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Burnley vs Manchester United Prediction – Premier League

Check out the best predictions for Burnley vs Manchester United

Here you can find the best prediction for Burnley vs Manchester United in the Premier League, along with an analysis of the match and betting tips.

Read below our detailed analysis of both teams, including their recent history and key statistics from their last matches to provide the best prediction for this game between Burnley vs Manchester United.

Burnley logo
Burnley

  • January 7, 2026 – 20::15
  • Premier League

  • 2025/2026
  • Regular season – Round 21
Manchester United logo
Manchester United


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Burnley vs Manchester United

The best prediction for Burnley vs Manchester United in the Premier League is over 2.5 goals. It is expected that the match will be led by Manchester United, but the Burnley team also has some interesting points, particularly in attack. Notably, 80% of Manchester United’s away games have ended with more than two goals by the final whistle. Therefore, a lively match is anticipated, with both goalkeepers being put to the test regularly.

Best prediction for Burnley vs Manchester United

Over 0.5 goals in the first half (live betting tip)
Over 1.5 goals (live betting tip, double or triple)
Over 2.5 goals (riskier prediction)

Match prediction for Burnley vs Manchester United

The teams Burnley and Manchester United face off at Turf Moor in a match for the 21st round of the Premier League. The last time they met in this league edition, Manchester United won at home (3-2) on August 30, 2025. At this stadium, the head-to-head record favors the visiting team, who has 2 wins and 1 draw in the last 3 matches. The last encounter at this stadium was on September 23, 2023, in a Premier League match that ended in a victory for Manchester United (0-1). The only goal of the match was scored by Bruno Fernandes (45′). In this match, the home factor may play an important role, as Manchester United shows significant differences in results achieved at home and away.

Burnley Analysis

The home team currently sits in 19th place, having accumulated 12 points from 3 wins, 3 draws, and 14 losses. In their second-to-last match, they lost at home to Newcastle United (1-3). In their last match, they lost away to Brighton & Hove Albion (2-0). This is a team that is not greatly affected by home advantage, as they have similar results at home and away; in the last 30 matches, they recorded 5 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses as visitors, scoring 23 goals and conceding 28, compared to 6 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses at home, with 18 goals scored and 19 conceded. In the league, Burnley gained 8 points from 30 possible, with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses in their last 10 home games.

In this competition, they have not won any of their last 6 home games. The team has allowed goals to their opponents in 9 of the last 10 matches they played in this competition, indicating a lack of defensive strength. In their home matches in this competition, there is a trend towards low-scoring games, as in 8 of the last 10 there were fewer than 3 goals. This is a team that rarely scores first: they only opened the scoring in 4 of their last 20 Premier League matches, of those 4, they went into halftime ahead in 1 and won at the end of the 90’ in 3. In 20 matches in this competition, they conceded the first goal 15 times and never managed to turn the score around. There are 2 notable periods in their last 10 home matches in this competition: they scored 4 of their 8 goals between the (16’-30′) minutes and conceded 5 of their 13 goals between the (0’-15′) minutes.

Burnley comes into this match following a 2-0 defeat away at Brighton, marking their second consecutive loss in this competition. The home team typically plays in a 5-2-3 formation, favoring a slower style of play and primarily directing their attack through the wings. The three forwards targeting the opponent’s goal will be Armando Broja, Jacob Bruun Larsen, and Jaidon Anthony, with midfielder Lesley Ugochukwu being responsible for coordinating and driving the offensive moves. Missing this game are Axel Tuanzebe due to suspension, as well as Josh Cullen, Zeki Amdouni, and Connor Roberts, who are injured.

Confirmed lineup: Martin Dúbravka, Lucas Pires, Hjalmar Ekdal, Kyle Walker, Bashir Humphreys, Florentino, Lesley Ugochukwu, Josh Laurent, Jacob Bruun Larsen, Armando Broja, Jaidon Anthony.
Manager: S. Dyche.

Manchester United Analysis

Following 8 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses, the visiting team is in 6th place, having accumulated 31 points. In their last match, they drew with Leeds United away (1-1), after previously drawing at home against Wolverhampton Wanderers (1-1). This is a team stronger at home, as in their last 30 matches they recorded 4 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses as visitors compared to 7 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses at home. In the league, Manchester United has accumulated 13 points from 30 possible, with 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses in their last 10 away games. Defensive solidity has not been their strong point, as they conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 matches, but their attack has been scoring regularly, netting in 9 of their last 10 games in this competition. In their away matches in this competition, there is a tendency for goals, as 8 out of 10 matches have ended with more than 2.5 goals on the scoreboard. In 20 matches in this competition, they only managed 1 comeback in the 7 matches in which they conceded the first goal.

Manchester United enters this match following a 1-1 draw in their away match at Leeds United, marking their third consecutive match without defeat in this Premier League; their only goal was scored by Matheus Cunha. The visiting team usually adopts a 3-4-3 tactical system, focusing on fast transitions, especially down the wings. Joshua Zirkzee, Matheus Cunha, and Benjamin Šeško are key players in the offensive unit, largely responsible for creating imbalances in the final third. When moving into their attacking phase, the team tends to channel the offense down the right side, utilizing the depth provided by full-back Diogo Dalot. Missing this game are Patrick Dorgu due to suspension, as well as Matthijs de Ligt, Kobbie Mainoo, and Bruno Fernandes, who are injured.

Confirmed lineup: Senne Lammens, Ayden Heaven, Patrick Dorgu, Lisandro Martínez, Diogo Dalot, Leny Yoro, Luke Shaw, Casemiro, Manuel Ugarte, Matheus Cunha, Benjamin Sesko.
Manager: R. Amorim.

Best prediction for Burnley vs Manchester United

Over 0.5 goals in the first half (live betting tip)
Over 1.5 goals (live betting tip, double or triple)
Over 2.5 goals (riskier prediction)

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