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Bahia vs São Paulo Prediction – Brazilian Serie A

Check out the best predictions for Bahia vs São Paulo

Here you will find the best prediction for Bahia vs São Paulo in the Brasileirão Serie A, along with a match analysis and betting tips.

Read below for our in-depth analysis of both teams, including their recent performance and key statistics from their last matches to provide the best prediction for this encounter between Bahia and São Paulo.

Bahia Logo
Bahia

  • 31 May 2025 – 21::30
  • Brasileirão Serie A

  • 2025

  • Normal Time – Round 11

São Paulo Logo
São Paulo


Betting tip and prediction for this match between Bahia and São Paulo

The best prediction for Bahia vs São Paulo in the Brasileirão Serie A is that both teams will score. With both sides displaying defensive vulnerabilities in recent matches, there is a higher likelihood of opportunities appearing in both attack lines. While Bahia tends to be more aggressive at home, São Paulo has the ability to exploit any gaps left by their opponents. Hence, betting on both teams to score seems sensible considering their offensive capabilities and the urgency for both teams to bounce back after recent setbacks.

Match preview: Bahia vs São Paulo

Bahia and São Paulo will square off at the Fonte Nova Arena in the 11th round of the Brasileirão Serie A. The historical record at this venue favours the visiting side, with São Paulo securing 3 victories against just 1 loss in their last 4 encounters here. Notably, during their last meeting at this venue on 06 November 2024, São Paulo emerged victorious with a scoreline of 3-0. The goals were netted by Lucas Moura, Wellington Rato, and Luiz Gustavo. Home advantage could be significant in this encounter, as Bahia typically displays stronger performances at their ground compared to their away displays.

Team analysis: Bahia

Currently positioned 7th with 15 points from 10 matches, Bahia has recorded 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses. They suffered a defeat against Grêmio (1-0) in their latest outing after securing a 2-1 victory at home against Vitória in the previous match. Bahia tends to perform better on home soil: across their last 30 matches, they have registered 10 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses at home, compared to 6 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses away. They come into this match seeking to bounce back after a 2-1 loss to Internacional. In the last 5 home games, they earned 11 points from a possible 15 and remain unbeaten at home in this competition.

However, defensively they have struggled, conceding in 7 of their last 10 matches, while their attack has been relatively consistent, scoring in 7 of those games. A key concern is that 5 of their 12 goals conceded in the last 20 home matches came in the final minutes (76′-90′).

Following a controversial match marred by questionable refereeing, Bahia will feel the pressure to perform in this fixture. This recent defeat has put their mental resilience to the test, and it will be crucial for them to remain composed. Their performance hinges on maintaining focus and employing effective tactics against São Paulo to secure a positive result.

Team analysis: São Paulo

São Paulo finds themselves in 13th place with 12 points, after 2 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses. They experienced a disappointing 0-2 defeat against Mirassol in their last match, following a home win over Grêmio (2-1). The team has maintained a steady performance away from home, with a record of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses in their last 30 matches. However, they have struggled in the league recently, failing to win in their last four away games, gathering only 3 points from a possible 12.

They have shown defensive frailties, conceding goals in 7 of their last 10 matches. Out of the 10 games played in this competition, they have managed to turn around the score in only 1 of the 4 matches where they conceded the first goal.

Like Bahia, São Paulo is also feeling the heat heading into this match. The team cannot afford another underwhelming performance, especially after their recent showing against Mirassol. Striving to regain lost points, it’s imperative they display greater efficiency in their attacking play while maintaining a solid defensive structure when facing Bahia.

The best prediction for Bahia vs São Paulo

Over 0.5 goal in the 1st half (live bet suggestion)
Over 1.5 goals (live, double or treble bet suggestion)
Both teams to score (risky bet)

Do both teams score? Yes

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