Casa Pia vs AVS Prediction – Primeira Liga

January 23, 2026[email protected]

Check out the best predictions for Casa Pia vs AVS

Here you will find the best prediction for Casa Pia vs AVS in the Primeira Liga, along with an analysis of the match and betting tips.

Read our detailed analysis of both teams below, including recent performance and key statistics from their last matches to provide the best prediction for this match between Casa Pia and AVS.

Casa Pia

January 23, 2026 – 20::15
Primeira Liga
2025/2026
Regular season – Round 19

AVS

Betting tip and prediction for this match between Casa Pia and AVS

The best prediction for Casa Pia vs AVS in the Primeira Liga is under 2.5 goals. This match promises to be a tough battle between two struggling teams that realize they are facing a strong candidate for relegation. Both will aim for victory but will proceed with caution. Betting on fewer than 2.5 goals seems to provide a comfortable margin, as the home team has more arguments to secure a win despite the challenges they face.

Best prediction for Casa Pia vs AVS

Under 1.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting tip)
Under 3.5 goals (live betting tip, double or treble)
Under 3.0 Asian goals (riskier bet)

Match prediction for Casa Pia vs AVS

The teams Casa Pia and AVS will play at Estádio Pina Manique, in a match of the 19th round of the Primeira Liga. In the last confrontation between these teams in this competition on August 15, 2025, Casa Pia won away by (0-2). The recent head-to-head record favors the home team, as they have won 1 and drawn 2 of the last 3 matches. Special attention is needed for the home/away condition, as both teams show significantly different results in their home and away games.

Casa Pia Analysis

The home team is currently in 16th place, with 14 points earned, from 3 wins, 5 draws, and 10 losses. In their penultimate match, they lost away to Rio Ave by (3-1). In their last match, they lost away to Sporting CP by (3-0). This team oddly performs better away than at home, having recorded 5 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses as visitors in their last 30 matches, with 18 goals scored and 23 conceded, compared to 3 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses at home, with 15 goals scored and 26 conceded. In their last 8 home games in the league, Casa Pia has recorded 4 draws and 4 losses, having earned 4 points out of 24 possible.

In this competition, they haven’t won any of their last 8 games at home. In matches played at their stadium, there are some frequent results: at halftime, it is often 0-0 (3 out of 8 games), and at the end of the match, it tends to end 0-2 (3 out of 8 games). The team has conceded goals to their opponents in 9 out of the last 10 games they have played in this competition, indicating that they have not been very strong defensively. There is a trend for few goals in their home matches for this competition, as 6 of the last 8 matches have had less than 3 goals. This team often fails to score first: they have only opened the scoring in 4 of their last 18 matches in the Primeira Liga, of which they led at halftime in 2 and won at the end of 90’ in 2. Out of 18 matches in this competition, they conceded the first goal 13 times and managed only 1 comeback. In their last 17 home matches across all competitions, they notably scored 10 of their 24 goals between the minutes (76’-90’)

Casa Pia remains the first team in the relegation zone, with 14 points, 3 behind Arouca. In their last two matches, they suffered defeats, first against Rio Ave (3-1), and then at home against Sporting (3-0). These results ended a good run of results, which hinted at a recovery for Casa Pia towards performances more aligned with the quality of their squad. Now, facing AVS, it’s do-or-die, as Casa Pia could hardly ask for a better opponent to get back to winning ways.

Confirmed lineup: Patrick Sequeira, José Fonte, João Goulart, Abdu Conté, David Sousa, Gaizka Larrazabal, Seba Pérez, Renato Nhaga, Jérémy Livolant, Cassiano, Kelian Nsona.
Coach: N. Pereira Costa.

AVS Analysis

The visiting team is currently in 18th place, with 4 points, from 4 draws and 14 losses. In their penultimate match, they lost at home to Moreirense (0-2). In their last match, they lost at home to Arouca (0-1). Strangely, this team has better results away than at home, having recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 10 losses as visitors in their last 30 games, with a total of 17 goals scored and 41 conceded. At home, they have secured 1 win, 5 draws, and 9 losses, with a total of 12 goals scored and 25 conceded. In the league, AVS has earned just 1 point out of 24 possible, with 1 draw and 7 losses in their last 8 games played as visitors.

This team has recorded a streak of 6 losses in their recent away matches and has not won any of their last 18 matches. In their league away matches, the most frequent halftime result has been 0-3 (3 out of 8 games). Defensive solidity has not been their strong point, as they have conceded at least one goal in each of their last 10 matches in this competition. In their away games, there is a trend for goals, as 6 of their last 8 matches in the competition ended with more than 2.5 goals. This is a team that rarely scores first and has only managed to open the scoring in 2 of their last 18 matches in the Primeira Liga, of which they led at halftime in 1 but never managed to maintain that lead until the end of 90’. In 18 matches in this competition, they have failed to overturn the score in 16 games where they conceded the first goal. In their last 19 matches away in all competitions, one period stands out: they scored 8 of their 19 goals between the minutes (76’-90’).

The AVS team is performing considerably worse than Casa Pia, demonstrating to be the weakest team in the league with only 4 points, and already trailing Arouca by 10 points, making it very difficult for them to stay in Liga Portugal. They approach this clash after three consecutive losses, the last being exactly against Arouca, and they will be playing as hosts. The 44 goals they’ve conceded so far indicate that the team from AVS is the most defensively fragile. While this match is crucial for Casa Pia’s future in Liga Portugal, the same applies to AVS.

Confirmed lineup: Adriel, Diogo Spencer, Carlos Ponck, Christian Neiva Afonso, Rúben Semedo, Gustavo Pinto Mendonça, Pedro Lima Barros, Roni, Babatunde Jimoh Akinsola, Tomané, Óscar Perea.
Coach: J. Costa Almeida.