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Bahia vs Vitória Prediction – Brazilian Serie A

Check out the best predictions for Bahia vs Vitória

Here you will find the best prediction for Bahia vs Vitória in the Brasileirão Serie A, along with an analysis of the match and betting tips.

Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including their recent records and the main statistics from their last games to deliver the best prediction for this match between Bahia vs Vitória.

Bahia Logo
Bahia

  • 18 May 2025 – 19::00
  • Brasileirão Serie A

  • 2025

  • Normal Time – Round 9

Victory Logo
Vitória


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Bahia vs Vitória

The best prediction for Bahia vs Vitória in the Brasileirão Serie A is that both teams will score. In this classic encounter, both teams typically display offensive football with ample chances to find the back of the net. Given the history of their clashes, this betting option is quite appealing, as both sides possess strong attacking capabilities coupled with defensive vulnerabilities.

The best prediction for Bahia vs Vitória

Over 0.5 goals in the 1st half (bet for live betting)
Over 1.5 goals (bet for live, double or triple betting)
Both teams to score (risky bet)

Do both teams score? Yes

Match preview: Bahia vs Vitória

Bahia and Vitória will square off at the Fonte Nova Arena in this 9th round match of the Brasileirão Serie A. The historical record for direct confrontations at this venue favours the home side, as they have won 4 and drawn 3 of the last 7 meetings here. In fact, during their last encounter at this stadium, on 16th March 2025 in the Bahian top division, Bahia secured a 2-0 victory, with goals from Gabriel Xavier (7′) and Erick Pulga (45′).

Team analysis: Bahia

Following 3 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, the home team currently occupies 8th place with 12 points. In their last match, they suffered a narrow 1-0 defeat against Flamengo, but prior to that, they managed a 1-0 home win against Botafogo. Their most recent outing in the Copa Libertadores saw them lose 1-0 away to Atletico Nacional. In their last 4 home games in the league, Bahia has recorded 2 wins and 2 draws, earning 8 points out of a possible 12.

In this competition, they have been unbeaten at home for their last 4 matches. Their attack has been fairly consistent, having scored in 6 of their last 8 games in this league. Historically, home fixtures tend to yield few goals, as evidenced by 25 of the last 38 matches featuring fewer than 3 goals. The team usually finds it easy to take the lead, having scored first in 6 of the last 8 matches in the Brasileirão Serie A; out of these, they managed to maintain the lead at half-time in 3 encounters and held onto their advantage until the final whistle in 3 matches. Notably, they have conceded 6 of their 12 goals in the final 15 minutes of their last 20 home games.

Bahia is performing well in the Brasileirão, despite experiencing some ups and downs. The team exhibits strong organisation and is aiming to secure a place in international competitions by maintaining a position near the top of the table. Playing at home, the Tricolor do Steel intends to assert its dominance and take advantage of their current form. While the pressure of a derby is palpable, Bahia enters with a slight edge based on their more consistent performance. Fan support is expected to play a crucial role, as they strive to capitalise on this advantage and ensure continuity in their positive run.

Team analysis: Vitória

Currently sitting in 14th place with 9 points, the visiting team has recorded 2 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses. In their previous match, they managed a 2-1 victory against Vasco da Gama at home, but before that, they suffered a 1-0 defeat against Ceará in their last away match. In the most recent fixture in the South American Bridgestone Cup, they secured a 1-0 away win against Cerro Largo. For the last 4 league matches away from home, Vitória has accumulated just 2 points from 2 draws and 2 defeats.

They have not managed a victory away in this competition for 4 matches. Defensive solidity has been a weak point, as they have conceded at least one goal in each of their last 8 encounters, though the attack has demonstrated consistency, scoring in 6 of those 8 matches. This team seldom takes the lead first, having only scored first in 2 of their last 8 games in Serie A; of those, they went into half-time ahead in 1 and managed victory in just 1 match. Across 8 appearances in this league, they conceded the opener 6 times and managed to turn the score around only once.

Vitória arrives motivated following their recent win, a result that has revitalised their battle against relegation. Still facing a precarious position, the team understands the necessity of accumulating points to evade the drop zone. The derby against Bahia presents a tough challenge but also an opportunity to reaffirm their resurgence. The team will need to adopt a combative approach, exploiting any opportunities to create surprises. Despite their rival’s slight favouritism, Vitória pledges to put in a strong fight. The psychological edge of a derby match could serve as a crucial factor in their quest for points away from home.

The best prediction for Bahia vs Vitória

Over 0.5 goals in the 1st half (bet for live betting)
Over 1.5 goals (bet for live, double or triple betting)
Both teams to score (risky bet)

Do both teams score? Yes

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