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Burgos vs Valencia Prediction – Copa del Rey

Check out the best predictions for Burgos vs Valencia

Here you can find the best prediction for Burgos vs Valencia in the Copa del Rey, along with match analysis and betting tips.

Read below for our in-depth analysis of both teams, including recent performance and key statistics from their last games to offer the best prediction for this match between Burgos and Valencia.

Burgos logo
Burgos

  • January 15, 2026 – 20::00
  • Copa del Rey

  • 2025/2026
  • Round of 16
Valencia logo
Valencia


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Burgos vs Valencia

The best prediction for this match between Burgos and Valencia in the Copa del Rey is that there will be few goals scored. It is expected to be a relatively balanced encounter, as both teams have shown a solid defensive unit, allowing few goal-scoring opportunities to their opponents. Notably, the “Under 2.5 Goals” market has been successful in 80% of the last 10 official matches for these teams.

Best prediction for Burgos vs Valencia

Under 1.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting tip)
Under 3.5 goals (live betting tip, double or triple)
Under 3.0 Asian goals (riskier bet)

Match prediction for Burgos vs Valencia

The teams Burgos and Valencia play at the Estadio Municipal de El Plantío in a Copa del Rey match (Round of 16). According to our data, there are no recent records of matches between the two teams. In this match, the home factor could play a decisive role, as Valencia has shown differences in their performance at home compared to away games.

Burgos Analysis

The home team arrives at this stage of the Copa del Rey (Round of 16) after a home victory against Getafe by a score of (3-1). This team has been little affected by the home factor, with similar results at home and away, as they have recorded 5 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses as visitors in their last 30 matches, scoring 18 goals and conceding 18, compared to 6 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses at home, scoring 19 and conceding 15. In their last game played in the Liga Adelante, they won against SD Eibar at home by (1-0). In the last 10 home games, Burgos has 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses. Defensive solidity has not been their strong point, as they conceded goals in 7 of their last 10 matches. There is a trend for few goals in their home matches, as 9 of their last 22 games ended with fewer than 1.5 goals. In 15 games, they conceded the first goal 8 times but managed to turn the score around in 4 of those.

The Burgos team comes into this encounter with a victory of 1-0 against Eibar in a match valid for La Liga: the only goal was scored by Iñigo Cordoba. It’s worth noting that the hosts advance to this stage of the Copa del Rey after eliminating Getafe in the previous match. The home team is expected to adopt a tactical system of 4-4-2, aiming to exploit counter-attacks. In this setup, the two players who are expected to take a more offensive role are Fernando Niño and Curro. When they attack, the team tends to favor the right side, utilizing the offensive projection of full-back Aitor Buñuel to create imbalances. All players are available for this game.

Valencia Analysis

The visiting team arrives at this stage of the Copa del Rey (Round of 16) after eliminating Sporting Gijón with an away victory of (0-2) in the previous round. This team is affected by the home factor, performing better with the support of their fans, as they have recorded 2 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses as visitors in their last 30 matches, scoring 15 goals and conceding 27. At home, they secured 5 wins, 7 draws, and 3 losses, scoring 18 and conceding 12. The team comes into this match after a home draw with Elche (1-1). In the last 10 away matches across all competitions, Valencia has won 3, drawn 3, and lost 4. Defensive solidity has not been their strength either, as they conceded goals in 8 of their last 10 games. However, their attack has been consistent, scoring at least one goal in each of the last 10 games. There is a trend for goals in their away matches, as 19 of the last 22 matches they played ended with more than 1.5 goals. This is a team that seldom scores first and has only managed to take the lead in 3 of their last 15 games; of those 3, they led at halftime in one and won all in regulation time. In 15 games, they managed only 1 comeback in the 11 games where they conceded the first goal. There is one notable pattern in their recent away performances, as they scored 9 of their 25 goals between the 61st and 75th minutes.

Valencia arrives at this encounter with a 1-1 draw against Elche in a match valid for La Liga; their only goal came from Pepelu. It’s worth noting that Valencia reaches this stage of the Copa del Rey following elimination of Sporting Gijón in their previous match. The visiting team typically lines up in a 4-3-3 tactical system, where Luis Rioja, Diego López, and Lucas Beltrán are responsible for leading the attack and creating key scoring opportunities. Midfielder André Almeida plays a crucial role in controlling the game and distributing decisive passes to forwards. All players are available for this match.

Best prediction for Burgos vs Valencia

Under 1.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting tip)
Under 3.5 goals (live betting tip, double or triple)
Under 3.0 Asian goals (riskier bet)

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