👉 What is the recommended bet for Borussia Dortmund vs St. Pauli?

The prediction and betting suggestion for Borussia Dortmund vs St. Pauli on January 17, 2026, according to the analysis written by the tipsters, is: Over 2.5 goals ⇒ bet available on Bet365.

👉 Where will the Borussia Dortmund vs St. Pauli match be played?

Borussia Dortmund vs St. Pauli on January 17, 2026, will be played in Borussia Dortmund, at Signal Iduna Park.

👉 What is the most voted bet for this match?

The tipsters are divided on the most likely bet for the Borussia Dortmund vs St. Pauli match, with all options receiving the same percentage of votes. Make your tip and cast your vote to break the tie!

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Borussia Dortmund vs St. Pauli Prediction – Bundesliga

January 16, 2026[email protected]

Check the best predictions for Borussia Dortmund vs St. Pauli

Here you will find the best prediction for Borussia Dortmund vs St. Pauli in the Bundesliga, along with match analysis and betting tips.

Read below our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent records and key statistics from their last games to provide the best prediction for this match between Borussia Dortmund and St. Pauli.

Borussia Dortmund

January 17, 2026 – 14::30
Bundesliga
2025/2026
Regular season – Round 18

St. Pauli

Betting tip and prediction for this match between Borussia Dortmund vs St. Pauli

The best prediction for the match Borussia Dortmund vs St. Pauli in the Bundesliga is over 2.5 goals. While Borussia Dortmund is expected to have more control over the game, St. Pauli also has the potential to create threats in attack. Moreover, both teams have displayed defensive weaknesses, which could lead to an open match conducive to goals on both sides. Therefore, the “Over 2.5 Goals” market appears to be a good option for this clash.

Best prediction for Borussia Dortmund vs St. Pauli

Over 0.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting tip)
Over 1.5 goals (live betting tip, double or triple)
Over 2.5 goals (riskier prediction)

Match prediction for Borussia Dortmund vs St. Pauli

The teams Borussia Dortmund and St. Pauli face off at Signal Iduna Park in a match for the 18th round of the Bundesliga. In their last encounter in this competition on August 23, 2025, the final score was a draw (3-3). The recent head-to-head record favors the home team, which has 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last 4 matches.

Borussia Dortmund Analysis

The home team is currently in 2nd place, with 36 points after 10 wins, 6 draws, and 1 loss. In their penultimate match, they drew away to Eintracht Frankfurt (3-3). In their last match, they won at home against Werder Bremen (3-0). In their last 8 home matches in the league, Borussia Dortmund has recorded 6 wins and 2 draws, accumulating 20 points from a possible 24.

In this competition, they have not lost any of their last 8 home games. In their home league matches, the most frequent halftime score has been 1-0 (5 out of 8 games). Their attack has been consistent, scoring at least one goal in each of their last 10 matches in this competition. Their home games tend to see few goals, with 5 of their last 8 league matches ending with under 2.5 goals. This is a team that often scores first: they opened the scoring in 15 of their last 17 Bundesliga matches, and of those 15, they were leading at halftime in 12 and managed to maintain the lead until the end of the 90 minutes in 10.

Borussia Dortmund comes into this match following a 3-0 victory against Werder Bremen, marking their third win in the last five matches in this competition: the goals were scored by Serhou Guirassy, Marcel Sabitzer, and Nico Schlotterbeck. The team, coached by Niko Kovač, typically plays in a 3-4-3 formation, with Serhou Guirassy, Maximilian Beier, and Karim Adeyemi leading the attack and creating the primary goal-scoring opportunities. Midfielder Marcel Sabitzer plays a key role in controlling the game and distributing decisive passes to the forwards. All players are available for this match.

Confirmed lineup: Gregor Kobel, Julian Ryerson, Nico Schlotterbeck, Waldemar Anton, Niklas Süle, Yan Couto, Carney Chukwuemeka, Felix Nmecha, Marcel Sabitzer, Fábio Silva, Maximilian Beier.
Coach: N. Kovač.

St. Pauli Analysis

After 3 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses, the visiting team is in 17th place, having earned 12 points. In their last match, they lost to VfL Wolfsburg away (2-1), after drawing away against FSV Mainz 05 (0-0) in the previous match. In their last 9 away league matches, St. Pauli has 1 win, 2 draws, and 6 losses, accumulating 5 points from a possible 27.

In this competition, they have not won any of their last 8 away matches. In away league matches, the most frequent halftime score has been 1-0, occurring in 4 of their 7 games. Defensive solidity has not been their strong point, as they have conceded goals in 9 of their last 10 league matches. Their away games tend to have few goals, with 6 of their last 9 matches in the competition ending with under 2.5 goals. This is a team that rarely scores first, only managing to open the scoring in 3 of their last 16 Bundesliga matches; of those 3, they were leading at halftime in 2 and won in the end in 2. In 16 games in this competition, they have only managed to turn the score around once in 12 matches where they conceded the first goal.

St. Pauli comes into this match following a 2-1 loss against Wolfsburg, marking their second consecutive match without a win in this competition: the only goal for the team was scored by Eric Smith. The visiting team is expected to play in a 3-5-2 formation, focusing on quick transitions and attacking through the flanks. Abdoulie Ceesay and Mathias Pereira Lage are likely to be the most advanced players on the field, with the left flank emerging as the primary offensive route, benefiting from the runs of Lars Ritzka, a player who adds width and dynamism to the attack. Jackson Irvine, Danel Sinani, David Nemeth, Simon Spari, and Andréas Hountondji will miss this match due to fitness issues.

Confirmed lineup: Nikola Vasilj, Karol Mets, Louis Oppie, Arkadiusz Pyrka, Adam Dzwigala, Hauke Wahl, Joel Chima Fujita, Jackson Irvine, James Sands, Mathias Pereira Lage, Abdoulie Ceesay.
Coach: T. Schultz.