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Basel vs Lugano Prediction – Super League
Check out the best predictions for Basel vs Lugano
Here you will find the best prediction for Basel vs Lugano in the Super League, alongside match analysis and betting tips.
Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, which includes recent form and key statistics from their last matches to provide the best prediction for this clash between Basel and Lugano.
 Basel |
|  Lugano |
Betting tip and prediction for this match between Basel vs Lugano
The best prediction for
Basel vs Lugano – Super Liga
in the Super League is over 2.5 goals. Basel is in urgent need of a victory to maintain their position at the top without relying on other results. Similarly, Lugano requires a win to stay in contention for first place during this regular phase. Despite playing at home, Basel has been vulnerable defensively, conceding in 80% of their last 10 matches. They managed to score in 90% of those fixtures, while Lugano has a record of scoring in 70% of their away games. Therefore, a bet on over 2.5 goals is a compelling option for this encounter.
The best prediction for Basel vs Lugano
Over 0.5 goal in the 1st half (bet for live betting)
Over 1.5 goals (bet for live, double or triple bet)
Over 2.5 goals (risky bet)
Match preview: Basel vs Lugano
Basel and Lugano are set to compete at Leichtathletik-Stadion St. Jakob in this 31st round of the Super League. The last encounter in this season ended with Lugano triumphing 1-2 away from home on 27-2024. The historical record of their recent meetings favours Basel, who have registered 6 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses from the last 16 matches. The most recent direct clash, on 19-01-2025, concluded in a draw at 2-2. In this fixture, the home advantage could be significant, particularly given the notable discrepancies in results between home and away performances for Lugano.
Team analysis: Basel
The home side is currently in 2nd place, having earned 49 points from 15 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses. In their penultimate fixture, they claimed an away victory against Winterthur (0-2). In their latest match, they secured a home win against the Grasshopper (2-1). Basel is not significantly affected by home advantage; they have similar results at home and away, having achieved 6 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses in their last 30 away matches, scoring 34 goals and conceding 16. At home, they have 10 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, netting 31 goals and allowing 12. In the championship context, Basel has accumulated 20 points from the last 30 on offer, with 6 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses from their last 10 home games. The defence has shown some frailty, conceding in 7 of the last 10 matches, yet the attack has been consistently potent, scoring at least once in their last 10 league games. Goals feature prominently in their home games; in fact, 13 of their last 15 matches in this competition have seen more than 1.5 goals. In 30 league encounters, they have conceded the first goal 11 times and only managed to overturn the score three times.
The Basel team has reclaimed the lead, and it remains to be seen if they can sustain the pressure to stay at the top. In each instance they have risen to first place, Basel has failed to secure a victory in the following match. Their lead is precariously slim, just 1 point in front of the team below them. Any outcome apart from a victory may jeopardise their position. Their opponents, Lugano, may be experiencing a downturn in form, yet they remain a competitive force in this championship, and are not yet out of the race for top spot. Thus, for Lugano, this match is crucial for their aspirations.
Team analysis: Lugano
The visiting team is currently placed 4th, having garnered 48 points through 14 wins, 6 draws, and 10 losses. In their second to last match, they succumbed to Servette at home (0-2). Most recently, they triumphed away against Yverdon Sport (0-2). Lugano tends to perform better at home; they have recorded 5 victories, 1 draw, and 9 defeats in their last 30 away games, compared to 8 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses on home turf. In the league, Lugano has amassed just 10 points from the last 30 available, obtaining 3 wins, 1 draw, and 6 losses in their most recent 10 away appearances. Their defence has been somewhat leaky, allowing goals in 8 of those last 10 fixtures, yet their attack has found the net regularly, scoring in 7 of their last 10 league outings. From 30 matches in the Super League, they have conceded the first goal on 18 occasions but managed to turn the score around on 6 instances. There is a notable trend; 8 of the 19 goals they conceded happened in the late stages of matches, specifically between the 76th and 90th minutes.
Lugano is still recovering from a recent dip in form. They began the season strongly, but having lost their advantage, now find themselves 4 points adrift. This match at Basel Stadium could mark a decisive moment for Lugano’s prospects of reclaiming the top position, at least in this regular phase. They have only secured 2 wins in their past 5 away matches, suffering 3 losses during that stretch. This is arguably the weakest version of Lugano we’ve seen, but in high-stakes encounters, teams often find their best form and can prevail against all odds.
The best prediction for Basel vs Lugano
Over 0.5 goal in the 1st half (bet for live betting)
Over 1.5 goals (bet for live, double or triple bet)
Over 2.5 goals (risky bet)
