👉 What is the recommended bet for Benfica vs Real Madrid?

The prediction and betting suggestion for Benfica vs Real Madrid on January 28, 2026, as analyzed by the tipsters, is: Over 2.5 goals ⇒ bet available on bet365.

👉 In which stadium will Benfica vs Real Madrid be played?

The Benfica vs Real Madrid match on January 28, 2026, will be held in Lisbon, at the Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica.

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Benfica vs Real Madrid Prediction – Champions League

January 26, 2026[email protected]

Check out the best predictions for Benfica x Real Madrid

Here you’ll find the best prediction for Benfica x Real Madrid in the Champions League, along with an analysis of the match and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including recent performances and key statistics from their last games to provide the best prediction for this match between Benfica x Real Madrid.

Benfica

January 28, 2026 – 20::00
UEFA Champions League
2025/2026
League Stage – Round 8

Real Madrid

Betting tip and prediction for this match between Benfica x Real Madrid

The best prediction for
Benfica x Real Madrid in the UEFA Champions League is over 2.5 goals. This matchup is likely to see a high score as Real Madrid is still vying for a direct qualification to the knockout stage of the Champions League, hence they will definitely seek a win. The visiting team still harbors some chance of progressing to the next round, making this an open and dynamic game, potentially filled with goals.

Best prediction for Benfica x Real Madrid

Over 0.5 goals in the 1st half (live betting tip)
Over 1.5 goals (live betting tip, double or triple)
Over 2.5 goals (more risky prediction)

Match prediction for Benfica x Real Madrid

The teams Benfica and Real Madrid face off at the Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica in a clash for the UEFA Champions League (League Stage). There are no official records of matches between these two teams in the last 3 years. The last encounter was on July 27, 2012, and ended with the score: Benfica (5-2) Real Madrid. In this match, the home factor may play a significant role, as both teams show substantial differences in results achieved at home versus away.

Analysis of Benfica

The home team is currently in 29th place, with 6 points, having achieved 2 victories and 5 defeats. In the penultimate match, they won at home against Napoli (2-0). In the last match, they lost away to Juventus (2-0). Interestingly, this team has been stronger away than at home, as in their last 30 games, they recorded 9 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses as visitors, compared to 8 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses at their stadium. They come into this match after a home victory against Estrela Amadora (4-0). In their last 5 home games in the UEFA Champions League, Benfica won 3 and lost 2. In 11 games in this competition, they conceded the first goal 4 times and never managed to turn the match around.

Benfica enters this match for the 8th round of the group stage of the Champions League occupying the 29th position, seven points behind the tenth place and nine points behind third place. Playing in a 4-2-3-1 setup, the team protects its area with two defensive midfielders while leaving three players in midfield to create offensive plays, always looking for the striker. As hosts, they have shown a positive performance, winning four out of the last five home games, with the fact that four games had more than 1.5 goals and three had more than 2.5 goals.

Analysis of Real Madrid

The visiting team is currently in 3rd place, with 15 points, achieved through 5 wins and 2 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost at home to Manchester City (1-2). In the last match, they won at home against Monaco (6-1). This is a team influenced by the home factor, being stronger when playing with the support of their fans, as in the last 30 games they have 8 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses as visitors, scoring a total of 31 goals while conceding 22. At home, they claimed 13 wins and 2 losses, with a total of 36 goals scored and 12 conceded. In their last match for La Liga, they won against Villarreal away (0-2). In the last 10 away games, Real Madrid has 6 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses. Defensively, they have not been solid lately, conceding goals in 5 of their last 7 games, but their attack has been scoring regularly, having netted goals in 6 of their last 7 games in this competition. In their away matches, there tends to be goals, as 24 of their last 36 matches ended with over 2.5 goals. In 15 matches, they have only managed to turn the score around once in the 5 matches where they conceded the first goal.

Real Madrid enters this match for the 8th round of the group stage of the Champions League occupying the 26th position, five points behind the tenth place and ten points behind the second place. Playing in a 4-3-3 formation, the team operates with a line of three players to assist both in defense and attack, creating plays for the three forward players. As visitors, they have had a relatively inconsistent performance, with three wins and two losses in their last five away games, and in all of them, more than 1.5 goals have been scored, with four of them exceeding 2.5 goals.