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Braga vs Alverca Prediction – Primeira League

Check out the best predictions for Braga vs Alverca

Here you will find the best prediction for Braga vs Alverca in the Primeira Liga, along with an analysis of the match and betting tips.

Read below our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent form and key statistics from their last matches to offer the best prediction for this clash between Braga and Alverca.

Braga logo
Braga

  • January 25, 2026 – 20::30
  • Primeira Liga

  • 2025/2026
  • Regular season – Round 19
Alverca logo
Alverca


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Braga vs Alverca

The best prediction for
Braga vs Alverca in the Primeira Liga is a win for Sporting Braga combined with over 1.5 goals. The Sporting Braga team must not falter in this game; otherwise, they risk disappointing their fans. A team with the roster of Sporting Braga is expected to perform better, and now is the time for them to win matches where they are favored. Given that the simple victory for the Braga team offers low odds, and it is quite likely that this match will see more than one goal, betting on Braga winning with more than 1.5 goals appears to be an interesting option.

Best prediction for Braga vs Alverca

Sporting Braga wins and Over 1.5 goals

Match prediction for Braga vs Alverca

The teams Braga and Alverca face off at the Municipal Stadium of Braga in a match for the 19th round of the Primeira Liga. It was Braga that won away (0-3) the last time they met in this league edition on August 17, 2025. In this game, the home advantage may play a crucial role, as Alverca has exhibited varying performance levels in home and away matches.

Analysis of Braga

After 8 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses, the home team is in 5th place, having earned 30 points. In their last match, they won against Tondela away (0-1), having drawn in their previous game against Estrela de Amadora (3-3). This team is not heavily affected by home advantage, as they have similar results both at home and away; in their last 30 matches, they recorded 8 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses as visitors, scoring 25 goals and conceding 14, compared to 10 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses at home, with 34 goals scored and 14 conceded. In their most recent Europa League game, they beat Nottingham Forest (1-0) at home. In their last 8 home games in the league, Braga recorded 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, accruing 14 points out of a possible 24.

In this competition, they have not lost any of their last 4 home matches. Their attack has been regularly scoring, netting in 9 of their last 10 games in this competition. Out of 18 matches in this competition, they have never managed to come back in the 7 games where they conceded the first goal.

The “Warriors of Minho” won at Tondela in their last match and continue to pressure Gil Vicente, being only 1 point behind the “Roosters of Barcelos.” This triumph in Tondela could be very important and might mark a turning point towards a more positive phase for the team under Carlos Vicens. Before this, they had 2 consecutive draws, the first against Benfica and then at the Estrela stadium, where they conceded 3 goals. It is clear that despite occasionally demonstrating quality, Sporting Braga is not at the level to compete with the three giants. In matches like this, where they host Alverca, the Braga team must take on the role of favorites and not drop points!

 

Analysis of Alverca

The visiting team is currently in 10th place with 23 points, after 7 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses. In their penultimate match, they won at home against Famalicão (1-0). In their last match, they also won at home against Moreirense (2-1). This is a stronger team when playing at their home ground, as their last 30 matches show 5 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses as visitors, compared to 8 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses at home. In the league, Alverca has earned 7 points from a possible 24, following 2 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses in their last 8 matches as visitors. In their away games, common halftime scores are 0-0 (3 in 8 matches) and 1-1 (3 in 8 matches). Defensive solidity has not been their strong point, as they have conceded goals in 7 of their last 10 matches in this competition. Out of 18 matches in this competition, they have only managed to come back in 1 match from 11 where they conceded the first goal.

Alverca has won their last 2 matches, and their primary objective will be to leave Braga with points. Only then will they be able to capitalize on their good form. With these 6 points gained in the last two matches, the Ribatejanos have secured an 8-point lead over Casa Pia, the first team in the relegation zone. However, away games continue to be very challenging for this team under Custódio, who has lost in 4 of their last 5 trips, including a heavy defeat to Estoril (4-1).

Best prediction for Braga vs Alverca

Sporting Braga wins and Over 1.5 goals

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