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Brighton vs Bournemouth Prediction – Premier League

Check out the best predictions for Brighton x Bournemouth

Here you will find the best prediction for Brighton x Bournemouth in the Premier League, along with match analysis and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent performances and key statistics from their last games to provide the best prediction for this match between Brighton x Bournemouth.

Brighton logo
Brighton

  • January 19, 2026 – 20::00
  • Premier League

  • 2025/2026
  • Regular season – Round 22
Bournemouth logo
Bournemouth


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Brighton x Bournemouth

The best prediction for Brighton x Bournemouth in the Premier League is that both teams will score. The game is likely to be dominated by Brighton; however, Bournemouth has been showcasing good football with plenty of scoring opportunities. Both teams have some defensive issues, suggesting an open match with multiple goal-scoring chances on either side.

Best prediction for Brighton x Bournemouth

Over 0.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting suggestion)
Over 1.5 goals (live betting suggestion, double or triple)
Both teams to score (riskier suggestion)

Will both teams score? Yes

Match prediction for Brighton x Bournemouth

The teams Brighton and Bournemouth will play at The American Express Community Stadium in a match for the 22nd round of the Premier League. The last time they faced each other in this league edition was on September 13, 2025, when AFC Bournemouth won at home 2-1. The head-to-head record at this stadium favors the home team, which has won all three of their last matches. In fact, in the last match at this stadium in the Premier League on February 25, 2025, Brighton & Hove Albion won 2-1. The goals in that match were scored by Danny Welbeck (75′) and João Pedro (12′) for Brighton and Justin Kluivert (61′) for Bournemouth. It’s important to note the home/away condition, as both teams have shown significantly different results in home and away games.

Brighton Analysis

The home team is currently in 11th place with 29 points, having achieved 7 wins, 8 draws, and 6 losses. In their second-to-last match, they won at home against Burnley 2-0. In their last match, they drew 1-1 away to Manchester City. This team is affected by home advantage, being stronger when playing in front of their fans, as they have recorded 5 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses as visitors in their last 30 matches, scoring 27 goals and conceding 20, compared to 8 wins, 6 draws, and 1 loss at home, with 29 goals scored and 19 conceded. In their last match in the FA Cup, they won against Manchester United away 2-1. In their last 10 home league games, Brighton has registered 5 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss, gaining 19 points out of a possible 30. The team has allowed goals to their opponent in 7 of their last 10 matches, indicating a lack of solidity in defense, but their attack has been consistently scoring, having found the net in 8 of their last 10 matches in this competition. In their home games, there tends to be a scoring trend, with 9 of their last 10 league games finishing with over 1.5 goals. In 21 matches in this competition, they have only managed to come back to win in 3 of the 12 matches in which they conceded the first goal. Two notable periods in their last 10 home matches in this competition include suffering 4 of their 11 goals between minutes 31 and 45, as well as another 4 of their 11 between minutes 76 and 90.

Brighton enters this match following a 2-1 victory away against Manchester United in the FA Cup. In their last match in the Premier League, the hosts drew 1-1 against Manchester City. The home team typically plays in a 4-3-3 formation, with their three most advanced players being Kaoru Mitoma, Danny Welbeck, and Brajan Gruda. In central midfield, they may field Carlos Baleba, Pascal Groß, and Georginio Rutter, with the first taking a more offensive role. When they press for offense, they usually exploit the right flank, taking advantage of the depth provided by right-back Joël Veltman. Out for this game are Adam Webster, Stefanos Tzimas, Mats Wieffer, Solly March, and Yankuba Minteh, all due to physical issues.

Bournemouth Analysis

After 6 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses, the away team finds itself in 15th place, having garnered 26 points. In their last match, they defeated Tottenham Hotspur at home 3-2, after losing to Arsenal at home 2-3 in their previous game. This team is generally stronger when playing at home, as they have recorded 2 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses as visitors in their last 30 matches, compared to 6 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses at home. In their last outing in the FA Cup, they lost to Newcastle United away on penalties, with a score of 7-6. Their latest away game in this competition ended in a 2-2 draw against Chelsea. In their last 10 away league matches, Bournemouth has recorded 1 win, 4 draws, and 5 losses, earning 7 points from a possible 30.

For this competition, they have not won an away game in 8 matches. Defensive solidity has not been their strong point, as they have conceded goals in 9 of their last 10 matches, but their attack has been consistently scoring, finding the net in 8 of their last 10 matches in this competition. There tends to be a scoring trend in their away games as well, with 9 out of 10 finishing with over 2.5 goals on the scoreboard. In 21 matches in this competition, they have managed to come back and win in only 2 situations of the 9 games in which they conceded the first goal.

Bournemouth enters this clash following a defeat on penalties against Newcastle in the FA Cup. In their last Premier League match, the visitors won 3-2 against Tottenham. The away team typically plays in a 4-3-3 formation, adopting a more defensive style of play and attacking through the center, with offensive transitions being their main asset. Notably, in this setup, the three players tasked with unsettling the opposition defense should be Marcus Tavernier, Evanilson, and Amine Adli. When attacking, they usually focus on the right side, leveraging the width provided by right-back Álex Jiménez. Missing from this match are Enes Ünal, Justin Kluivert, Tyler Adams, Will Dennis, and Ben Doak, all due to physical issues.

Best prediction for Brighton x Bournemouth

Over 0.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting suggestion)
Over 1.5 goals (live betting suggestion, double or triple)
Both teams to score (riskier suggestion)

Will both teams score? Yes

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