction)

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