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Bahia vs Mirassol Prediction – Brazilian Serie A
Check out the best predictions for Bahia vs Mirassol
Here you will find the best prediction for Bahia vs Mirassol in the Brasileirão Serie A, along with an analysis of the match and betting tips.
Read below for our detailed analysis of both teams, including their recent records and the key statistics from their last games to provide the best prediction for the match between Bahia and Mirassol.
 Bahia |
|  Mirassol |
Betting tip and prediction for this match between Bahia vs Mirassol
The best prediction for Bahia vs Mirassol
Bahia to win
Match preview: Bahia vs Mirassol
Bahia and Mirassol will face off at the Fonte Nova Arena in a crucial match for the 3rd round of the Brasileirão Serie A. Our analysis indicates that there have been no recent encounters between the two sides. The home advantage could be significant, especially considering Mirassol’s notable disparity in performances at home compared to when they play away.
Team analysis: Bahia
The home side is currently positioned 13th, having accumulated 2 points. In their debut, they played out a draw at home against Corinthians (1‑1). During the 2nd round, they managed another draw away to Santos (2‑2). The team’s performance remains relatively stable when playing away, with a record of 6 wins, 7 draws, and 2 losses; while at home, they have celebrated 10 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses. In their most recent fixture in the Copa Libertadores de America, they secured a win against a national side (0‑1). Over the last 10 home matches, Bahia has recorded 7 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss. The attack has been consistent, scoring at least once in each of the last 10 matches. Notably, Bahia often takes the lead first: they’ve opened the scoring in 12 of their last 15 games, leading at halftime in 9 of those matches and maintaining that advantage until the final whistle in 8 games. In their last 20 home fixtures across all competitions, they have conceded 8 of their 16 goals in the final 15 minutes (76’–90′).
The season for Bahia has been steady, with a focus on organised and disciplined football. Riding high after a vital Libertadores victory, the team’s confidence is bolstered. However, the draws from the opening two rounds of the Brasileirão signal a need for improvement, making the quest for three points crucial. Playing at home against a yet-to-win opponent provides an excellent opportunity to solidify their standing in the league. Their defensive consistency and proficient offensive transitions will be key elements in pursuing victory.
Team analysis: Mirassol
The visitors currently sit in 17th place with only 1 point to their name. They lost their opening match away against Cruzeiro (2‑1) and managed to salvage a draw at home against Fortaleza (1‑1) in the second round. Mirassol tends to perform better at home, as evidenced by their record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses in away matches in their last 30. Contrarily, they boast 9 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses when playing at home. Over their last 10 competitive matches, Mirassol has achieved just 2 wins, alongside 2 draws and 6 losses. Their defence has been porous, conceding goals in 9 of those last 10 matches, though their attack has been able to score in 8 of the same outings. Outside of home, they show a tendency for low-scoring games, with 13 out of their last 27 matches concluding with fewer than 1.5 goals. In 15 occasions, they have conceded the first goal 9 times and have managed to recover or turn the match around only once. In their last 20 away fixtures across all competitions, they notably scored 8 of their 20 goals during the closing stages (76’–90′).
Mirassol is off to a concerning start this season, struggling to meet expectations from the state. In the Brasileirão, they have yet to secure a win, with results highlighting their current instability. Their defence needs strengthening, while the attacking unit struggles to generate offensive moves. An away match against an inspired opponent poses a significant challenge for Mirassol. They will need to adopt a more competitive and cohesive approach to stand a chance of gaining at least a point in this encounter.
The best prediction for Bahia vs Mirassol
Bahia to win
