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Borussia Dortmund vs Mainz 05 Prediction – Bundesliga
Check out the best predictions for Borussia Dortmund vs Mainz 05
Here you will find the best prediction for Borussia Dortmund vs Mainz 05 for the Bundesliga, alongside an analysis of the match and betting tips.
Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including their recent form and key statistics from the last games to provide the best prediction for this match between Borussia Dortmund and Mainz 05.
 Borussia Dortmund |
|  Mainz 05 |
Betting tip and prediction for this match between Borussia Dortmund vs Mainz 05
The best prediction for Borussia Dortmund vs Mainz 05 in the Bundesliga is over 2.5 goals. While a balanced match is anticipated, both clubs are known for delivering open games where scoring chances are frequent. Notably, the “over 2.5 goals” market has been successful in 69% of Borussia Dortmund’s home matches. Therefore, an exciting match is expected, with numerous scoring opportunities near both goals.
The best prediction for Borussia Dortmund vs Mainz 05
Over 0.5 goals in the 1st half (live bet suggestion)
Over 1.5 goals (live, double or triple bet suggestion)
Over 2.5 goals (risky prediction)
Match preview: Borussia Dortmund vs Mainz 05
Borussia Dortmund and Mainz 05 face off at Signal Iduna Park, as part of the 27th round of the Bundesliga. In the previous encounter between these teams in this competition on 09 November 2024, FSV Mainz 05 claimed victory at home with a score of 3-1. Historically at this stadium, the matches have tended to be closely contested, with both teams recording 3 draws and 1 win each in the last 5 fixtures. Indeed, their last meeting at this venue occurred on 19 December 2023, resulting in a 1-1 draw. The goals of that match were scored by Julian Brandt (29′) for Borussia Dortmund and Sepp Van Den Berg (43′) for Mainz 05. Despite being 11th and 3rd in the overall standings, this match showcases 5th place in terms of home performances against 4th place in away matches.
Team analysis: Borussia Dortmund
The home side currently sits in 11th place with 35 points, having secured 10 wins, 5 draws, and suffered 11 defeats. In their penultimate match, they lost 0-1 at home to FC Augsburg, followed by a 0-2 loss away to RB Leipzig in their last fixture. This team has been significantly impacted by playing at home, where they have accumulated 24 points, scoring 31 goals and conceding 16, compared to just 11 points away from home, with 14 goals scored and 25 goals conceded. In the league, Borussia Dortmund has obtained 15 points from the last 30 possible, achieving 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses in their last 10 home games. Defensive stability has not been their strong point, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 league matches. There is a clear trend for goals in their home matches, with 12 of the last 13 fixtures resulting in over 1.5 goals. Out of 26 games in this competition, they have only managed to turn the match around 2 times when conceding the first goal.
Borussia Dortmund enters this match following an unmotivating 0-2 defeat against RB Leipzig. They typically employ a tactical system of 4-3-3, favouring an offensive style, particularly utilising the flanks. The trio tasked with attacking duties includes Serhou Guirassy, Jamie Gittens, and Karim Adeyemi. When pushing forward, they tend to exploit the right channel, looking to capitalise on the width provided by defender Waldemar Anton. They will be missing Marcel Sabitzer, Felix Nmecha, Marcel Lotka, Cole Campbell, and Filippo Mané due to injury.
Team analysis: Mainz 05
The visiting side is currently in 3rd place, having amassed 45 points from 13 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses. In their penultimate match, they secured a 3-1 victory against Borussia Mönchengladbach, followed by a home draw against SC Freiburg, ending 2-2. This team generally performs better as visitors than at home, achieving 23 points on the road compared to 22 at home, scoring 18 and conceding 12 in their own stadium, while they have netted 26 goals and conceded 16 as visitors. In the league, Mainz 05 has collected 16 points from 30 possible, with 5 wins, 1 draw, and 4 defeats in their last 10 away games. Their attack has proven consistent, scoring in 7 of the last 10 league matches. As visitors, they have a tendency for goals, with 9 of their last 13 away fixtures finishing with over 2.5 goals. Of the 26 games in this competition, they conceded the first goal 7 times, only managing to turn the match around once.
Mainz 05 arrives at this match following a 2-2 draw against Freiburg, with goals scored by Jonathan Burkardt and Andreas Hanche-olsen. This team generally plays in a 3-4-3 formation, prioritising fast attacking play. The trio responsible for threatening the opposition’s defence includes Jonathan Burkardt, Paul Nebel, and Jae-Sung Lee. The midfield is orchestrated by Nadiem Amiri, who plays a crucial role in dictating the team’s attacking movements. They will be without Dominik Kohr and Philipp Mwene due to suspension, along with Stefan Bell, who is injured.
The best prediction for Borussia Dortmund vs Mainz 05
Over 0.5 goals in the 1st half (live bet suggestion)
Over 1.5 goals (live, double or triple bet suggestion)
Over 2.5 goals (risky prediction)
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