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Ceuta vs Valladolid Prediction – Second Division

Check out the best predictions for Ceuta vs Valladolid

Here you will find the best prediction for Ceuta vs Valladolid in the Segunda División, along with an analysis of the match and betting tips.

Read below our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent performances and key statistics from their last matches to provide the best prediction for this match between Ceuta and Valladolid.

Ceuta logo
Ceuta

  • January 17, 2026 – 13::00
  • Liga Adelante

  • 2025/2026
  • Regular season – Round 22
Valladolid logo
Valladolid


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Ceuta vs Valladolid

The best prediction for this clash in the Segunda División is an Asian Handicap of Ceuta 0.0. The home team is playing at their best, where they have won most of their games and scored the majority of their goals, only losing twice. Valladolid, on the other hand, is playing at their worst, but their attack has been scoring consistently despite this. We expect an open game, with an advantage for the home team but with chances for both sides to score. Therefore, betting on the Asian Handicap of Ceuta 0.0 seems to be a good option for this match.

Best prediction for Ceuta vs Valladolid

Asian Handicap, Ceuta 0.0

Match prediction for Ceuta vs Valladolid

The teams Ceuta and Valladolid play at the Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube in a match for the 22nd round of the Liga Adelante. Valladolid won at home (3-0) the last time they faced each other in this league edition on August 15, 2025. It is crucial to analyze the home/away condition, as Ceuta has shown different results at home and away.

Ceuta Analysis

The home team is currently in 9th place, with 32 points accumulated from 9 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses. In their last match, they won at home against FC Andorra (2-1). In their most recent game, they lost away to Málaga (2-1). This team is greatly influenced by playing at home, being stronger in front of their supporters, as their last 30 matches show 4 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses as visitors, scoring 17 goals and conceding 22, against 9 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses at home, with 26 goals scored and 15 conceded. In the league, Ceuta has earned 22 points out of 30 possible after 7 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last 10 home games. In their home matches, the most frequent score at the end of the first 45 minutes was 1-0, which occurred in 4 out of their 10 games. The team has allowed goals from opponents in 9 of their last 10 matches, indicating a lack of defensive solidity, but their attack has scored regularly, finding the net in 9 of their last 10 matches in this competition. Home matches in this competition tend to have fewer goals, as 7 of the last 10 ended with fewer than 3 goals. In 21 matches in this competition, they conceded the first goal 9 times and achieved only 1 comeback.

Ceuta is having a mid-table campaign, with many fluctuations, recently losing again to Málaga away (2-1), with a goal from Kuki Zalazar for their side. The team relies on a structure with three players upfront, where Aisar Ahmed, Konrad de la Fuente, and Kuki Zalazar serve as offensive instability agents, moving freely to alternate lanes, attack depth, or seek interior zones, causing constant breakdowns in the opponent’s defensive organization, accelerating the rhythm of actions in the final third and forcing the opponent to retreat, creating clear scoring opportunities. It seems that the entire squad will be available for the next round.

Valladolid Analysis

After 6 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses, the away team holds the 13th position, having amassed 25 points. In their last match, they lost to Leganés away (3-0), following a previous home draw against Racing Santander (1-1). This team maintains performance when playing away, as in the last 30 games, they recorded 3 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses as visitors; compared to 3 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses at home. In the league, Valladolid has gained 12 points out of 30 possible, with 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses in their last 10 away matches. In their away games, the most common score at halftime was 0-0, which occurred in 4 out of their 11 matches. Defensive solidity has not been a strong suit, as they have conceded goals in 9 of their last 10 matches in this competition. In their away games, there is a trend for fewer goals, as 7 of their last 10 matches concluded with less than 2.5 goals. In 21 matches in this competition, they managed only 1 comeback in the 11 matches where they conceded the first goal. In their last 10 away games for this competition, one period stands out: they scored 3 of their 8 goals between the minutes 31′ and 45′.

Real Valladolid is experiencing a negative streak, losing again away to Leganés in their last match (3-0). The team has structured its offensive behavior in a 4-3-3 formation, utilizing Juanmi Latasa, Chuki, and Peter Federico as central pieces, constantly alternating between short approaches, deep attacks, and occupying half-spaces, causing shifts in the opponent’s defensive line, allowing the team to progress in a block, vary their attacking sides, and maintain continuous presence near the opponent’s area. Right winger Amath Ndiaye and forward Marcos André are currently injured and are expected to miss the upcoming match.

Best prediction for Ceuta vs Valladolid

Asian Handicap, Ceuta 0.0

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