Chapecoense vs Athletic Prediction – Brazilian Serie B

Currently placed 19th, Athletic has yet to secure any points this season after 3 losses. In their latest match, they suffered a heavy defeat against Criciúma (4‑0), labouring under the weight of a previous home loss to CRB (1‑2). This team is significantly affected by the home advantage, showing stronger performances when playing with fan support, as evidenced by their last 30 games where they recorded 5 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses as visitors, netting 17 goals and conceding 25. In contrast, they excelled at home with 10 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, scoring 32 goals while conceding only 18. In their last 10 games across all competitions, Athletic has managed 3 victories, 1 draw, and 6 defeats. The visitors have allowed goals in 7 of their last 10 matches, which suggests a need for defensive improvement, though their attack has regularly found the net, achieving scores in 8 of their last 10 games. They have conceded the first goal 6 times in 15 outings, managing to turn the match around just once. Significant trends from their last 4 away matches indicate they conceded 3 of their 8 goals during the 76th to 90th minutes and 3 during the 31st to 45th minutes.

Athletic’s campaign has started below expectations and they need to demonstrate more consistent football. The team has struggled creatively and, while away from home, they have shown difficulty in controlling matches. In this encounter, they must adapt to a physical match with numerous challenges and limited space for intricate plays. A solid defensive structure and attention to detail will be crucial for them to achieve a positive result. Minimising simple errors and capitalising on any opportunities that arise will be essential if they hope to return home with points.