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Burgos vs Leganés Prediction – Second Division

Check out the best predictions for Burgos vs Leganés

Here you will find the best prediction for Burgos vs Leganés in the Segunda División, along with the match analysis and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent form and key statistics from their last games to provide you with the best prediction for this match between Burgos and Leganés.

Burgos logo
Burgos

  • January 31, 2026 – 15::15
  • Liga Adelante

  • 2025/2026
  • Normal season – Round 24
Leganés logo
Leganés


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Burgos vs Leganés

The best prediction for the match between Burgos and Leganés in the Liga Adelante is Asian Handicap, Leganés +0.5. This is likely to be a balanced encounter, as Burgos plays in its best condition at home, where most of its victories have been secured, despite inconsistencies in its campaign. Likewise, Leganés also performs well, accumulating more wins and goals, having only lost three matches. We anticipate an open and evenly matched game with chances for both sides to score. Therefore, betting on Asian Handicap +0.5 for Leganés seems to be an excellent choice.

Best prediction for Burgos vs Leganés

Asian Handicap, Leganés +0.5

Match prediction for Burgos vs Leganés

The teams Burgos and Leganés will face each other at the Estadio Municipal de El Plantío in a match of Round 24 of the Liga Adelante. In their last encounter in this competition on November 1, 2025, Burgos won away with a score of 2-1. The head-to-head record at this stadium favors the home team, who have won 2 of their last 3 matches while losing 1. In their most recent encounter at home in the Liga Adelante on October 4, 2023, Burgos secured a victory with a score of 1-0, with Curro Sánchez scoring the only goal of the match. The home advantage might play a decisive role here, as Leganés has demonstrated varying performances when playing at home and away.

Burgos Analysis

After 10 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, the home team is currently in 9th place, having collected 35 points. They lost to Málaga away with a score of 3-0 in their last match, following a home victory against Huesca by 1-0 in the previous game. This is a team that maintains its performance when playing outside of its stadium, as they have 5 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses in their last 30 games as visitors, compared to 6 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses at home. In their last 10 home games in the league, Burgos has recorded 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, gaining 15 points from 30 possible. A 0-0 draw has been the most frequent halftime score in their home league matches (8 out of 12 games). Their defensive solidity has been a concern, conceding goals in 7 of their last 10 league matches. At home, they tend to have low-scoring games, as 10 out of their last 12 league matches ended with fewer than 2.5 goals. Of the 23 matches in this competition, they conceded the first goal 12 times and only managed to come back on 3 occasions. Notably, they conceded 3 of their 8 goals between the 46th and 60th minutes in their last 12 home games.

Burgos is having a mid-table season, failing to contest playoffs due to inconsistency; they lost to Málaga away in their latest match by 3-0. The team employs a 4-4-2 formation, with Fer Niño and Curro leading the attack, while the midfield consists of David González, Iván Morante, Miguel Atienza, and Iñigo Córdoba, demonstrating good collective understanding as they quickly reorganize upon losing possession and progress methodically by exploiting spaces, using inside supports and successive line entries to remain effective in the opposing half. For the upcoming match, there are no indications of absentees in the squad.

Leganés Analysis

The visiting team is currently in 13th place, with 29 points after 7 wins, 8 draws, and 8 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost away to Castellón by 2-0. In their last match, they secured a home win against Real Sociedad II by 2-0. Interestingly, this team performs better away than at home, recording 6 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses as visitors in their last 30 games, scoring a total of 19 goals and conceding 16. At home, they achieved 5 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, with the same goal tally. In their last 10 away league matches, Leganés has registered 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, accumulating 15 points from 30 possible. The most frequent halftime score in their away league games has been 0-0 (6 out of 12 games). The team has allowed goals to opponents in 7 of their last 10 league matches, indicating they have not been very strong defensively. In 23 matches in this competition, they have only managed 1 comeback after conceding the first goal in 8 instances. A significant detail in their last 12 away matches in this competition is that they conceded 6 of their 12 goals between the 76th and 90th minutes.

Leganés also struggles with consistency, trying to climb into mid-table; however, they managed to win against Real Sociedad B at home by 2-0 in their last outing, with goals from Álex Millán and Diego García. The team uses a 4-2-3-1 formation, with Álex Millán taking up the most offensive role, but without rigid positioning, alternating between support and attacking the defense line. Their creative base includes Duk, Juan Cruz, and Óscar Plano, who exploit the flanks coherently, creating disruption in defensive setups and facilitating progression. This strategy enhances their collective advancement, positioning them effectively in higher zones. Defender Rubén Pulido is regaining form after a long-term injury and is expected to miss the upcoming match.

Best prediction for Burgos vs Leganés

Asian Handicap, Leganés +0.5

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